Articles | Volume 29, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-863-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-863-2025
Research article
 | 
20 Feb 2025
Research article |  | 20 Feb 2025

Green water availability and water-limited crop yields under a changing climate in Ethiopia

Mosisa Tujuba Wakjira, Nadav Peleg, Johan Six, and Peter Molnar

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Cited articles

Abate, B. Z., Alaminie, A. A., Assefa, T. T., Tigabu, T. B., and He, L.: Modeling climate change impacts on blue and green water of the Kobo-Golina River in data-scarce upper Danakil basin, Ethiopia, J. Hydrol. Reg. Stud., 53, 101756, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101756, 2024. 
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Adam, M., Van Bussel, L. G. J., Leffelaar, P. A., Van Keulen, H., and Ewert, F.: Effects of modelling detail on simulated potential crop yields under a wide range of climatic conditions, Ecol. Model., 222, 131–143, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2010.09.001, 2011. 
Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., and Smith, M.: Crop Evapotranspiration, Irrigation and Drainage Paper No. 56, Food and Agriculture Organization, FAO, Rome, 326 pp., ISBN 92-5-104219-5, https://www.fao.org/4/x0490e/x0490e00.htm (last access: 8 November 2023), 1998. 
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In this study, we implement a climate, water, and crop interaction model to evaluate current conditions and project future changes in rainwater availability and its yield potential, with the goal of informing adaptation policies and strategies in Ethiopia. Although climate change is likely to increase rainfall in Ethiopia, our findings suggest that water-scarce croplands in Ethiopia are expected to face reduced crop yields during the main growing season due to increases in temperature.
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