Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
HESS
Sub-seasonal to seasonal hydrological forecasting
Special issues
Special issues
Sub-seasonal to seasonal hydrological forecasting
Editor(s): F. Wetterhall, I. G. Pechlivanidis, M.-H. Ramos, A. Wood, Q. J. Wang, E. Zehe, and U. Ehret

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22 Jan 2019
Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part 2: Sources of skill
Wouter Greuell, Wietse H. P. Franssen, and Ronald W. A. Hutjes
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 371–391, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-371-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-371-2019, 2019
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21 Dec 2018
On the skill of raw and post-processed ensemble seasonal meteorological forecasts in Denmark
Diana Lucatero, Henrik Madsen, Jens C. Refsgaard, Jacob Kidmose, and Karsten H. Jensen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 6591–6609, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6591-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-6591-2018, 2018
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04 Jul 2018
Seasonal streamflow forecasts in the Ahlergaarde catchment, Denmark: the effect of preprocessing and post-processing on skill and statistical consistency
Diana Lucatero, Henrik Madsen, Jens C. Refsgaard, Jacob Kidmose, and Karsten H. Jensen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3601–3617, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3601-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3601-2018, 2018
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29 Jun 2018
Seasonal streamflow forecasting in the upper Indus Basin of Pakistan: an assessment of methods
Stephen P. Charles, Quan J. Wang, Mobin-ud-Din Ahmad, Danial Hashmi, Andrew Schepen, Geoff Podger, and David E. Robertson
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3533–3549, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3533-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3533-2018, 2018
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28 Jun 2018
Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part I: Hindcast verification with pseudo- and real observations
Wouter Greuell, Wietse H. P. Franssen, Hester Biemans, and Ronald W. A. Hutjes
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3453–3472, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3453-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3453-2018, 2018
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21 Jun 2018
The benefit of seamless forecasts for hydrological predictions over Europe
Fredrik Wetterhall and Francesca Di Giuseppe
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3409–3420, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3409-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3409-2018, 2018
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18 May 2018
The development and evaluation of a hydrological seasonal forecast system prototype for predicting spring flood volumes in Swedish rivers
Kean Foster, Cintia Bertacchi Uvo, and Jonas Olsson
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2953–2970, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2953-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2953-2018, 2018
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11 Apr 2018
Statistical forecast of seasonal discharge in Central Asia using observational records: development of a generic linear modelling tool for operational water resource management
Heiko Apel, Zharkinay Abdykerimova, Marina Agalhanova, Azamat Baimaganbetov, Nadejda Gavrilenko, Lars Gerlitz, Olga Kalashnikova, Katy Unger-Shayesteh, Sergiy Vorogushyn, and Abror Gafurov
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2225–2254, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2225-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2225-2018, 2018
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04 Apr 2018
Long-term ensemble forecast of snowmelt inflow into the Cheboksary Reservoir under two different weather scenarios
Alexander Gelfan, Vsevolod Moreydo, Yury Motovilov, and Dimitri P. Solomatine
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2073–2089, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2073-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2073-2018, 2018
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03 Apr 2018
Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?
Louise Arnal, Hannah L. Cloke, Elisabeth Stephens, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christel Prudhomme, Jessica Neumann, Blazej Krzeminski, and Florian Pappenberger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2057–2072, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018, 2018
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29 Mar 2018
Benchmarking ensemble streamflow prediction skill in the UK
Shaun Harrigan, Christel Prudhomme, Simon Parry, Katie Smith, and Maliko Tanguy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2023–2039, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2023-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2023-2018, 2018
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01 Mar 2018
A Bayesian modelling method for post-processing daily sub-seasonal to seasonal rainfall forecasts from global climate models and evaluation for 12 Australian catchments
Andrew Schepen, Tongtiegang Zhao, Quan J. Wang, and David E. Robertson
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1615–1628, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1615-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1615-2018, 2018
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26 Feb 2018
Scenario approach for the seasonal forecast of Kharif flows from the Upper Indus Basin
Muhammad Fraz Ismail and Wolfgang Bogacki
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1391–1409, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1391-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1391-2018, 2018
09 Feb 2018
Retrospective forecasts of the upcoming winter season snow accumulation in the Inn headwaters (European Alps)
Kristian Förster, Florian Hanzer, Elena Stoll, Adam A. Scaife, Craig MacLachlan, Johannes Schöber, Matthias Huttenlau, Stefan Achleitner, and Ulrich Strasser
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1157–1173, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1157-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1157-2018, 2018
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02 Feb 2018
Monthly streamflow forecasting at varying spatial scales in the Rhine basin
Simon Schick, Ole Rössler, and Rolf Weingartner
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 929–942, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-929-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-929-2018, 2018
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01 Feb 2018
State updating and calibration period selection to improve dynamic monthly streamflow forecasts for an environmental flow management application
Matthew S. Gibbs, David McInerney, Greer Humphrey, Mark A. Thyer, Holger R. Maier, Graeme C. Dandy, and Dmitri Kavetski
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 871–887, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-871-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-871-2018, 2018
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22 Jan 2018
A conceptual prediction model for seasonal drought processes using atmospheric and oceanic standardized anomalies: application to regional drought processes in China
Zhenchen Liu, Guihua Lu, Hai He, Zhiyong Wu, and Jian He
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 529–546, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-529-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-529-2018, 2018
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15 Jan 2018
Regression-based season-ahead drought prediction for southern Peru conditioned on large-scale climate variables
Eric Mortensen, Shu Wu, Michael Notaro, Stephen Vavrus, Rob Montgomery, José De Piérola, Carlos Sánchez, and Paul Block
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 287–303, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-287-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-287-2018, 2018
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09 Jan 2018
Exploratory studies into seasonal flow forecasting potential for large lakes
Kevin Sene, Wlodek Tych, and Keith Beven
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 127–141, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-127-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-127-2018, 2018
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09 Jan 2018
Does objective cluster analysis serve as a useful precursor to seasonal precipitation prediction at local scale? Application to western Ethiopia
Ying Zhang, Semu Moges, and Paul Block
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 143–157, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-143-2018,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-143-2018, 2018
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15 Dec 2017
Development of a monthly to seasonal forecast framework tailored to inland waterway transport in central Europe
Dennis Meißner, Bastian Klein, and Monica Ionita
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 6401–6423, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6401-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6401-2017, 2017
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30 Nov 2017
Assessment of an ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasting system for Australia
James C. Bennett, Quan J. Wang, David E. Robertson, Andrew Schepen, Ming Li, and Kelvin Michael
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 6007–6030, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6007-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6007-2017, 2017
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22 Nov 2017
Verification of ECMWF System 4 for seasonal hydrological forecasting in a northern climate
Rachel Bazile, Marie-Amélie Boucher, Luc Perreault, and Robert Leconte
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 5747–5762, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5747-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5747-2017, 2017
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28 Sep 2017
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Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations
Sean W. D. Turner, James C. Bennett, David E. Robertson, and Stefano Galelli
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4841–4859, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4841-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4841-2017, 2017
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21 Sep 2017
Evaluation of model-based seasonal streamflow and water allocation forecasts for the Elqui Valley, Chile
Justin Delorit, Edmundo Cristian Gonzalez Ortuya, and Paul Block
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4711–4725, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4711-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4711-2017, 2017
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18 Sep 2017
A coupled human–natural system to assess the operational value of weather and climate services for agriculture
Yu Li, Matteo Giuliani, and Andrea Castelletti
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4693–4709, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4693-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4693-2017, 2017
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15 Sep 2017
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A national-scale seasonal hydrological forecast system: development and evaluation over Britain
Victoria A. Bell, Helen N. Davies, Alison L. Kay, Anca Brookshaw, and Adam A. Scaife
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4681–4691, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4681-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4681-2017, 2017
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11 Sep 2017
Should seasonal rainfall forecasts be used for flood preparedness?
Erin Coughlan de Perez, Elisabeth Stephens, Konstantinos Bischiniotis, Maarten van Aalst, Bart van den Hurk, Simon Mason, Hannah Nissan, and Florian Pappenberger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4517–4524, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4517-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4517-2017, 2017
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14 Aug 2017
Skill of a global forecasting system in seasonal ensemble streamflow prediction
Naze Candogan Yossef, Rens van Beek, Albrecht Weerts, Hessel Winsemius, and Marc F. P. Bierkens
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4103–4114, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4103-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4103-2017, 2017
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31 Jul 2017
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An intercomparison of approaches for improving operational seasonal streamflow forecasts
Pablo A. Mendoza, Andrew W. Wood, Elizabeth Clark, Eric Rothwell, Martyn P. Clark, Bart Nijssen, Levi D. Brekke, and Jeffrey R. Arnold
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3915–3935, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3915-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3915-2017, 2017
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17 Mar 2017
Seasonal forecasting of hydrological drought in the Limpopo Basin: a comparison of statistical methods
Mathias Seibert, Bruno Merz, and Heiko Apel
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1611–1629, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1611-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1611-2017, 2017
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14 Mar 2017
Seasonal streamflow forecasting by conditioning climatology with precipitation indices
Louise Crochemore, Maria-Helena Ramos, Florian Pappenberger, and Charles Perrin
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1573–1591, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1573-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1573-2017, 2017
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09 Mar 2017
CFSv2-based sub-seasonal precipitation and temperature forecast skill over the contiguous United States
Di Tian, Eric F. Wood, and Xing Yuan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1477–1490, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1477-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1477-2017, 2017
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02 Feb 2017
Short to sub-seasonal hydrologic forecast to manage water and agricultural resources in India
Reepal Shah, Atul Kumar Sahai, and Vimal Mishra
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 707–720, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-707-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-707-2017, 2017
31 Jan 2017
Evaluation of snow data assimilation using the ensemble Kalman filter for seasonal streamflow prediction in the western United States
Chengcheng Huang, Andrew J. Newman, Martyn P. Clark, Andrew W. Wood, and Xiaogu Zheng
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 635–650, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-635-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-635-2017, 2017
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17 Nov 2016
A statistically based seasonal precipitation forecast model with automatic predictor selection and its application to central and south Asia
Lars Gerlitz, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Heiko Apel, Abror Gafurov, Katy Unger-Shayesteh, and Bruno Merz
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 4605–4623, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4605-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4605-2016, 2016
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10 Oct 2016
Optimising seasonal streamflow forecast lead time for operational decision making in Australia
Andrew Schepen, Tongtiegang Zhao, Q. J. Wang, Senlin Zhou, and Paul Feikema
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 4117–4128, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4117-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-4117-2016, 2016
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06 Sep 2016
Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts
Louise Crochemore, Maria-Helena Ramos, and Florian Pappenberger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3601–3618, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3601-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3601-2016, 2016
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12 Aug 2016
ENSO-conditioned weather resampling method for seasonal ensemble streamflow prediction
Joost V. L. Beckers, Albrecht H. Weerts, Erik Tijdeman, and Edwin Welles
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3277–3287, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3277-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3277-2016, 2016
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