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Hydrology and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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HESS | Articles | Volume 24, issue 5
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2593–2608, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2593-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2593–2608, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2593-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 18 May 2020

Research article | 18 May 2020

Worldwide lake level trends and responses to background climate variation

Benjamin M. Kraemer et al.

Related subject area

Subject: Rivers and Lakes | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
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Cited articles

Aladin, N. V., Plotnikov, I. S., Micklin, P., and Ballatore, T.: Natural Resources and Environmental Issues Aral Sea: Water level, salinity and long-term changes in biological communities of an endangered ecosystem-past, present and future, Nat. Resour. Env. Iss., 15, 177–183, 2009. 
Allen, M. R. and Ingram, W. J.: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle, Nature, 419, 224–232, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature01092, 2002. 
Benson, L., Linsley, B., Smoot, J., Mensing, S., Lund, S., Stine, S., and Sarna-Wojcicki, A.: Influence of the Pacific decadal oscillation on the climate of the Sierra Nevada, California and Nevada, Quaternary Res., 59, 151–159, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0033-5894(03)00007-3, 2003. 
Benson, L. V., Lund, S. P., Burdett, J. W., Kashgarian, M., Rose, T. P., Smoot, J. P., and Schwartz, M.: Correlation of Late-Pleistocene Lake-Level Oscillations in Mono Lake, California, with North Atlantic Climate Events, Quaternary Res., 49, 1–10, https://doi.org/10.1006/qres.1997.1940, 1998. 
Bintanja, R. and Selten, F. M.: Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea-ice retreat, Nature, 509, 479–482, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature13259, 2014. 
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Short summary
Lake levels go up and down due to natural variability in the climate. But the effects of natural variability on lake levels can sometimes be confused for the influence of humans. Here we used long-term data from 200 globally distributed lakes and an advanced statistical approach to show that the effects of natural variability on lake levels can be disentangled from other effects leading to better estimates of long-term changes that may be partially caused by humans.
Lake levels go up and down due to natural variability in the climate. But the effects of natural...
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