Chegwidden, O. S., Rupp, D. E., and Nijssen, B.: Climate change
alters flood magnitudes and mechanisms in climatically-diverse
headwaters across the northwestern United States, Environ. Res. Lett., 15, 9, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab986f, 2020.
Clark, M. P., Nijssen, B., Lundquist, J. D., Kavetski, D., Rupp, D. E.,
Woods, R. A., Freer, J. E., Gutmann, E., Wood, A. W., Brekke, L. D., Arnold,
J. R., Gochis, D. J., and Rasmussen, R. M.: A unified approach for
process-based hydrologic modeling: 1. Modeling concept, Water Resour.
Res., 51, 2498–2514, 2015.
Douglas, E. M., Vogel, R. M., and Kroll, C. N.: Trends in Floods and Low Flows in the United States: Impact of Spatial Correlation, J. Hydrol., 240, 90–105, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(00)00336-X,
2000.
Eyring, V., Bony, S., Meehl, G. A., Senior, C. A., Stevens, B., Stouffer, R. J., and Taylor, K. E.: Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 1937–1958, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016, 2016.
Fritze, H., Stewart, I. T., and Pebesma, E. J.: Shifts in Western North American Snowmelt Runoff Regimes for the Recent Warm Decades, J. Hydrometeorol., 12, 989–1006, https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JHM1360.1, 2011.
Gangrade, S., Kao, S., and McManamay, R.: Multi-model Hydroclimate Projections for the Alabama-Coosa-Tallapoosa River Basin in the Southeastern United States, Sci. Rep.-UK, 10, 2870, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-59806-6, 2020.
Goode, J. R., Buffington, J. M., Tonina, D., Isaak, D. J., Thurow, R. F.,
Wenger, S., Nagel, D., Luce, C., Tetzlaff, D., and Soulsby, C.: Potential
effects of climate change on streambed scour and risks to salmonid survival
in snow-dominated mountain basins, Hydrol. Process., 27, 750–765, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9728, 2013.
Gutmann, E., Pruitt, T., Clark, M. P., Brekke, L., Arnold, J. R., Raff, D. A., and Rasmussen, R. M.: An intercomparison of statistical downscaling methods used for water resource assessments in the United States, 50, 7167–7186, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR015559, 2014.
Hamlet, A. F. and Lettenmaier, D. P.: Effects of 20th Century Warming and
Climate Variability on Flood Risk in the Western U.S, Water Resour. Res.,
43, W06427, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006WR005099, 2007.
Hamlet, A. F., Mote, P. W., Clark, M. P., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: Effects of
precipitation and temperature variability on snowpack trends in the western
United States, J. Climate, 18, 4545–4561, 2005.
Hamlet, A. F., Salathé, E. P., and Carrasco, P.: Statistical Downscaling
Techniques for Global Climate Model Simulations o
f Temperature and
Precipitation with Application to Water Resources Planning Studies, Chapter 4 in: Final Report for the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project, edited by:
Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint
Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of
Washington, Seattle, USA, 2010.
Hamman, J. and Nijssen, B.: VIC 4.2.glacier, available at:
https://github.com/UW-Hydro/VIC/tree/support/VIC.4.2.glacier (last
access: 11 January 2021), 2015.
Hawkins, E. and Sutton, R.: The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional
climate predictions, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 90,
1095–1108, https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1, 2009.
Huang, S., Kumar, R., Rakovec, O., Aich, V., Wang, X., Samaniego, L., Liersch, S., and Krysanova, V.: Multimodel assessment of flood characteristics in four large river basins at global warming of 1.5, 2.0 and 3.0 K above the pre-industrial level, Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 124005, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aae94b, 2018.
Leavesley, G. H., Lichty, R. W., Troutman, B. M., and Saindon, L. G.: Precipitation-runoff modeling system; user's manual, Water Resour. Invest. Rep., 83–4238, https://doi.org/10.3133/wri834238, 1983.
Liang, X., Lettenmaier, D. P., Wood, E. F., and Burges, S. J.: A simple hydrologically based model of land surface water and energy fluxes for general circulation models, J. Geophys. Res., 99, 14415–14428, https://doi.org/10.1029/94JD00483, 1994.
Lins, H. F. and Slack, J. R.: Streamflow trends in the United States, Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 227–230, https://doi.org/10.1029/1998GL900291, 1999.
Lute, A. C., Abatzoglou, J. T., and Hegewisch, K. C.: Projected Changes in
Snowfall Extremes and Interannual Variability of Snowfall in the Western
United States, Water Resour. Res., 51, 960–972, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR016267, 2015.
Mearns, L. O., Sain, S., Leung, L. R., Bukovsky, M. S., McGinnis, S., Biner,
S., Caya, D., Arritt, R. W., Gutowski, W., Takle, E., Snyder, M., Jones, R.
G., Nunes, A. M. B., Tucker, S., Herzmann, D., McDaniel, L., and Sloan, L.:
Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change
Assessment Program (NARCCAP), Climatic Change, 120, 965–975, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0831-3, 2013.
Mote, P. W., Li, S., Lettenmaier, D. P., Xiao, M., and Engel, R.: Dramatic declines in snowpack in the western US, npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 1, 2, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-018-0012-1, 2018.
Musselman, K., Clark, M., Liu, C., Ikeda, K., and Rasmussen, R.: Slower
snowmelt in a warmer world, Nat. Clim Change, 7, 214–219,
https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3225, 2017.
River Management Joint Operating Committee: Climate and Hydrology Datasets for RMJOC Long-term Planning Studies, Second edition: Part 1 – Hydroclimate Projections and Analyses, availabe at:
https://www.bpa.gov/p/Generation/Hydro/Pages/Climate-Change-FCRPS-Hydro.aspx (last access: 11 January 2021), 2018.
Rupp, D. E., Abatzoglou, J. T., Hegewisch, K. C., and Mote, P. W.: Evaluation
of CMIP5 20th Century Climate Simulations for the Pacific Northwest USA,
J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 118, 10884–10906, https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50843, 2013.
Rupp, D. E., Abatzoglou, J. T., and Mote, P. W.: Projections of 21st Century Climate of the Columbia River Basin, Clim. Dynam., 49, 1783–1799, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3418-7, 2017.
Salathé, E. P., Hamlet, A. F., Mass, C. F., Lee, S., Stumbaugh, M., and
Steed, R.: Estimates of Twenty-First-Century Flood Risk in the Pacific
Northwest Based on Regional Climate Model Simulations, J. Hydrometeor., 15,
1881–1899, 2014.
Serinaldi, F. and Kilsby, C. G.: Stationarity is Undead: Uncertainty Dominates the Distribution of Extremes, Adv. Water Resour.,
77, 17–36, https://doi.org/10.1016 j.advwatres.2014.12.013, 2015.
Sharma, A., Wasko, C., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: If Precipitation Extremes Are Increasing, Why Aren't Floods?, Water Resour. Res., 54, 8545–8551, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR023749, 2018.
Surfleet, C. G. and Tullos, D.: Variability in Effect of Climate Change on
Rain-on-Snow Peak Flow Events in a Temperate Climate, J. Hydrol.,
479, 24–34, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.021, 2013.
Thober, S., Kumar, R., Wanders, N., Marx, A., Pan, M., Rakovec, O., Samaniego, L., Sheffield, J., Wood, E. F., and Zink, M.: Multi-model ensemble projections of European river floods and high flows at 1.5, 2, and 3 degrees global warming, Environ. Res. Lett., 13, 014003, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa9e35, 2018.
Tohver, I., Hamlet, A. F., and Lee, S.-Y.: Impacts of 21st Century Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Pacific Northwest
Region of North America, J. Amer. Water Resour. Assoc., 50, 1461–1476, https://doi.org/10.1111/jawr.12199, 2014.
Vormoor, K., Lawrence, D., Heistermann, M., and Bronstert, A.: Climate change impacts on the seasonality and generation processes of floods – projections and uncertainties for catchments with mixed snowmelt/rainfall regimes, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 913–931, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-913-2015, 2015.
Wood, A., Leung, L., Sridhar, V., and Lettenmaier, D.: Hydrologic
Implications of Dynamical and Statistical Approaches to Downscaling Climate
Model Outputs, Clim. Change, 62, 189–216, 2004.
