Articles | Volume 20, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2649-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2649-2016
Research article
 | 
08 Jul 2016
Research article |  | 08 Jul 2016

A retrospective streamflow ensemble forecast for an extreme hydrologic event: a case study of Hurricane Irene and on the Hudson River basin

Firas Saleh, Venkatsundar Ramaswamy, Nickitas Georgas, Alan F. Blumberg, and Julie Pullen

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Subject: Catchment hydrology | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
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Cited articles

Adams, T.: Verification of the NOAA/NWS MMEFS Operational Hydrologic Ensemble Forecasting System in the Ohio River Valley, World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2015 at Floods, Droughts, and Ecosystems, 2688–2700, 2015.
Alfieri, L., Salamon, P., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., and Thielen, J.: Operational early warning systems for water-related hazards in Europe, Environ. Sci. Pol., 21, 35–49, 2012.
Alfieri, L., Burek, P., Dutra, E., Krzeminski, B., Muraro, D., Thielen, J., and Pappenberger, F.: GloFAS – global ensemble streamflow forecasting and flood early warning, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1161–1175, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1161-2013, 2013.
Amengual, A., Romero, R., Vich, M., and Alonso, S.: Inclusion of potential vorticity uncertainties into a hydrometeorological forecasting chain: Application to a medium size basin of Mediterranean Spain, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 793–811, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-13-793-2009, 2009.
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Short summary
An operational framework was implemented to generate retrospective ensemble streamflow forecasts for an extreme hydrological event, Hurricane Irene. The implications of this work benefit streamflow forecast efforts and can be used for numerous applications, such as forecasting the water resources variability, predicting fate of water quality and climate change scenarios. Socio-economic analysis may be used to weigh on how improved forecasts prevent life loss and minimize property damage.