Articles | Volume 26, issue 20
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5315-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5315-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Attribution of climate change and human activities to streamflow variations with a posterior distribution of hydrological simulations
Xiongpeng Tang
Guangdong-Hong Kong Joint Laboratory for Water Security, Beijing
Normal University at Zhuhai, Zhuhai 519087, China
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic
Engineering, Nanjing 210098, China
Guobin Fu
CSIRO, Land and Water, Private Bag 5, Wembley, WA 6913, Australia
Silong Zhang
Guangdong-Hong Kong Joint Laboratory for Water Security, Beijing
Normal University at Zhuhai, Zhuhai 519087, China
Chao Gao
Guangdong-Hong Kong Joint Laboratory for Water Security, Beijing
Normal University at Zhuhai, Zhuhai 519087, China
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic
Engineering, Nanjing 210098, China
Hydrology and Water Resources Department, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China
Zhenxin Bao
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic
Engineering, Nanjing 210098, China
Hydrology and Water Resources Department, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China
Yanli Liu
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic
Engineering, Nanjing 210098, China
Hydrology and Water Resources Department, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China
Cuishan Liu
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic
Engineering, Nanjing 210098, China
Hydrology and Water Resources Department, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China
Junliang Jin
State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic
Engineering, Nanjing 210098, China
Hydrology and Water Resources Department, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, China
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Short summary
In this study, we proposed a new framework that considered the uncertainties of model simulations in quantifying the contribution rate of climate change and human activities to streamflow changes. Then, the Lancang River basin was selected for the case study. The results of quantitative analysis using the new framework showed that the reason for the decrease in the streamflow at Yunjinghong station was mainly human activities.
In this study, we proposed a new framework that considered the uncertainties of model...