Articles | Volume 27, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1201-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1201-2023
Research article
 | 
17 Mar 2023
Research article |  | 17 Mar 2023

Cooperation in a transboundary river basin: a large-scale socio-hydrological model of the Eastern Nile

Mohammad Ghoreishi, Amin Elshorbagy, Saman Razavi, Günter Blöschl, Murugesu Sivapalan, and Ahmed Abdelkader

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Cited articles

Abdelkader, A., and Elshorbagy, A.: Future pathways of water, energy, and food in the Eastern Nile Basin, University of Saskatchewan, https://usaskca1-my.sharepoint.com/:b:/g/personal/ame312_usask_ca/EbNPEOhtL3pFukGhXmVqZbEBQQyE7tozMZ--fb84TFvGBQ?e=jPVgqW (last access: 16 March 2023), 2021. 
Abdelkader, A., Elshorbagy, A., Tuninetti, M., Laio, F., Ridolfi, L., Fahmy, H., and Hoekstra, A. Y.: National water, food, and trade modeling framework: The case of Egypt, Sci. Total Environ., 639, 485–496, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.197, 2018. 
Abdul Latif Jameel Water and Food Systems Lab.: The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam: An Opportunity for Collaboration and Shared Benefits in the Eastern Nile Basin. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, https://jwafs.mit.edu/publications/2014/grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam-opportunity-collaboration-and (last access: 15 March 2023), 2014. 
Aghaie, V., Alizadeh, H., and Afshar, A.: Emergence of social norms in the cap-and-trade policy: an agent-based groundwater market, J. Hydrol., 588, 125057, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125057, 2020. 
Agreement on Declaration of Principles between the Arab Republic of Egypt, The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia, and The Republic of the Sudan On The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam Project: Agreement on Declaration of Principles between the Arab Republic of Egypt, The Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia, and the Republic of the Sudan on the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam Project, Signed at Khartoum, Sudan, https://www.internationalwaterlaw.org/documents/regionaldocs/Final_Nile_Agreement_23_March_2015.pdf (last access: 15 March 2023), 2015. 
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Short summary
The study proposes a quantitative model of the willingness to cooperate in the Eastern Nile River basin. Our results suggest that the 2008 food crisis may account for Sudan recovering its willingness to cooperate with Ethiopia. Long-term lack of trust among the riparian countries may have reduced basin-wide cooperation. The model can be used to explore the effects of changes in future dam operations and other management decisions on the emergence of basin cooperation.