Articles | Volume 18, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-1525-2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-1525-2014
Research article
 | 
25 Apr 2014
Research article |  | 25 Apr 2014

The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate in southern Africa

H. C. Winsemius, E. Dutra, F. A. Engelbrecht, E. Archer Van Garderen, F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger, and M. G. F. Werner

Related authors

Towards affordable 3D physics-based river flow rating: application over the Luangwa River basin
Hubert T. Samboko, Sten Schurer, Hubert H. G. Savenije, Hodson Makurira, Kawawa Banda, and Hessel Winsemius
Geosci. Instrum. Method. Data Syst., 12, 155–169, https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-12-155-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-12-155-2023, 2023
Short summary
Modeling compound flood risk and risk reduction using a globally applicable framework: a pilot in the Sofala province of Mozambique
Dirk Eilander, Anaïs Couasnon, Frederiek C. Sperna Weiland, Willem Ligtvoet, Arno Bouwman, Hessel C. Winsemius, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2251–2272, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2251-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2251-2023, 2023
Short summary
A globally applicable framework for compound flood hazard modeling
Dirk Eilander, Anaïs Couasnon, Tim Leijnse, Hiroaki Ikeuchi, Dai Yamazaki, Sanne Muis, Job Dullaart, Arjen Haag, Hessel C. Winsemius, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 823–846, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-823-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-823-2023, 2023
Short summary
Evaluating low-cost topographic surveys for computations of conveyance
Hubert T. Samboko, Sten Schurer, Hubert H. G. Savenije, Hodson Makurira, Kawawa Banda, and Hessel Winsemius
Geosci. Instrum. Method. Data Syst., 11, 1–23, https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-11-1-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/gi-11-1-2022, 2022
Short summary
A hydrography upscaling method for scale-invariant parametrization of distributed hydrological models
Dirk Eilander, Willem van Verseveld, Dai Yamazaki, Albrecht Weerts, Hessel C. Winsemius, and Philip J. Ward
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 5287–5313, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5287-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5287-2021, 2021
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Water Resources Management | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
Inferring reservoir filling strategies under limited-data-availability conditions using hydrological modeling and Earth observations: the case of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD)
Awad M. Ali, Lieke A. Melsen, and Adriaan J. Teuling
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 4057–4086, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4057-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4057-2023, 2023
Short summary
The precision of satellite-based net irrigation quantification in the Indus and Ganges basins
Søren J. Kragh, Rasmus Fensholt, Simon Stisen, and Julian Koch
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 2463–2478, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2463-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2463-2023, 2023
Short summary
Developing a Bayesian network model for understanding river catchment resilience under future change scenarios
Kerr J. Adams, Christopher A. J. Macleod, Marc J. Metzger, Nicola Melville, Rachel C. Helliwell, Jim Pritchard, and Miriam Glendell
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 2205–2225, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2205-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2205-2023, 2023
Short summary
Quantifying the trade-offs in re-operating dams for the environment in the Lower Volta River
Afua Owusu, Jazmin Zatarain Salazar, Marloes Mul, Pieter van der Zaag, and Jill Slinger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 2001–2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2001-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2001-2023, 2023
Short summary
Dynamically coupling system dynamics and SWAT+ models using Tinamït: application of modular tools for coupled human–water system models
Joel Z. Harms, Julien J. Malard-Adam, Jan F. Adamowski, Ashutosh Sharma, and Albert Nkwasa
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 1683–1693, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1683-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1683-2023, 2023
Short summary

Cited articles

Archer, E. R. M.: Identifying Underserved End-User Groups in the Provision of Climate Information, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 84, 1525–1532, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-84-11-1525, 2003.
Archer van Garderen, E. R. M.: (Re) Considering Cattle Farming in Southern Africa under a Changing Climate, Weather. Clim. Soc., 3, 249–253, https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-11-00026.1, 2011.
Barnston, A. G. and Smith, T. M.: Specification and Prediction of Global Surface Temperature and Precipitation from Global SST Using CCA, J. Climate, 9, 2660–2697, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<2660:SAPOGS>2.0.CO;2, 1996.
Barron, J. and Okwach, G.: Run-off water harvesting for dry spell mitigation in maize (Zea mays L.): results from on-farm research in semi-arid Kenya, Agric. Water Manage., 74, 1–21, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2004.11.002, 2005.
Barron, J., Rockström, J., Gichuki, F., and Hatibu, N.: Dry spell analysis and maize yields for two semi-arid locations in east Africa, Agric. Forest. Meteorol., 117, 23–37, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00037-6, 2003.