Research article 16 Feb 2015
Research article | 16 Feb 2015
From days to decades: numerical modelling of freshwater lens response to climate change stressors on small low-lying islands
S. Holding and D. M. Allen
Related authors
No articles found.
Jennifer R. Dierauer, Diana M. Allen, and Paul H. Whitfield
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2019-676, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2019-676, 2020
Preprint withdrawn
Short summary
Short summary
Increasing temperatures due to climate change will change patterns of snow accumulation and melt. How these changes in snow impact summer streamflow, however, is not well understood. This study combined computer-based watershed models with climate change projections to show how warm winters with less snow accumulation lead to less streamflow in the following summer season. In seasonally snow-covered regions, warm winters could become a common stressor on summer surface water supplies.
Stephanie C. Hunter, Diana M. Allen, and Karen E. Kohfeld
Clim. Past Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2019-68, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-2019-68, 2019
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Related subject area
Subject: Groundwater hydrology | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
Modelling the hydrological interactions between a fissured granite aquifer and a valley mire in the Massif Central, France
A new criterion for determining the representative elementary volume of translucent porous media and inner contaminant
Physics-inspired integrated space–time artificial neural networks for regional groundwater flow modeling
Hydraulic and geochemical impact of occasional saltwater intrusions through a submarine spring in a karst and thermal aquifer (Balaruc peninsula near Montpellier, France)
Calibration of a lumped karst system model and application to the Qachqouch karst spring (Lebanon) under climate change conditions
Stress-testing groundwater and baseflow drought responses to synthetic climate change-informed recharge scenarios
Impacts of climate change on groundwater flooding and ecohydrology in lowland karst
Sensitivity of hydrologic and geologic parameters on recharge processes in a highly heterogeneous, semi-confined aquifer system
Basin-scale multi-objective simulation-optimization modeling for conjunctive use of surface water and groundwater in northwest China
Determination of vadose and saturated-zone nitrate lag times using long-term groundwater monitoring data and statistical machine learning
Assessing the response of groundwater quantity and travel time distribution to 1.5, 2, and 3 °C global warming in a mesoscale central German basin
Groundwater mean residence times of a subtropical barrier sand island
On the conceptual complexity of non-point source management: impact of spatial variability
The millennium-old hydrogeology textbook The Extraction of Hidden Waters by the Persian mathematician and engineer Abubakr Mohammad Karaji (953 CE–1029 CE)
Modeling groundwater responses to climate change in the Prairie Pothole Region
A multi-environmental tracer study to determine groundwater residence times and recharge in a structurally complex multi-aquifer system
A three-dimensional palaeohydrogeological reconstruction of the groundwater salinity distribution in the Nile Delta Aquifer
Modelling of the shallow water table at high spatial resolution using random forests
An extended trajectory-mechanics approach for calculating the path of a pressure transient: travel-time tomography
Global sensitivity analysis and adaptive stochastic sampling of a subsurface-flow model using active subspaces
A comprehensive quasi-3-D model for regional-scale unsaturated–saturated water flow
Decomposition technique for contributions to groundwater heads from inside and outside of an arbitrary boundary: application to Guantao County, North China Plain
High-resolution paleovalley classification from airborne electromagnetic imaging and deep neural network training using digital elevation model data
A partially coupled hydro-mechanical analysis of the Bengal Aquifer System under hydrological loading
Reactive transport with wellbore storages in a single-well push–pull test
Dynamics of wormhole formation in fractured limestones
A general analytical model for head response to oscillatory pumping in unconfined aquifers: effects of delayed gravity drainage and initial condition
Faulting patterns in the Lower Yarmouk Gorge potentially influence groundwater flow paths
Stochastic modeling of flow and conservative transport in three-dimensional discrete fracture networks
Locality-based 3-D multiple-point statistics reconstruction using 2-D geological cross sections
Application of an improved global-scale groundwater model for water table estimation across New Zealand
Managed aquifer recharge with reverse-osmosis desalinated seawater: modeling the spreading in groundwater using stable water isotopes
Numerical modeling of flow and transport in the Bari industrial area by means of rough walled parallel plate and random walk models
Estimation of effective porosity in large-scale groundwater models by combining particle tracking, auto-calibration and 14C dating
Spatial prediction of groundwater spring potential mapping based on an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system and metaheuristic optimization
Groundwater origin, flow regime and geochemical evolution in arid endorheic watersheds: a case study from the Qaidam Basin, northwestern China
High-frequency NO3− isotope (δ15N, δ18O) patterns in groundwater recharge reveal that short-term changes in land use and precipitation influence nitrate contamination trends
Defining and analyzing the frequency and severity of flood events to improve risk management from a reinsurance standpoint
Integrated assessment of future potential global change scenarios and their hydrological impacts in coastal aquifers – a new tool to analyse management alternatives in the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer
Groundwater withdrawal in randomly heterogeneous coastal aquifers
A Bayesian approach to infer nitrogen loading rates from crop and land-use types surrounding private wells in the Central Valley, California
Impact of coastal forcing and groundwater recharge on the growth of a fresh groundwater lens in a mega-scale beach nourishment
Hydrogeological effects of dredging navigable canals through lagoon shallows. A case study in Venice
Modeling nitrate from land surface to wells' perforations under agricultural land: success, failure, and future scenarios in a Mediterranean case study
Assessing lateral flows and solute transport during floods in a conduit-flow-dominated karst system using the inverse problem for the advection–diffusion equation
Regional-scale brine migration along vertical pathways due to CO2 injection – Part 1: The participatory modeling approach
Regional-scale brine migration along vertical pathways due to CO2 injection – Part 2: A simulated case study in the North German Basin
Identification of dominant hydrogeochemical processes for groundwaters in the Algerian Sahara supported by inverse modeling of chemical and isotopic data
Anthropogenic wetlands due to over-irrigation of desert areas: a challenging hydrogeological investigation with extensive geophysical input from TEM and MRS measurements
Voxel inversion of airborne electromagnetic data for improved groundwater model construction and prediction accuracy
Arnaud Duranel, Julian R. Thompson, Helene Burningham, Philippe Durepaire, Stéphane Garambois, Robert Wyns, and Hervé Cubizolle
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 291–319, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-291-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-291-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Peat-forming wetlands (mires) provide multiple ecosystem services, which depend on peat remaining waterlogged. Using hydrological modelling, we show that, contrary to a common assumption, groundwater inflow can be a quantitatively important and functionally critical element of the water balance of mires in hard-rock upland and mountain areas. This influence is such that patterns of groundwater upwelling and seepage explain the spatial distribution of mires in the landscape.
Ming Wu, Jianfeng Wu, Jichun Wu, and Bill X. Hu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5903–5917, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5903-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5903-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
A new criterion (χi) is proposed to estimate representative elementary volume (REV) of a translucent material based on light transmission techniques. This study is essential for quantitative investigation of the scale effect of porous media and contaminant transformation. The fluid and contaminant migration and transform in porous media can be simulated accurately according to the REV estimation results using the light transmission technique and the appropriate criterion χi.
Ali Ghaseminejad and Venkatesh Uddameri
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5759–5779, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5759-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5759-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
While artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been used to forecast groundwater levels at single wells, they have not been constructed to forecast hydraulic heads in both space and time. This seminal study presents a modeling framework, guided by the governing physical laws, for building an integrated space–time ANN (IST–ANN) model for regional groundwater level predictions. IST–ANN shows promise for parsimoniously modeling regional-scale groundwater levels using available surrogate information.
Marie-Amélie Pétré, Bernard Ladouche, Jean-Luc Seidel, Romain Hemelsdaël, Véronique de Montety, Christelle Batiot-Guilhe, and Claudine Lamotte
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5655–5672, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5655-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5655-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We studied the impact of occasional saltwater intrusions into the karst aquifer of the Balaruc peninsula (France). Using hydrogeological and geochemical data, this study shows that the hydraulic impact on the aquifer is rapid and of regional extent, whereas the geochemical impact is observed at the local scale and is temporally persistent. This research supports groundwater management by providing a better understanding of the hydrodynamics and recovery of the aquifer after saltwater intrusions.
Emmanuel Dubois, Joanna Doummar, Séverin Pistre, and Marie Larocque
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4275–4290, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4275-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-4275-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The simulation of flow in a karst aquifer in a Mediterranean region using a semi-distributed linear reservoir model (geometry and parameterization) is calibrated and validated based on the analysis of high-resolution time series. The model is used to predict the effect of climatic variation. Although the spring is highly sensitive to rainfall variations, it is also resilient to warming temperature. Finally, this integrated conceptual method is reproducible for karst in semiarid regions.
Jost Hellwig, Michael Stoelzle, and Kerstin Stahl
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-211, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-211, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for HESS
Short summary
Short summary
Potential future groundwater and baseflow drought hazards depend on systems' sensitivity to altered recharge conditions. With three generic scenarios we found different sensitivities across Germany driven by hydrogeology. While changes in drought hazard due to seasonal recharge shifts will be rather low, a lengthening of dry spells could cause stronger responses in regions with slow groundwater response to precipitation urging local water management to prepare for more severe droughts.
Patrick Morrissey, Paul Nolan, Ted McCormack, Paul Johnston, Owen Naughton, and Laurence Gill
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-203, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-203, 2020
Preprint under review for HESS
Short summary
Short summary
Lowland karst aquifers provide important wetland habitat resulting from seasonal flooding on the land surface. This flooding is controlled by surcharging of the karst system, which is very sensitive to changes in rainfall. This study investigated the predicted impacts of climate change on a lowland karst catchment in Ireland and highlights the relative vulnerability to future changing climate conditions of karst systems and any associated wetland habitats.
Stephen R. Maples, Laura Foglia, Graham E. Fogg, and Reed M. Maxwell
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2437–2456, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2437-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2437-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
In this study, we use a combination of local- and global-sensitivity analyses to evaluate the relative importance of (1) the configuration of subsurface alluvial geology and (2) the hydraulic properties of geologic facies on recharge processes. Results show that there is a large variation of recharge rates possible in a typical alluvial aquifer system and that the configuration proportion of sand and gravel deposits in the subsurface have a large impact on recharge rates.
Jian Song, Yun Yang, Xiaomin Sun, Jin Lin, Ming Wu, Jianfeng Wu, and Jichun Wu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2323–2341, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2323-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2323-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We proposed a novel many-objective simulation-optimization framework for conjunctive use of surface water and groundwater in Yanqi Basin, northwest China. The management model involving socioeconomic and environmental objectives was constructed to explore optimal water-use schemes. Three runoff scenarios were then specified to quantify the effect of runoff reduction related to climate change on water management. Results provide Pareto-optimal solutions for basin-scale water management.
Martin J. Wells, Troy E. Gilmore, Natalie Nelson, Aaron Mittelstet, and John Karl Böhlke
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-169, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-169, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for HESS
Short summary
Short summary
Groundwater in many agricultural areas contains high levels of nitrate, which is a concern for drinking water supplies. The rate at which nitrate moves through the subsurface is a critical piece of information for predicting how quickly groundwater nitrate levels may improve after agricultural producers change their approach to managing crop water and fertilizers. In this study we explored a new statistical modeling approach to determine rates at which nitrate moves into and through an aquifer.
Miao Jing, Rohini Kumar, Falk Heße, Stephan Thober, Oldrich Rakovec, Luis Samaniego, and Sabine Attinger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1511–1526, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1511-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1511-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This study investigates the response of regional groundwater system to the climate change under three global warming levels (1.5, 2, and 3 °C) in a central German basin. A comprehensive uncertainty analysis is also presented. This study indicates that the variability of responses increases with the amount of global warming, which might affect the cost of managing the groundwater system.
Harald Hofmann, Dean Newborn, Ian Cartwright, Dioni I. Cendón, and Matthias Raiber
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1293–1318, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1293-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1293-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Fresh groundwater (GW) on barrier islands is affected by GW use and precipitation variability. Mean residence times (MRTs) of GW on a sand barrier island were determined. They ranged from 37 years to more than 150 years for tritium and had a much larger range (modern to 5000 years) for carbon-14. Perched aquifer systems in the unsaturated zone and peat formations around wetlands are the most likely cause of longer MRTs, as they have a significant impact on regional recharge and flow diversion.
Christopher Vincent Henri, Thomas Harter, and Efstathios Diamantopoulos
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1189–1209, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1189-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1189-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Non-point source contaminations of aquifers are complex to model, predict and manage. This study uses numerical and stochastic methods to address the importance of key sources of spatial variability. We show that heterogeneity in recharge and contaminant loading does not significantly impact management metrics and could be simplified. Also, homogenizing physical properties has more impact on predictions, but can provide useful information on concentration statistics in a regional analysis.
Behzad Ataie-Ashtiani and Craig T. Simmons
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 761–769, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-761-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-761-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We revisit and shed light on the textbook The Extraction of Hidden Waters by the Persian mathematician and engineer Abubakr Mohammad Karaji. Ground-breaking ideas and descriptions of hydrological and hydrogeological perceptions such as components of the hydrological cycle, groundwater quality and driving factors for groundwater flow were presented in the book. We speculate that Karaji's book is the first of its kind to provide a construction and maintenance manual for an engineering project.
Zhe Zhang, Yanping Li, Michael Barlage, Fei Chen, Gonzalo Miguez-Macho, Andrew Ireson, and Zhenhua Li
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 655–672, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-655-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-655-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The groundwater regime in cold regions is strongly impacted by the soil freeze–thaw processes and semiarid climatic conditions. In this paper, we incorporate groundwater dynamics in the Noah-MP land surface model to simulate the water exchange between the unsaturated soil zone and an unconfined aquifer in the Prairie Pothole Region. The water table dynamics are reasonably simulated. The water budget of groundwater aquifer under current and future climate are also investigated.
Cornelia Wilske, Axel Suckow, Ulf Mallast, Christiane Meier, Silke Merchel, Broder Merkel, Stefan Pavetich, Tino Rödiger, Georg Rugel, Agnes Sachse, Stephan M. Weise, and Christian Siebert
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 249–267, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-249-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-249-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Despite feeding several million people, the flow system and inter-aquifer communication within one of the major aquifer systems in Israel and the West Bank is still poorly understood. Applying a combination of inorganic elements, anthropogenic organic trace substances and classical environmental age-dating tracers like 3H, CFCs, SF6 and 36Cl / Cl, groundwater flow patterns, mixing end-members, transport times and recharge estimates have been obtained despite very limited data.
Joeri van Engelen, Jarno Verkaik, Jude King, Eman R. Nofal, Marc F. P. Bierkens, and Gualbert H. P. Oude Essink
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 5175–5198, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-5175-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-5175-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
The Nile Delta is an important agricultural area with a fast-growing population, relying increasingly on groundwater. However, saline groundwater extends far land-inward, rendering groundwater close to the coastal zone useless for consumption or agriculture. It normally is assumed that this is caused by mixing due to velocity differences, but here we show that it might also be caused by the coastline being located more land-inward 8000 years ago.
Julian Koch, Helen Berger, Hans Jørgen Henriksen, and Torben Obel Sonnenborg
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 4603–4619, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4603-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4603-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
This study explores novel modelling avenues using machine learning in combination with process-based models to predict the shallow water table at high spatial resolution. Due to climate change and anthropogenic impacts, the shallow groundwater is rising in many parts of the world. In order to adapt to risks induced by groundwater flooding, new modelling tools need to emerge. In this study, we found that machine learning is capable of reaching the required accuracy and resolution.
Donald W. Vasco, Joseph Doetsch, and Ralf Brauchler
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 4541–4560, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4541-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-4541-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
This paper presents the application of a new approach for calculating the path of a pressure transient in a heterogeneous porous medium containing a slightly compressible fluid. Unlike previous asymptotic approaches, the expressions for the path and travel time are valid in the presence of rapid variations in material properties. The technique is applied to both synthetic transient pressure variations from a test example and actual field data from a field experiment in Widen, Switzerland.
Daniel Erdal and Olaf A. Cirpka
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3787–3805, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3787-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3787-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Assessing how sensitive uncertain model parameters are to observed data can be done by analyzing an ensemble of model simulations in which the parameters are varied. In subsurface modeling, this involves running heavy models. To reduce time wasted simulating models which show poor behavior, we use a fast polynomial model based on a simple parameter decomposition to approximate the behavior prior to
full-model simulation. This largely reduces the cost for the global sensitivity analysis.
Wei Mao, Yan Zhu, Heng Dai, Ming Ye, Jinzhong Yang, and Jingwei Wu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3481–3502, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3481-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3481-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
A new quasi-3-D model was developed by coupling a soil water balance model with MODFLOW iteratively for regional-scale water flow modeling. The model was tested to be effective and efficient with well-maintained mass balance. A modeling framework was developed to organize the coupling scheme and to handle the pre- and post-processing information. The model is then used to evaluate groundwater recharge in a real-world application, which shows the model practicability in regional-scale problems.
Ning Li, Wolfgang Kinzelbach, Haitao Li, Wenpeng Li, and Fei Chen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2823–2840, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2823-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2823-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Groundwater heads within an administrative unit are influenced not only by inside drivers, but also by outside drivers. To assess the efficiency of groundwater management of the administrative unit, we propose the decomposition of groundwater heads within the unit into inside and outside contributions by using three numerical groundwater models. The method is successfully demonstrated using Guantao County, China.
Zhenjiao Jiang, Dirk Mallants, Luk Peeters, Lei Gao, Camilla Soerensen, and Gregoire Mariethoz
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2561–2580, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2561-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2561-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Paleovalleys often form productive aquifers in the semiarid and arid areas. A methodology based on deep learning is introduced to automatically generate high-resolution 3-D paleovalley maps from low-resolution electrical conductivity data derived from airborne geophysical surveys. It is validated by borehole logs and the surface valley indices that the proposed method in this study provides an effective tool for regional-scale paleovalley mapping and groundwater exploration.
Nicholas D. Woodman, William G. Burgess, Kazi Matin Ahmed, and Anwar Zahid
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2461–2479, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2461-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2461-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
We show that a conventional hydraulic understanding of groundwater level fluctuation is too simplistic for the extensive floodplains of Bangladesh and West Bengal. This is crucial because 150 million people of the region rely on groundwater for drinking and irrigation. We describe a more complex situation: the coupled hydro-mechanical action of surface water coming and going as the seasons change. Our model results will assist sustainable management of groundwater resources across the region.
Quanrong Wang and Hongbin Zhan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2207–2223, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2207-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2207-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
New multi-species reactive models of the four-phase SWPP test were presented considering the wellbore storages for both groundwater flow and solute transport and a finite-aquifer hydraulic diffusivity, which were ignored in previous studies. The models of the wellbore storage for solute transport were proposed based on the mass balance, and the sensitivity analysis and uniqueness analysis were employed to investigate the assumptions used in previous studies on the parameter estimation.
Wolfgang Dreybrodt and Franci Gabrovšek
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1995–2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1995-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1995-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Numerical models of wormhole formation in fractured porous media provide basic insights on the evolution of complex conduit systems in karst aquifers. In this work we use a time-propagating reactive flow model to explore the evolution of wormholes in a 2-D grid of fractures. We demonstrate physically meaningful mechanisms leading to the formation of individual wormholes and the competition between a set of evolving wormholes.
Ching-Sheng Huang, Ya-Hsin Tsai, Hund-Der Yeh, and Tao Yang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1323–1337, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1323-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1323-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
The study develops a new model describing head fluctuation induced by oscillatory pumping test (OPT) in an unconfined aquifer with effects of delayed gravity drainage (DGD) and initial condition regarding the hydraulic head prior to OPT. The DGD reduces to instantaneous gravity drainage when a dimensionless parameter exceeds 500. A pseudo-steady-state model excluding initial condition causes a time-shift from the actual transient model in predicting simple harmonic motion of head fluctuation.
Nimrod Inbar, Eliahu Rosenthal, Fabien Magri, Marwan Alraggad, Peter Möller, Akiva Flexer, Joseph Guttman, and Christian Siebert
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 763–771, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-763-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-763-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
In areas of enigmatic hydrology, water scarcity, and transboundary water resources, management strategies should rely on comprehensive modeling which must be based on realistic geometry, including all relevant structural features. Based on available geophysical and geological data, a new faulting pattern in the Lower Yarmouk Gorge is suggested as a basis for hydrogeological modeling. Furthermore, unexpected pull-apart basin rim fault evolution is discussed in the context of tectonic collision.
I-Hsien Lee, Chuen-Fa Ni, Fang-Pang Lin, Chi-Ping Lin, and Chien-Chung Ke
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 19–34, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-19-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-19-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Few studies focused on the direct solution of the ADE for 3-D DFNs. The study is the first to solve the ADE and focus on assessing the velocity uncertainty in 3-D DFNs. The velocity uncertainty shows a limited range of influence close to the mean diameter of a fracture. The information is useful for engineering designs at sites with fractured rocks. We quantified that the tracer test in wells might lead to the overestimation of mean concentration and induce high uncertainty in fractured media.
Qiyu Chen, Gregoire Mariethoz, Gang Liu, Alessandro Comunian, and Xiaogang Ma
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 6547–6566, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6547-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6547-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
One of the critical issues in MPS simulation is the difficulty in obtaining a credible 3-D training image. We propose an MPS-based 3-D reconstruction method on the basis of 2-D cross sections, making 3-D training images unnecessary. The main advantages of this approach are the high computational efficiency and a relaxation of the stationarity assumption. The results, in comparison with previous MPS methods, show better performance in portraying anisotropy characteristics and in CPU cost.
Rogier Westerhoff, Paul White, and Gonzalo Miguez-Macho
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 6449–6472, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6449-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6449-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
Our study improved a global-scale groundwater model to build the first nationwide estimate of the water table surface in New Zealand. By identifying the main alluvial aquifers with high spatial detail, we showed that this model can help better delineate aquifer boundaries. In catchment studies we demonstrated excellent correlation with ground observations and provided water table estimates where data were sparse and across regions, which could help solve trans-boundary issues between catchments.
Yonatan Ganot, Ran Holtzman, Noam Weisbrod, Anat Bernstein, Hagar Siebner, Yoram Katz, and Daniel Kurtzman
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 6323–6333, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6323-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6323-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
In recent years, surpluses of desalinated seawater (DSW) are stored in the Israeli coastal aquifer. We monitor DSW spread in the aquifer using the difference between isotope composition of reverse-osmosis DSW and natural fresh water, which simplifies the system to two distinct end-members. A hydrogeological flow and transport model is used to demonstrate the robustness of this simplification, predict the future spread of DSW in the aquifer and mixing in wells, and estimate DSW recovery efficacy.
Claudia Cherubini, Nicola Pastore, Dimitra Rapti, and Concetta I. Giasi
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 5211–5225, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5211-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5211-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
The present study investigates the hotspots of groundwater contamination in the industrial area of Modugno (Bari – southern Italy) where the limestone aquifer has a fractured and karstic nature. The characterization of the dynamics of fluid flow and solute transport in fractured aquifers is of broad concern worldwide, especially when considered in relation to water resource exploitation, because fractured aquifers serve as the primary source of drinking water for many areas of the world.
Rena Meyer, Peter Engesgaard, Klaus Hinsby, Jan A. Piotrowski, and Torben O. Sonnenborg
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 4843–4865, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4843-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4843-2018, 2018
Khabat Khosravi, Mahdi Panahi, and Dieu Tien Bui
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 4771–4792, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4771-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4771-2018, 2018
Yong Xiao, Jingli Shao, Shaun K. Frape, Yali Cui, Xueya Dang, Shengbin Wang, and Yonghong Ji
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 4381–4400, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4381-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4381-2018, 2018
Martin Suchy, Leonard I. Wassenaar, Gwyn Graham, and Bernie Zebarth
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 4267–4279, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4267-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-4267-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
Groundwater contamination by nitrate is a global problem. Understanding sources and transformations of nitrate in aquifers is key to inform remediation, and isotopes of nitrate (15N, 18O) are used for this. Most isotopic investigations are synoptic studies. Here we show that high-frequency nitrate isotope sampling of aquifer recharge better reveals the impact of short-term changes in land use practice or climatic conditions that need to be taken into account when considering long-term trends.
Elliott P. Morrill and Joseph F. Becker
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3761–3775, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3761-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3761-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
The goal of the paper was to develop a method to identify the length and severity of flood events for (re)insurance and risk management usage. We took publically available nationwide discharge data from the USGS to apply our method to. We were able to define a peak and a threshold for each individual site, which served as the basis of our method. The hope was that the method would help replace the current standard hours clause and hopefully improve how flood insurance is covered internationally.
David Pulido-Velazquez, Arianna Renau-Pruñonosa, Carlos Llopis-Albert, Ignacio Morell, Antonio-Juan Collados-Lara, Javier Senent-Aparicio, and Leticia Baena-Ruiz
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3053–3074, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3053-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3053-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
We have developed a method to assess hydrological impacts of future potential global change (GC) scenarios in a coastal aquifer, the Plana Oropesa-Torreblanca aquifer. Quantity and quality issues are simultaneously considered. It includes the generation of potential GC scenarios involving different sources of uncertainty and an integrated modelling framework to assess their impacts. It is a valuable tool to improve our aquifer knowledge and to help in the analysis of management strategies.
Martina Siena and Monica Riva
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2971–2985, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2971-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2971-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
The development of sustainable strategies for groundwater resources exploitation in coastal regions is subordinated to the characterization of seawater intrusion (SWI) phenomena. We develop a numerical model tailored to a real coastal aquifer to investigate quantitatively the joint effects of hydraulic properties heterogeneity and pumping configuration on saltwater inland penetration and saltwater–freshwater mixing. Our results allowed identifying efficient scenarios for the reduction of SWI.
Katherine M. Ransom, Andrew M. Bell, Quinn E. Barber, George Kourakos, and Thomas Harter
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2739–2758, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2739-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2739-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
We estimated a probability distribution of nitrogen loading rates for crop and land-use groups from regional groundwater data. Water & natural land use had the lowest estimated rates, while dairy land use had the highest. Most results compare favorably to previous estimates, though mass balance estimates for several crop groups were higher than our model estimates. The information can provide a better assessment of land-use impacts to water quality absent information on farm nutrient management.
Sebastian Huizer, Max Radermacher, Sierd de Vries, Gualbert H. P. Oude Essink, and Marc F. P. Bierkens
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1065–1080, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1065-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1065-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
For a large beach nourishment called the Sand Engine we have examined the impact of groundwater recharge, tides, storm surges, and geomorphological changes on the growth of the fresh groundwater resources between 2011 and 2016. With detailed model simulations of these coastal processes we were able to get a good match with field measurements, and demonstrated the importance of wave runup and coastal erosion in studies on fresh groundwater in such dynamic coastal environments.
Pietro Teatini, Giovanni Isotton, Stefano Nardean, Massimiliano Ferronato, Annamaria Mazzia, Cristina Da Lio, Luca Zaggia, Debora Bellafiore, Massimo Zecchin, Luca Baradello, Francisco Cellone, Fabiana Corami, Andrea Gambaro, Giovanni Libralato, Elisa Morabito, Annamaria Volpi Ghirardini, Riccardo Broglia, Stefano Zaghi, and Luigi Tosi
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 5627–5646, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5627-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5627-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
We investigate the effects of digging a navigable canal on the hydrogeological system underlying a coastal lagoon. The research has been promoted by the Venice Water Authority, which is investigating different possibilities to avoid the passage of large cruise ships through the historic center of Venice, Italy. Numerical simulations supported by a proper hydrogeological characterization show that the exchange of water and contaminants from the subsurface and surface systems will be significant.
Yehuda Levy, Roi H. Shapira, Benny Chefetz, and Daniel Kurtzman
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3811–3825, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3811-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3811-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
Nitrate–nitrogen is a groundwater contaminant worldwide that originates commonly from agricultural fertilization. In this work, we built a computer model which follows the fate of nitrogen from land surface to deep (~100 m) and distant (~km) groundwater wells. The model succeeded estimating total groundwater nitrate, yet failed to point-estimate contaminated wells, extra assumptions fixed it. This enabled prediction of future groundwater–nitrate which revealed the need to reduce fertilization.
Cybèle Cholet, Jean-Baptiste Charlier, Roger Moussa, Marc Steinmann, and Sophie Denimal
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3635–3653, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3635-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3635-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
This paper aims to improve the understanding of transport processes in karst aquifers, which remains a great challenge due to its complex nature. A framework is proposed to identify and quantify the spatio-temporal variability of lateral exchanges along a karst conduit network during flood events, for both flow and solute transport. An inverse problem approach is used on discharge and water mineralization data sets and gives new insights into the hydrogeological behavior of such complex systems.
Dirk Scheer, Wilfried Konrad, Holger Class, Alexander Kissinger, Stefan Knopf, and Vera Noack
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2739–2750, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-2739-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-2739-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
Stakeholder participation in numerical modeling of brine migration due to injection of CO2 into deep saline aquifers is tested in this work. Part 1 reports the process of participatory modeling in the development of a numerical model and Part 2 discusses essential technical findings obtained through this model, showing that notable increases in salt concentrations are confined to regions where they were already high a priori and where barrier layers are discontinuous.
Alexander Kissinger, Vera Noack, Stefan Knopf, Wilfried Konrad, Dirk Scheer, and Holger Class
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2751–2775, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-2751-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-2751-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
Stakeholder participation in numerical modeling of brine migration due to injection of CO2 into deep saline aquifers is tested in this work. Part 1 reports the process of participatory modeling on the development of a numerical model and Part 2 discusses essential technical findings obtained through this model showing that notable increases in salt concentrations are confined to regions where they were already high a priori and where barrier layers are discontinuous.
Rabia Slimani, Abdelhamid Guendouz, Fabienne Trolard, Adnane Souffi Moulla, Belhadj Hamdi-Aïssa, and Guilhem Bourrié
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1669–1691, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1669-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1669-2017, 2017
Ahmad Ali Behroozmand, Pietro Teatini, Jesper Bjergsted Pedersen, Esben Auken, Omar Tosatto, and Anders Vest Christiansen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1527–1545, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1527-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1527-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
Within the framework of the EU project IMPROWARE, our goal was to investigate a Mediterranean coastal aquifer in Egypt and develop scenarios for artificial aquifer remediation and recharge. The results of an extensive hydrogeophysical investigation were successfully used as an input in regional and local hydrological models to understand the hydrological evolution of the area. The research outcomes clearly highlight the effectiveness of using advanced geophysical and modeling methodologies.
Nikolaj Kruse Christensen, Ty Paul A. Ferre, Gianluca Fiandaca, and Steen Christensen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1321–1337, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1321-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1321-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
This study presents a new method for coupling a 3-D geophysical model with a 3-D groundwater model for improved groundwater model construction and prediction accuracy. The hydrological data consist of 35 hydraulic head measurements and one river discharge measurement, while the geophysical data set consists of 6300 measurement positions. The results demonstrate that the geophysical inversion strategy significantly affects the construction and prediction capability of the groundwater model.
Cited articles
Allen, D. M., Cannon, A. J., Toews, M. W., and Scibek, J.: Variability in simulated recharge using different GCMs, Water Resour. Res., 46, W00F03, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009WR008932, 2010.
Anderson Jr., W. P.: Aquifer salinization from storm overwash, J. Coast. Res., 18, 413–420, 2002.
Ataie-Ashtiani, B., Werner, A. D., Simmons, C. T., Morgan, L. K., and Lu, C.: How important is the impact of land-surface inundation on seawater intrusion caused by sea-level rise?, Hydrogeol. J., 21, 1673–1677, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2012.03.004, 2013.
Ayers, J. F. and Vacher, H. L.: Hydrogeology of an atoll island: A conceptual model from detailed study of a Micronesian example, Ground Water, 24, 185–198, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.1986.tb00994.x, 1986.
Barlow, P. M.: Ground Water in Freshwater-Saltwater Environments of the Atlantic Coast, US Department of the Interior, US Geol. Surv. Circular 1262, Reston, Virginia, USA, 2003.
Beach, D. K. and Ginsburg, R. N.: Facies succession of Pliocene-Pleistocene carbonates, northwestern Great Bahama Bank, AAPG Bull.-Am. Assoc. Petr. Geol., 64, 1634–1642, 1980.
Bear, J., Cheng, A. H. D., Sorek, S., Herrera, I., and Ouazar, D. (Eds.): Seawater Intrusion in Coastal Aquifers, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, the Netherlands, 1999.
Biasutti, M., Sobel, A. H., Camargo, S. J., and Creyts, T. T.: Projected changes in the physical climate of the gulf coast and caribbean, Climatic Change, 112, 819–845, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0254-y, 2012.
Boardman, M. R. and Carney, C.: Influence of sea level on the origin and diagenesis of the shallow aquifer of Andros Island, Bahamas, in: Proceedings of the Eighth Symposium on the Geology of the Bahamas, Bahamian Field Station, edited by: Carew, J. L., San Salvador, Bahamas, 13–32, 1997.
Bobba, A. G.: Numerical modeling of salt-water intrusion due to human activities and sea-level change in the Godavari Delta, India, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 47, 67–80, 2002.
Bowleg, J. and Allen, D. M.: Effects of storm surges on groundwater resources, North Andros Island, Bahamas, in: Climate Change Effects on Groundwater Resources: A Global Synthesis of Findings and Recommendations, IAH International Contributions to Hydrogeology, editd by: Treidgel, H., Martin-Bordes, J. L., and Gurdak, J. J., CRC Press, London, UK, 2011.
Bukowski, J. M., Carney, C., Ritzi Jr., R. W., and Boardman, M. R.: Modeling the fresh-salt water interface in the Pleistocene aquifer on Andros Island, Bahamas, in: Proceedings of the Ninth Symposium on the Geology of the Bahamas, Bahamian Field Station, edited by: Curran, H. A. and Mylroie, J. E., San Salvador, Bahamas, 1–13, 1999.
Cant, R. V. and Weech, P. S.: A review of the factors affecting the development of Ghyben-Herzberg lenses in the Bahamas, J. Hydrol., 84, 333-343, https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(86)90131-9, 1986.
Cashman, A., Nurse, L., and Charlery, J.: Climate change in the Caribbean: the water management implications, J. Environ. Develop., 19, 42–67, https://doi.org/10.1177/1070496509347088, 2010.
Chui, T. F. M. and Terry, J. P.: Modeling fresh water lens damage and recovery on atolls after storm-wave washover, Ground Water, 50, 412–420, 2012.
Chui, T. F. M. and Terry, J. P.: Influence of sea-level rise on freshwater lenses of different atoll island sizes and lens resilience to storm-induced salinization, J. Hydrol., 502, 18–26, 2013.
Falkland, A. (Ed.): Hydrology and water resources of small island: a practical guide, United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization – UNESCO, Paris, 1991.
Franklin, J., Pasch, R., Avila, L., Beven, J., Lawrence, M., Stewart, S., and Blake, E.: Atlantic hurricane season of 2004, Mon. Weather Rev., 134, 981–1025, 2006.
Freeze, R. A. and Cherry, J. A.: Groundwater, Prentice-Hall, Upper Saddle River, NJ, USA, 1977.
Goderniaux, P., Brouyere, S., Fowler, H. J., Blenkinsop, S., Therrien, R., Orban, P., and Dassargues, A.: Large scale surface-subsurface hydrological model to assess climate change impacts on groundwater reserves, J. Hydrol., 373, 122–138, 2009.
Green, T. R., Taniguchi, M., Kooi, H., Gurdak, J. J., Allen, D. M., Hiscock, K. M., and Aureli, A.: Beneath the surface of global change: Impacts of climate change on groundwater, J. Hydrol., 405, 532–560, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.05.002, 2011.
Illangasekare, T., Tyler, S. W., Clement, T. P., Villholth, K. G., Perera, A. P. G. R. L., Obeysekera, J., Gunatilaka, A., Panabokke, C. R., Hyndman, D. W., Cunningham, K. J., Kaluarachchi, J. J., Yeh, W. W. G., van Genuchten, M. T., and Jensen, K.: Impacts of the 2004 tsunami on groundwater resources in Sri Lanka, Water Resour. Res., 42, W05201, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006WR004876, 2006.
IPCC: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis, in: Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Solomon, S., Qun, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K. B., Tignor, M., and Miller, H. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 2007.
IPCC: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, Part B: Regional Aspects, in: Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Barros, V. R., Field, C. B., Dokken, D. J., Mastrandrea, M. D., Mach, K. J., Bilir, T. E., Chatterjee, M., Ebi, K. L., Estrada, Y. O., Genova, R. C., Girma, B., Kissel, E. S., Levy, A. N., MacCracken, S., Mastrandrea, P. R., and White, L. L., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 2014.
Jyrkama, M. I. and Sykes, J. F.: The impact of climate change on spatially varying groundwater recharge in the grand river watershed (Ontario), J. Hydrol., 338, 237–250, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.02.036, 2007.
Langevin, C. D. and Zygnerski, M.: Effect of sea-level rise on salt water intrusion near coastal well field in southeastern Florida, Ground Water, 51, 781–803, 2013.
Langevin, C. D., Thorne, D. T., Dausman, A. M., Sukop, M. C., and Guo, W.: SEAWAT Version 4: A Computer Program for Simulation of Multi-Species Solute and Heat Transport, US Geol. Surv. Techniques and Methods Book 6, Chapter A22, US Geological Survey, Florida, USA, 2007.
Little, B. G., Buckley, D. K., Jefferiss, A., Stark, J., and Young, R. N.: Land resources of the commonwealth of the Bahamas, Volume 4 Andros Island, Land Resources Division, Tolworth Tower, Surrey, England, 1973.
McSweeney, C., New, M., Lizcano, G., and Lu, X.: The UNDP Climate Change Country Profiles, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 91, 157–166, https://doi.org/10.1175/2009BAMS2826.1, 2010.
Michael, H. A., Russoniello, C. J., and Byron, L. A.: Global assessment of vulnerability to sea-level rise in topography-limited and recharge-limited coastal groundwater systems, Water Resour. Res., 49, 2228–2240, https://doi.org/10.1002/wrcr.20213, 2013.
Mollema, P. N. and Antonellini, M.: Seasonal variation in natural recharge of coastal aquifers, Hydrogeol. J., 21, 787-797, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-013-0960-9, 2013.
Momi, K., Shoji, J., and Nakagawa, K.: Observations and modeling of seawater intrusion for a small limestone island aquifer, Hydrol. Process., 19, 3897–3909, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.5988, 2005.
NOAA: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/, last access: 10 June 2014.
Obeysekera, J., Park, J., Irizarry-Ortiz, M., Barnes, J., and Trimble, P.: Probabilistic projection of mean sea level and coastal extremes, J. Waterw. Ports Coast. Ocean Eng., 139, 135–141, https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WW.1943-5460.0000154, 2013.
Oude Essink, G. H. P.: Improving fresh groundwater supply – problems and solutions, Ocean Coast. Manage., 44, 429–449, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0964-5691(01)00057-6, 2001.
Rahmstorf, S.: A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise, Science, 315, 368–370, https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1135456, 2007.
Ranjan, P., Kazama, S., Sawamoto, M., and Sana, A.: Global scale evaluation of coastal fresh groundwater resources, Ocean Coast. Manage., 52, 197–206, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2008.09.006, 2009.
Rasmussen, P., Sonnenborg, T. O., Goncear, G., and Hinsby, K.: Assessing impacts of climate change, sea level rise, and drainage canals on saltwater intrusion to coastal aquifer, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 421–443, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-421-2013, 2013.
Ritzi, R., Bukowski, J., Carney, C., and Boardman, M.: Explaining the thinness of the fresh water lens in the Pleistocene carbonate aquifer on Andros Island, Bahamas, Ground Water, 39, 713–720, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.2001.tb02361.x, 2001.
Robins, N. and Lawrence, A.: Some hydrogeological problems peculiar to various types of small islands, Water Environ. J., 14, 341–346, 2000.
Schneider, J. and Kruse, S.: A comparison of controls on freshwater lens morphology of small carbonate and siliciclastic islands: Examples from barrier islands in Florida, USA, J. Hydrol., 284, 253–269, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2003.08.002, 2003.
Schroeder, P. R., Dozier, T. S., Zappi, P. A., McEnroe, B. M., Sjostrom, J. W., and Peyton, R. L.: The Hydrologic Evaluation of Landfill Performance (HELP) model: Engineering documentation for Version 3, Rep. EPA/600/R-94/168b, US Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C., USA, 1994.
Scibek, J. and Allen, D. M.: Modeled impacts of predicted climate change on recharge and groundwater levels, Water Resour. Res., 42, W11405, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005WR004742, 2006.
Stoeckl, L. and Houben, G.: Flow dynamics and age stratification of freshwater lenses: Experiments and modeling, J. Hydrol., 458, 9–15, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jyhrol.2012.05.070, 2012.
Sulzbacher, H., Wiederhold, H., Siemon, B., Grinat, M., Igel, J., Burschil, T., Günther, T., and Hinsby, K.: Numerical modelling of climate change impacts on freshwater lenses on the North Sea Island of Borkum using hydrological and geophysical methods, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 3621–3643, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-3621-2012, 2012.
Tarbox, K. L.: Occurrence and development of water resources in The Bahamas, in: Proceedings of the Third Symposium on the Geology of the Bahamas, Bahamian Field Station, edited by: Curran, H. A., San Salvador, Bahamas, 139–144, 1987.
Terry, J. P. and Chui, T. F. M.: Evaluating the fate of freshwater lenses on atoll islands after eustatic sea-level rise and cyclone-driven inundation: A modeling approach, Global Planet. Change, 88–89, 76–84, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2012.03.008, 2012.
Terry, J. P. and Falkland, A. C.: Responses of atoll freshwater lenses to storm-surge overwash in the Northern Cook Islands, Hydrogeol. J., 18, 749–759, 2010.
Therrien, R., McLaren, R., Sudicky, E. and Panday, S.: HydroGeoSphere – A three-dimensional numerical model describing fully-integrated subsurface and surface flow and solute transport, University of Waterloo and Université Laval, Waterloo, Canada, 2010.
Toews, M. W. and Allen, D. M.: Evaluating different GCMs for predicting spatial recharge in an irrigated arid region, J. Hydrol., 374, 265–281, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.022, 2009
UNDP – United Nations Development Programme: Climate Change Country Profiles, The Bahamas, 2010.
Vacher, H. L.: Dupuit-Ghyben-Herzberg analysis of strip-island lenses, Bull. Geol. Soc. Am., 100, 580–591, https://doi.org/10.1130/0016-7606(1988)100<0580:DGHAOS>2.3.CO;2, 1988.
Vacher, H. L. and Quinn, T. M. (Eds.): Geology and hydrogeology of carbonate island, in: Developments in Sedimentology Vol. 54, Elsevier, Tampa Bay, Florida, USA, 1997.
Wallis, T. N., Vacher, H. L., and Stewart, M. T.: Hydrogeology of freshwater lens beneath a Holocene strandplain, Great Exuma, Bahamas, J. Hydrol., 125, 93–109, https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(91)90085-V, 1991.
Werner, A. D. and Simmons, C. T.: Impact of sea-level rise on sea water intrusion in coastal aquifers, Ground Water, 47, 197–204, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.2008.00535.x, 2009.
Werner, A. D., Jakovovic, D., and Simmons, C. T.: Experimental observations of saltwater up-coning, J. Hydrol., 373, 230–241, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.05.004, 2009.
Whitaker, F. and Smart, P.: Climatic control of hydraulic conductivity of Bahamian limestones, Ground Water, 35, 859–868, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1745-6584.1997.tb00154.x, 1997.
White, I. and Falkland, A.: Management of freshwater lenses on small Pacific islands, Hydrogeol. J., 18, 227–246, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-009-0525-0, 2010.
White, N. J., Church, J. A., and Gregory, J. M.: Coastal and global averaged sea level rise for 1950 to 2000, Geophy. Res. Lett., 32, L01601, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL021391, 2005.
WHO – World Health Organisation: Guidelines for drinking-water quality, 4th Edn., Geneva, Switzerland, 2011.
Wolfe, P. J., Adams, A. L., and Carney, C. K.: A resistivity study of the freshwater lens profile across North Andros Island, The Bahamas, in: Proceedings of the Tenth Symposium on the Geology of the Bahamas and Other Carbonate Regions, edited by: Greenstein, B. J. and Carney, C. K., Gerace Research Center, San Salvador, Bahamas, 31–40, 2001.
Yang, J., Graf, T., Herold, M., and Ptak, T.: Modeling the effects of tides and storm surges on coastal aquifers using a coupled surface-subsurface approach, J. Contam. Hydrol., 149, 61–75, 2013.
Younger, P. L.: Simple generalized methods for estimating aquifer storage parameters, Q. J. Eng. Geol. Hydrogeol., 26, 127–135, https://doi.org/10.1144/GSL.QJEG.1993.026.02.04, 1993.
Short summary
Freshwater lenses are vulnerable to many climate change stressors that act over varying spatial and temporal scales. This study evaluates the spatial and temporal response of a freshwater lens to short- and long-acting climate stressors using a numerical modeling approach. The results identify critical factors affecting the freshwater lens response for a typical small, low-lying island setting, as well as the effectiveness of remedial options in improving lens recovery.
Freshwater lenses are vulnerable to many climate change stressors that act over varying spatial...