Articles | Volume 23, issue 2
Research article
13 Feb 2019
Research article |  | 13 Feb 2019

Mapping rainfall hazard based on rain gauge data: an objective cross-validation framework for model selection

Juliette Blanchet, Emmanuel Paquet, Pradeebane Vaittinada Ayar, and David Penot

Related authors

Projection of snowfall extremes in the French Alps as a function of elevation and global warming level
Erwan Le Roux, Guillaume Evin, Nicolas Eckert, Juliette Blanchet, and Samuel Morin
EGUsphere,,, 2023
Short summary
Linking torrential events in the Northern French Alps to regional and local atmospheric conditions
Juliette Blanchet, Alix Reverdy, Antoine Blanc, Jean-Dominique Creutin, Périne Kiennemann, and Guillaume Evin
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.,,, 2023
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
A non-stationary extreme-value approach for climate projection ensembles: application to snow loads in the French Alps
Erwan Le Roux, Guillaume Evin, Nicolas Eckert, Juliette Blanchet, and Samuel Morin
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 1059–1075,,, 2022
Short summary
Performance-based comparison of regionalization methods to improve the at-site estimates of daily precipitation
Abubakar Haruna, Juliette Blanchet, and Anne-Catherine Favre
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2797–2811,,, 2022
Short summary
Past evolution of western Europe large-scale circulation and link to precipitation trend in the northern French Alps
Antoine Blanc, Juliette Blanchet, and Jean-Dominique Creutin
Weather Clim. Dynam., 3, 231–250,,, 2022
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Hydrometeorology | Techniques and Approaches: Stochastic approaches
A gridded multi-site precipitation generator for complex terrain: an evaluation in the Austrian Alps
Hetal P. Dabhi, Mathias W. Rotach, and Michael Oberguggenberger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 2123–2147,,, 2023
Short summary
Technical note: A stochastic framework for identification and evaluation of flash drought
Yuxin Li, Sisi Chen, Jun Yin, and Xing Yuan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 1077–1087,,, 2023
Short summary
Stochastic simulation of reference rainfall scenarios for hydrological applications using a universal multi-fractal approach
Arun Ramanathan, Pierre-Antoine Versini, Daniel Schertzer, Remi Perrin, Lionel Sindt, and Ioulia Tchiguirinskaia
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 6477–6491,,, 2022
Short summary
Atmospheric conditions favouring extreme precipitation and flash floods in temperate regions of Europe
Judith Meyer, Malte Neuper, Luca Mathias, Erwin Zehe, and Laurent Pfister
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 6163–6183,,, 2022
Short summary
A storm-centered multivariate modeling of extreme precipitation frequency based on atmospheric water balance
Yuan Liu and Daniel B. Wright
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 5241–5267,,, 2022
Short summary

Cited articles

Ahrens, B.: Distance in spatial interpolation of daily rain gauge data, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 197–208,, 2006. a
Beguería, S. and Vicente-Serrano, S. M.: Mapping the Hazard of Extreme Rainfall by Peaks over Threshold Extreme Value Analysis and Spatial Regression Techniques, J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim., 45, 108–124,, 2006. a
Beguería, S., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., López-Moreno, J. I., and García-Ruiz, J. M.: Annual and seasonal mapping of peak intensity, magnitude and duration of extreme precipitation events across a climatic gradient, northeast Spain, Int. J. Climatol., 29, 1759–1779,, 2009. a, b
Blanchet, J. and Lehning, M.: Mapping snow depth return levels: smooth spatial modeling versus station interpolation, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 2527–2544,, 2010. a
Blanchet, J., Touati, J., Lawrence, D., Garavaglia, F., and Paquet, E.: Evaluation of a compound distribution based on weather patterns subsampling for extreme rainfall in Norway, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2653–2667,, 2015. a, b, c, d, e
Short summary
We propose an objective framework for estimating rainfall cumulative distribution functions in a region when data are only available at rain gauges. Our methodology allows us to assess goodness-of-fit of the full distribution, but with a particular focus on its tail. It is applied to daily rainfall in the Ardèche catchment in the south of France. Results show a preference for a mixture of Gamma distribution over seasons and weather patterns, with parameters interpolated with a thin plate spline.