Articles | Volume 28, issue 23
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-5193-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-5193-2024
Research article
 | 
04 Dec 2024
Research article |  | 04 Dec 2024

Data-driven modelling of hydraulic-head time series: results and lessons learned from the 2022 Groundwater Time Series Modelling Challenge

Raoul A. Collenteur, Ezra Haaf, Mark Bakker, Tanja Liesch, Andreas Wunsch, Jenny Soonthornrangsan, Jeremy White, Nick Martin, Rui Hugman, Ed de Sousa, Didier Vanden Berghe, Xinyang Fan, Tim J. Peterson, Jānis Bikše, Antoine Di Ciacca, Xinyue Wang, Yang Zheng, Maximilian Nölscher, Julian Koch, Raphael Schneider, Nikolas Benavides Höglund, Sivarama Krishna Reddy Chidepudi, Abel Henriot, Nicolas Massei, Abderrahim Jardani, Max Gustav Rudolph, Amir Rouhani, J. Jaime Gómez-Hernández, Seifeddine Jomaa, Anna Pölz, Tim Franken, Morteza Behbooei, Jimmy Lin, and Rojin Meysami

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Cited articles

Addor, N. and Melsen, L. A.: Legacy, Rather Than Adequacy, Drives the Selection of Hydrological Models, Water Resour. Res., 55, 378–390, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR022958, 2019. a
Azmi, E., Ehret, U., Weijs, S. V., Ruddell, B. L., and Perdigão, R. A. P.: Technical note: “Bit by bit”: a practical and general approach for evaluating model computational complexity vs. model performance, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1103–1115, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1103-2021, 2021. a
Bakker, M. and Schaars, F.: Solving Groundwater Flow Problems with Time Series Analysis: You May Not Even Need Another Model, Groundwater, 57, 826–833, https://doi.org/10.1111/gwat.12927, 2019. a
Challu, C., Olivares, K. G., Oreshkin, B. N., Garza Ramirez, F., Mergenthaler Canseco, M., and Dubrawski, A.: NHITS: Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting. in: Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, 37th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Washington DC, USA, 7–14 February 2023, 6989–6997, https://doi.org/10.1609/aaai.v37i6.25854, 2023 a
Chidepudi, S. K. R., Massei, N., Jardani, A., Henriot, A., Allier, D., and Baulon, L.: A wavelet-assisted deep learning approach for simulating groundwater levels affected by low-frequency variability, Sci. Total Environ., 865, 161035, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.161035, 2023. a
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Short summary
We show the results of the 2022 Groundwater Time Series Modelling Challenge; 15 teams applied data-driven models to simulate hydraulic heads, and three model groups were identified: lumped, machine learning, and deep learning. For all wells, reasonable performance was obtained by at least one team from each group. There was not one team that performed best for all wells. In conclusion, the challenge was a successful initiative to compare different models and learn from each other.