Articles | Volume 20, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2437-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2437-2016
Research article
 | 
22 Jun 2016
Research article |  | 22 Jun 2016

An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin – Part 1: Understanding the role of initial hydrological conditions

Xing Yuan, Feng Ma, Linying Wang, Ziyan Zheng, Zhuguo Ma, Aizhong Ye, and Shaoming Peng

Related authors

Technical note: A stochastic framework for identification and evaluation of flash drought
Yuxin Li, Sisi Chen, Jun Yin, and Xing Yuan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 1077–1087, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1077-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1077-2023, 2023
Short summary
Ensemble streamflow forecasting over a cascade reservoir catchment with integrated hydrometeorological modeling and machine learning
Junjiang Liu, Xing Yuan, Junhan Zeng, Yang Jiao, Yong Li, Lihua Zhong, and Ling Yao
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 265–278, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-265-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-265-2022, 2022
Short summary
Rapid reduction in ecosystem productivity caused by flash droughts based on decade-long FLUXNET observations
Miao Zhang and Xing Yuan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5579–5593, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5579-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5579-2020, 2020
Short summary
Accelerated hydrological cycle over the Sanjiangyuan region induces more streamflow extremes at different global warming levels
Peng Ji, Xing Yuan, Feng Ma, and Ming Pan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5439–5451, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5439-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5439-2020, 2020
Short summary
More severe hydrological drought events emerge at different warming levels over the Wudinghe watershed in northern China
Yang Jiao and Xing Yuan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 621–635, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-621-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-621-2019, 2019
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Hydrometeorology | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
Assessing downscaling methods to simulate hydrologically relevant weather scenarios from a global atmospheric reanalysis: case study of the upper Rhône River (1902–2009)
Caroline Legrand, Benoît Hingray, Bruno Wilhelm, and Martin Ménégoz
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 2139–2166, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2139-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2139-2024, 2024
Short summary
Global total precipitable water variations and trends over the period 1958–2021
Nenghan Wan, Xiaomao Lin, Roger A. Pielke Sr., Xubin Zeng, and Amanda M. Nelson
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 2123–2137, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2123-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2123-2024, 2024
Short summary
Assessing decadal- to centennial-scale nonstationary variability in meteorological drought trends
Kyungmin Sung, Max C. A. Torbenson, and James H. Stagge
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 2047–2063, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2047-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2047-2024, 2024
Short summary
Identification of compound drought and heatwave events on a daily scale and across four seasons
Baoying Shan, Niko E. C. Verhoest, and Bernard De Baets
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 2065–2080, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2065-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2065-2024, 2024
Short summary
Potential for historically unprecedented Australian droughts from natural variability and climate change
Georgina M. Falster, Nicky M. Wright, Nerilie J. Abram, Anna M. Ukkola, and Benjamin J. Henley
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 1383–1401, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1383-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1383-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Bierkens, M. F. P. and van Beek, L. P. H.: Seasonal predictability of European discharge: NAO and hydrological response time, J. Hydrometeorol., 10, 953–968, https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JHM1034.1, 2009.
Cong, Z., Yang, D., Gao, B., Yang, H., and Hu, H.: Hydrological trend analysis in the Yellow River basin using a distributed hydrological model, Water Resour. Res., 45, W00A13, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008WR006852, 2009.
Day, G. N.: Extended streamflow forecasting using NWSRFS, J. Water Resour. Pl. Manage Div. Am. Soc. Civ. Eng., 111, 157–170, https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(1985)111:2(157), 1985.
Duan, Q., Sorooshian, S., and Gupta, V. K.: Optimal use of SCE-UA global optimization method for calibrating watershed models, J. Hydrol., 158, 265–284, https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(94)90057-4, 1994.
Gong, L., Widen-Nilsson, E., Halldin, S., and Xu, C.-Y.: Large-scale runoff routing with an aggregated network-response function, J. Hydrol., 368, 237–250, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.02.007, 2009.
Download
Short summary
An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system is established over the Yellow River basin to provide adaptive support in a changing environment. The system consists of downscaled NMME climate prediction, hydrological models calibrated against naturalized streamflow along the mainstream, and a post-processor to account for the human interventions implicitly. As the first paper of a two-part series, this paper investigates the hydrological predictability by using reverse ESP simulations.