Articles | Volume 24, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3851-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3851-2020
Research article
 | 
30 Jul 2020
Research article |  | 30 Jul 2020

The benefit of using an ensemble of seasonal streamflow forecasts in water allocation decisions

Alexander Kaune, Faysal Chowdhury, Micha Werner, and James Bennett

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Cited articles

Anghileri, D., Voisin, N., Castelletti, A., Pianosi, F., Nijssen, B., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: Value of long-term streamflow forecasts to reservoir operations for water supply in snow-dominated river catchments, Water Resour. Res., 52, 4209–4225, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015WR017864, 2016. a
Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Prudhomme, C., Neumann, J., Krzeminski, B., and Pappenberger, F.: Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sc., 22, 2057–2072, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018, 2018. a
Bark, R., Kirby, M., Connor, J. D., and Crossman, N. D.: Water allocation reform to meet environmental uses while sustaining irrigation: a case study of the Murray–Darling Basin, Australia, Water Policy, 16, 739–754, https://doi.org/10.2166/wp.2014.128, 2014. a
Bennett, J., Wang, Q. J., Ming, L., Robertson, D. E., and Schepen, A.: Reliable long‐range ensemble streamflow forecasts: Combining calibrated climate forecasts with a conceptual runoff model and a staged error model, Water Resour. Res., 52, 8238–8259, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016WR019193, 2016. a, b, c
Bennett, J., Wang, Q., Robertson, D., Schepen, A., and Li, M.: FoGSS model inputs and outputs. CSIRO. Data Collection, v2, https://doi.org/10.25919/5c1182926f4ba, 2018. a, b, c
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Short summary
This paper was developed from PhD research focused on assessing the value of using hydrological datasets in water resource management. Previous studies have assessed how well data can help in predicting river flows, but there is a lack of knowledge of how well data can help in water allocation decisions. In our research, it was found that using seasonal streamflow forecasts improves the available water estimates, resulting in better water allocation decisions in a highly regulated basin.
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