Articles | Volume 21, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6345-2017
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6345-2017
Research article
 | 
14 Dec 2017
Research article |  | 14 Dec 2017

Parameter sensitivity analysis of a 1-D cold region lake model for land-surface schemes

José-Luis Guerrero, Patricia Pernica, Howard Wheater, Murray Mackay, and Chris Spence

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Cited articles

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Beven, K.: A manifesto for the equifinality thesis, J. Hydrol., 320, 18–36, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.07.007, 2006.
Beven, K. and Binley, A.: GLUE: 20-years on, Hydrol. Proc., 28, 5897–5918, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.10082, 2014.
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Short summary
Lakes are sentinels of climate change, and an adequate characterization of their feedbacks to the atmosphere could improve climate modeling. These feedbacks, as heat fluxes, can be simulated but are seldom measured, casting doubt on modeling results. Measurements from a small lake in Canada established that the model parameter modulating how much light penetrates the lake dominates model response. This parameter is measurable: improved monitoring could lead to more robust modeling.