Articles | Volume 26, issue 16
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 4233–4249, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4233-2022
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 4233–4249, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4233-2022
Research article
17 Aug 2022
Research article | 17 Aug 2022

Quantifying overlapping and differing information of global precipitation for GCM forecasts and El Niño–Southern Oscillation

Tongtiegang Zhao et al.

Related authors

Quantifying the impacts of the Three Gorges Dam on the spatial–temporal water level dynamics in the upper Yangtze River estuary
Huayang Cai, Hao Yang, Pascal Matte, Haidong Pan, Zhan Hu, Tongtiegang Zhao, and Guangliang Liu
Ocean Sci., 18, 1691–1702, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-18-1691-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-18-1691-2022, 2022
Short summary
Attributing correlation skill of dynamical GCM precipitation forecasts to statistical ENSO teleconnection using a set-theory-based approach
Tongtiegang Zhao, Haoling Chen, Quanxi Shao, Tongbi Tu, Yu Tian, and Xiaohong Chen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 5717–5732, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5717-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5717-2021, 2021
Short summary
Significant spatial patterns from the GCM seasonal forecasts of global precipitation
Tongtiegang Zhao, Wei Zhang, Yongyong Zhang, Zhiyong Liu, and Xiaohong Chen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1–16, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1-2020, 2020
A Bayesian modelling method for post-processing daily sub-seasonal to seasonal rainfall forecasts from global climate models and evaluation for 12 Australian catchments
Andrew Schepen, Tongtiegang Zhao, Quan J. Wang, and David E. Robertson
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1615–1628, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1615-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1615-2018, 2018
Short summary
Optimising seasonal streamflow forecast lead time for operational decision making in Australia
Andrew Schepen, Tongtiegang Zhao, Q. J. Wang, Senlin Zhou, and Paul Feikema
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 4117–4128, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4117-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4117-2016, 2016
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Global hydrology | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
Poor correlation between large-scale environmental flow violations and freshwater biodiversity: implications for water resource management and the freshwater planetary boundary
Chinchu Mohan, Tom Gleeson, James S. Famiglietti, Vili Virkki, Matti Kummu, Miina Porkka, Lan Wang-Erlandsson, Xander Huggins, Dieter Gerten, and Sonja C. Jähnig
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 6247–6262, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6247-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6247-2022, 2022
Short summary
Accuracy of five ground heat flux empirical simulation methods in the surface-energy-balance-based remote-sensing evapotranspiration models
Zhaofei Liu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 6207–6226, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6207-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6207-2022, 2022
Short summary
Coupling a global glacier model to a global hydrological model prevents underestimation of glacier runoff
Pau Wiersma, Jerom Aerts, Harry Zekollari, Markus Hrachowitz, Niels Drost, Matthias Huss, Edwin H. Sutanudjaja, and Rolf Hut
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 5971–5986, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5971-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5971-2022, 2022
Short summary
Revisiting large-scale interception patterns constrained by a synthesis of global experimental data
Feng Zhong, Shanhu Jiang, Albert I. J. M. van Dijk, Liliang Ren, Jaap Schellekens, and Diego G. Miralles
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 5647–5667, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5647-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5647-2022, 2022
Short summary
Investigating coastal backwater effects and flooding in the coastal zone using a global river transport model on an unstructured mesh
Dongyu Feng, Zeli Tan, Darren Engwirda, Chang Liao, Donghui Xu, Gautam Bisht, Tian Zhou, Hong-Yi Li, and L. Ruby Leung
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 5473–5491, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5473-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5473-2022, 2022
Short summary

Cited articles

Anghileri, D., Voisin, N., Castelletti, A., Pianosi, F., Nijssen, B., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: Value of long-term streamflow forecasts to reservoir operations for water supply in snow-dominated river catchments: Value of Long-Term Forecasts to Reservoir Operations, Water Resour. Res., 52, 4209–4225, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017864, 2016. 
Barnston, A. G., Tippett, M. K., L'Heureux, M. L., Li, S., and DeWitt, D. G.: Skill of Real-Time Seasonal ENSO Model Predictions during 2002–11: Is Our Capability Increasing?, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 93, 631–651, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00111.1, 2012. 
Bauer, P., Thorpe, A., and Brunet, G.: The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction, Nature, 525, 47–55, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14956, 2015. 
Becker, E. J., Kirtman, B. P., L'Heureux, M., Muñoz, Á. G., and Pegion, K.: A Decade of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME): Research, Application, and Future Directions, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 103, E973–E995, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0327.1, 2022. 
Bennett, J. C., Wang, Q. J., Li, M., Robertson, D. E., and Schepen, A.: Reliable long-range ensemble streamflow forecasts: Combining calibrated climate forecasts with a conceptual runoff model and a staged error model: Long-Range Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts, Water Resour. Res., 52, 8238–8259, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016WR019193, 2016. 
Download
Short summary
This paper develops a novel set operations of coefficients of determination (SOCD) method to explicitly quantify the overlapping and differing information for GCM forecasts and ENSO teleconnection. Specifically, the intersection operation of the coefficient of determination derives the overlapping information for GCM forecasts and the Niño3.4 index, and then the difference operation determines the differing information in GCM forecasts (Niño3.4 index) from the Niño3.4 index (GCM forecasts).