Articles | Volume 18, issue 4
Research article
25 Apr 2014
Research article |  | 25 Apr 2014

The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate in southern Africa

H. C. Winsemius, E. Dutra, F. A. Engelbrecht, E. Archer Van Garderen, F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger, and M. G. F. Werner

Related authors

A globally applicable framework for compound flood hazard modeling
Dirk Eilander, Anaïs Couasnon, Tim Leijnse, Hiroaki Ikeuchi, Dai Yamazaki, Sanne Muis, Job Dullaart, Arjen Haag, Hessel C. Winsemius, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 823–846,,, 2023
Short summary
Towards Affordable 3D Physics-Based River Flow Rating: Application Over Luangwa River Basin
Hubert T. Samboko, Sten Schurer, Hubert H.G. Savenije, Hodson Makurira, Kawawa Banda, and Hessel Winsemius
Geosci. Instrum. Method. Data Syst. Discuss.,,, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for GI
Short summary
Modeling compound flood risk and risk reduction using a globally-applicable framework: A case study in the Sofala region
Dirk Eilander, Anaïs Couasnon, Frederiek C. Sperna Weiland, Willem Ligtvoet, Arno Bouwman, Hessel C. Winsemius, and Philip J. Ward
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss.,,, 2022
Revised manuscript accepted for NHESS
Short summary
Evaluating low-cost topographic surveys for computations of conveyance
Hubert T. Samboko, Sten Schurer, Hubert H. G. Savenije, Hodson Makurira, Kawawa Banda, and Hessel Winsemius
Geosci. Instrum. Method. Data Syst., 11, 1–23,,, 2022
Short summary
A hydrography upscaling method for scale-invariant parametrization of distributed hydrological models
Dirk Eilander, Willem van Verseveld, Dai Yamazaki, Albrecht Weerts, Hessel C. Winsemius, and Philip J. Ward
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 5287–5313,,, 2021
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Water Resources Management | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
Quantifying the trade-offs in re-operating dams for the environment in the Lower Volta River
Afua Owusu, Jazmin Zatarain Salazar, Marloes Mul, Pieter van der Zaag, and Jill Slinger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 2001–2017,,, 2023
Short summary
Dynamically coupling system dynamics and SWAT+ models using Tinamït: application of modular tools for coupled human–water system models
Joel Z. Harms, Julien J. Malard-Adam, Jan F. Adamowski, Ashutosh Sharma, and Albert Nkwasa
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 1683–1693,,, 2023
Short summary
Development of an integrated socio-hydrological modeling framework for assessing the impacts of shelter location arrangement and human behaviors on flood evacuation processes
Erhu Du, Feng Wu, Hao Jiang, Naliang Guo, Yong Tian, and Chunmiao Zheng
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 1607–1626,,, 2023
Short summary
Cooperation in a transboundary river basin: a large-scale socio-hydrological model of the Eastern Nile
Mohammad Ghoreishi, Amin Elshorbagy, Saman Razavi, Günter Blöschl, Murugesu Sivapalan, and Ahmed Abdelkader
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 1201–1219,,, 2023
Short summary
Flexible forecast value metric suitable for a wide range of decisions: application using probabilistic subseasonal streamflow forecasts
Richard Laugesen, Mark Thyer, David McInerney, and Dmitri Kavetski
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 873–893,,, 2023
Short summary

Cited articles

Archer, E. R. M.: Identifying Underserved End-User Groups in the Provision of Climate Information, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 84, 1525–1532,, 2003.
Archer van Garderen, E. R. M.: (Re) Considering Cattle Farming in Southern Africa under a Changing Climate, Weather. Clim. Soc., 3, 249–253,, 2011.
Barnston, A. G. and Smith, T. M.: Specification and Prediction of Global Surface Temperature and Precipitation from Global SST Using CCA, J. Climate, 9, 2660–2697,<2660:SAPOGS>2.0.CO;2, 1996.
Barron, J. and Okwach, G.: Run-off water harvesting for dry spell mitigation in maize (Zea mays L.): results from on-farm research in semi-arid Kenya, Agric. Water Manage., 74, 1–21,, 2005.
Barron, J., Rockström, J., Gichuki, F., and Hatibu, N.: Dry spell analysis and maize yields for two semi-arid locations in east Africa, Agric. Forest. Meteorol., 117, 23–37,, 2003.