Articles | Volume 28, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-505-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-505-2024
Research article
 | 
07 Feb 2024
Research article |  | 07 Feb 2024

Incorporating interpretation uncertainties from deterministic 3D hydrostratigraphic models in groundwater models

Trine Enemark, Rasmus Bødker Madsen, Torben O. Sonnenborg, Lærke Therese Andersen, Peter B. E. Sandersen, Jacob Kidmose, Ingelise Møller, Thomas Mejer Hansen, Karsten Høgh Jensen, and Anne-Sophie Høyer

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Cited articles

Andersen, L. T. and Sandersen, P. B. E.: GeoConcept – 3D hydrostratigrafisk lagmodel for Egebjerg (GEUS report 2020/59), 64 pp., https://doi.org/10.22008/gpub/34556, 2020. 
Bakker, M., Post, V., Langevin, C. D., Hughes, J. D., White, J. T., Starn, J. J., and Fienen, M. N.: Scripting MODFLOW Model Development Using Python and FloPy, Groundwater, 54, 733–739, https://doi.org/10.1111/gwat.12413, 2016. 
Barfod, A. A. S., Vilhelmsen, T. N., Jørgensen, F., Christiansen, A. V., Høyer, A.-S., Straubhaar, J., and Møller, I.: Contributions to uncertainty related to hydrostratigraphic modeling using multiple-point statistics, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 5485–5508, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5485-2018, 2018. 
Benoit, N., Marcotte, D., and Molson, J.: Stochastic correlated hydraulic conductivity tensor calibration using gradual deformation, J. Hydrol., 594, 125880, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125880, 2021. 
Beven, K. J. and Binley, A.: The future of distributed models: Model calibration and uncertainty prediction, Hydrol. Process., 6, 279–298, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.3360060305, 1992. 
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Short summary
In this study, we demonstrate an approach to evaluate the interpretation uncertainty within a manually interpreted geological model in a groundwater model. Using qualitative estimates of uncertainties, several geological realizations are developed and implemented in groundwater models. We confirm existing evidence that if the conceptual model is well defined, interpretation uncertainties within the conceptual model have limited impact on groundwater model predictions.