Articles | Volume 28, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1873-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1873-2024
Research article
 | 
26 Apr 2024
Research article |  | 26 Apr 2024

Variation and attribution of probable maximum precipitation of China using a high-resolution dataset in a changing climate

Jinghua Xiong, Shenglian Guo, Abhishek, Jiabo Yin, Chongyu Xu, Jun Wang, and Jing Guo

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Manuscript not accepted for further review
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Cited articles

Afrooz, A. H., Akbari, H., Rakhshandehroo, G. R., and Pourtouiserkani, A.: Climate change impact on probable maximum precipitation in Chenar-Rahdar River basin, Water Manag., 36–47, https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784479322.004, 2015. 
Afzali-Gorouh, Z., Faridhosseini, A., Bakhtiari, B., Mosaedi, A., and Salehnia, N.: Monitoring and projection of climate change impact on 24 h probable maximum precipitation in the Southeast of Caspian Sea, Nat. Hazards, 114, 77–99, 2022. 
Beauchamp, J., Leconte, R., Trudel, M., and Brissette, F.: Estimation of the summer-fall PMP and PMF of a northern watershed under a changed climate, Water Resour. Res., 49, 3852–3862, 2011. 
Berg, A. M., Lintner, B. R., Findell, K. L., Malyshev, S., Loikith, P. C., and Gentine, P.: Impact of soil moisture-atmosphere interactions on surface temperature distribution, J. Climate, 27, 7976–7993, 2014. 
Casas, M. C., Rodríguez, R., Nieto, R., and Redano, A.: The estimation of probable maximum precipitation: the case of Catalonia, Ann. NY Acad. Sci., 1146, 291–302, 2008. 
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Short summary
Temporal variability and spatial heterogeneity of climate systems challenge accurate estimation of probable maximum precipitation (PMP) in China. We use high-resolution precipitation data and climate models to explore the variability, trends, and shifts of PMP under climate change. Validated with multi-source estimations, our observations and simulations show significant spatiotemporal divergence of PMP over the country, which is projected to amplify in future due to land–atmosphere coupling.