Articles | Volume 22, issue 1
Research article
15 Jan 2018
Research article |  | 15 Jan 2018

Regression-based season-ahead drought prediction for southern Peru conditioned on large-scale climate variables

Eric Mortensen, Shu Wu, Michael Notaro, Stephen Vavrus, Rob Montgomery, José De Piérola, Carlos Sánchez, and Paul Block

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Cited articles

Aceituno, P. and Montecinos, A.: Análisis de la estabilidad de la relación entre la Oscilación del Sur y la precipitación en América del Sur, Bulletin de l'institut Francais d'Etudes Andines, 22, 53–64, 1993. 
Alegría, J. F.: The Challenges of Water Resources Management in Peru, Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Project for Southern Andes of Peru, presented at: IAP Water Programme Regional Workshop for the Americas in Sao Paulo, Brazil, 2006. 
Autoridad Nacional de Agua – ANA: Observatorio de Sequía Peruana, UNESCO, en colaboración con Minagri, Cenepred, Indeci, y la Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, y Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Alimentación y la Agricultura, 2014. 
Autoridad Nacional de Agua – ANA: Ministerio de Agricultura y Riego ejecuta plan de contingencia por peligro inminente de déficit hídrico en el sur, artículo publicado por ANA, 2016. 
Bisetegne, D., Ogallo, L., and Ininda, J.: Rainfall characteristics in Ethiopia, Technical Conference on Meteorological Research in Eastern and Southern Africa, Nairobi, Kenya, 1986. 
Short summary
Some do not realize the intrinsic importance of water until there is no water left. This is the reality faced by people in southern Peru, a dry area of the world where several economic activities and cities vie for scarce water resources. With the developed season-ahead precipitation prediction model, stakeholders and decision makers in this region will have another tool in their belt to respond to and plan for the negative impacts brought on by drought.