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HESS | Articles | Volume 24, issue 2
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1011–1030, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1011-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1011–1030, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1011-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 03 Mar 2020

Research article | 03 Mar 2020

Comparison of probabilistic post-processing approaches for improving numerical weather prediction-based daily and weekly reference evapotranspiration forecasts

Hanoi Medina and Di Tian

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Cited articles

Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., and Smith, M.: Crop evapotranspiration-Guidelines for computing crop water requirements-FAO, Irrigation and drainage paper 56, FAO, Rome, 300, p. D05109, 1998. 
Archambeau, C., Lee, J. A., and Verleysen, M.: On Convergence Problems of the EM Algorithm for Finite Gaussian Mixtures, in: ESANN'2003 proceedings – European Symposium on Artificial Neural Networks, 23–25 April 2003, Bruges, Belgium, 99–106, ISBN 2-930307-03-X, 2003. 
Baldauf, M., Seifert, A., Förstner, J., Majewski, D., Raschendorfer, M. and Reinhardt, T.: Operational convective-scale numerical weather prediction with the COSMO model: Description and sensitivities, Mon. Weather Rev., 139, 3887–3905, 2011. 
Bauer, P., Thorpe, A., and Brunet, G.: The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction, Nature, 525, 47–55, 2015. 
Bentzien, S. and Friederichs, P.: Generating and calibrating probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts from the high-resolution NWP model COSMO-DE, Weather Forecast., 27, 988–1002, 2012. 
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Short summary
Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) forecasts play an important role in agricultural, environmental, and water management. This study evaluated probabilistic post-processing approaches for improving daily and weekly ensemble ET0 forecasting based on single or multiple numerical weather predictions. The three approaches used consistently improved the skill and reliability of the ET0 forecasts compared with the conventional method, due to the adjustment in the spread of the ensemble forecast.
Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) forecasts play an important role in agricultural,...
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