The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate in southern Africa

Winsemius, H. C.; Dutra, E.; Engelbrecht, F. A.; Archer Van Garderen, E.; Wetterhall, F.; Pappenberger, F.; Werner, M. G. F.

doi:10.5194/hess-18-1525-2014

Articles | Volume 18, issue 4

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-1525-2014

© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Drought forecasting and warning

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-1525-2014

© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 18, issue 4

Research article

|

25 Apr 2014

Research article |

| 25 Apr 2014

The potential value of seasonal forecasts in a changing climate in southern Africa

H. C. Winsemius, E. Dutra, F. A. Engelbrecht, E. Archer Van Garderen, F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger, and M. G. F. Werner

Viewed

Total article views: 5,385 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
3,221	1,974	190	5,385	207	225

HTML: 3,221
PDF: 1,974
XML: 190
Total: 5,385
BibTeX: 207
EndNote: 225

Views and downloads (calculated since 04 Dec 2013)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Dec 2013	142	104	4	250
Jan 2014	21	32	0	53
Feb 2014	8	15	1	24
Mar 2014	12	12	2	26
Apr 2014	129	86	6	221
May 2014	84	71	10	165
Jun 2014	25	38	2	65
Jul 2014	37	39	4	80
Aug 2014	20	33	2	55
Sep 2014	23	28	4	55
Oct 2014	15	22	1	38
Nov 2014	16	26	0	42
Dec 2014	16	30	2	48
Jan 2015	13	12	1	26
Feb 2015	21	15	1	37
Mar 2015	29	11	0	40
Apr 2015	24	8	0	32
May 2015	13	12	0	25
Jun 2015	48	10	0	58
Jul 2015	33	11	1	45
Aug 2015	12	11	0	23
Sep 2015	14	9	0	23
Oct 2015	21	10	1	32
Nov 2015	27	12	0	39
Dec 2015	8	15	0	23
Jan 2016	32	16	1	49
Feb 2016	16	12	1	29
Mar 2016	32	14	13	59
Apr 2016	8	8	1	17
May 2016	4	4	0	8
Jun 2016	7	5	0	12
Jul 2016	6	2	2	10
Aug 2016	11	4	0	15
Sep 2016	9	3	0	12
Oct 2016	17	1	18
Nov 2016	13	1	0	14
Dec 2016	1	2	0	3
Jan 2017	12	3	1	16
Feb 2017	12	3	1	16
Mar 2017	25	6	3	34
Apr 2017	18	3	1	22
May 2017	22	10	2	34
Jun 2017	24	10	2	36
Jul 2017	20	6	0	26
Aug 2017	9	8	0	17
Sep 2017	10	10	1	21
Oct 2017	3	2	0	5
Nov 2017	7	6	0	13
Dec 2017	10	8	0	18
Jan 2018	7	9	0	16
Feb 2018	11	6	0	17
Mar 2018	11	7	0	18
Apr 2018	5	5	0	10
May 2018	7	7	1	15
Jun 2018	12	7	0	19
Jul 2018	8	17	0	25
Aug 2018	23	16	0	39
Sep 2018	17	9	0	26
Oct 2018	18	19	0	37
Nov 2018	16	13	0	29
Dec 2018	19	11	0	30
Jan 2019	20	9	0	29
Feb 2019	20	10	0	30
Mar 2019	14	8	0	22
Apr 2019	10	6	0	16
May 2019	21	12	0	33
Jun 2019	19	8	0	27
Jul 2019	15	9	0	24
Aug 2019	12	8	0	20
Sep 2019	10	4	0	14
Oct 2019	20	8	1	29
Nov 2019	20	7	0	27
Dec 2019	10	5	1	16
Jan 2020	19	4	5	28
Feb 2020	11	6	0	17
Mar 2020	19	4	1	24
Apr 2020	16	4	0	20
May 2020	10	6	0	16
Jun 2020	23	11	0	34
Jul 2020	37	12	9	58
Aug 2020	18	8	8	34
Sep 2020	18	11	0	29
Oct 2020	19	14	1	34
Nov 2020	15	5	0	20
Dec 2020	22	15	0	37
Jan 2021	28	13	1	42
Feb 2021	22	8	0	30
Mar 2021	20	10	0	30
Apr 2021	14	13	0	27
May 2021	13	11	0	24
Jun 2021	12	11	0	23
Jul 2021	20	13	1	34
Aug 2021	12	11	0	23
Sep 2021	20	19	0	39
Oct 2021	18	45	0	63
Nov 2021	20	30	1	51
Dec 2021	18	7	0	25
Jan 2022	28	20	1	49
Feb 2022	18	10	2	30
Mar 2022	10	7	1	18
Apr 2022	23	7	1	31
May 2022	17	9	1	27
Jun 2022	19	7	1	27
Jul 2022	11	7	0	18
Aug 2022	22	9	0	31
Sep 2022	14	4	1	19
Oct 2022	30	6	0	36
Nov 2022	18	14	0	32
Dec 2022	21	5	1	27
Jan 2023	35	25	2	62
Feb 2023	20	9	1	30
Mar 2023	27	29	0	56
Apr 2023	15	23	1	39
May 2023	15	9	0	24
Jun 2023	18	7	0	25
Jul 2023	20	20	5	45
Aug 2023	18	16	2	36
Sep 2023	11	19	0	30
Oct 2023	21	11	3	35
Nov 2023	12	1	0	13
Dec 2023	25	8	2	35
Jan 2024	21	7	0	28
Feb 2024	17	10	0	27
Mar 2024	28	11	2	41
Apr 2024	32	5	6	43
May 2024	25	9	7	41
Jun 2024	32	11	4	47
Jul 2024	26	9	4	39
Aug 2024	52	10	2	64
Sep 2024	26	7	1	34
Oct 2024	30	7	0	37
Nov 2024	15	9	0	24
Dec 2024	18	6	1	25
Jan 2025	17	12	3	32
Feb 2025	19	8	3	30
Mar 2025	34	13	2	49
Apr 2025	35	21	0	56
May 2025	24	12	1	37
Jun 2025	53	16	1	70
Jul 2025	31	27	2	60
Aug 2025	38	27	2	67
Sep 2025	91	26	2	119
Oct 2025	36	26	1	63
Nov 2025	38	23	4	65
Dec 2025	28	28	2	58
Jan 2026	48	16	10	74
Feb 2026	11	7	3	21

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 04 Dec 2013)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Dec 2013	142	104	4	250
Jan 2014	21	32	0	53
Feb 2014	8	15	1	24
Mar 2014	12	12	2	26
Apr 2014	129	86	6	221
May 2014	84	71	10	165
Jun 2014	25	38	2	65
Jul 2014	37	39	4	80
Aug 2014	20	33	2	55
Sep 2014	23	28	4	55
Oct 2014	15	22	1	38
Nov 2014	16	26	0	42
Dec 2014	16	30	2	48
Jan 2015	13	12	1	26
Feb 2015	21	15	1	37
Mar 2015	29	11	0	40
Apr 2015	24	8	0	32
May 2015	13	12	0	25
Jun 2015	48	10	0	58
Jul 2015	33	11	1	45
Aug 2015	12	11	0	23
Sep 2015	14	9	0	23
Oct 2015	21	10	1	32
Nov 2015	27	12	0	39
Dec 2015	8	15	0	23
Jan 2016	32	16	1	49
Feb 2016	16	12	1	29
Mar 2016	32	14	13	59
Apr 2016	8	8	1	17
May 2016	4	4	0	8
Jun 2016	7	5	0	12
Jul 2016	6	2	2	10
Aug 2016	11	4	0	15
Sep 2016	9	3	0	12
Oct 2016	17	1	18
Nov 2016	13	1	0	14
Dec 2016	1	2	0	3
Jan 2017	12	3	1	16
Feb 2017	12	3	1	16
Mar 2017	25	6	3	34
Apr 2017	18	3	1	22
May 2017	22	10	2	34
Jun 2017	24	10	2	36
Jul 2017	20	6	0	26
Aug 2017	9	8	0	17
Sep 2017	10	10	1	21
Oct 2017	3	2	0	5
Nov 2017	7	6	0	13
Dec 2017	10	8	0	18
Jan 2018	7	9	0	16
Feb 2018	11	6	0	17
Mar 2018	11	7	0	18
Apr 2018	5	5	0	10
May 2018	7	7	1	15
Jun 2018	12	7	0	19
Jul 2018	8	17	0	25
Aug 2018	23	16	0	39
Sep 2018	17	9	0	26
Oct 2018	18	19	0	37
Nov 2018	16	13	0	29
Dec 2018	19	11	0	30
Jan 2019	20	9	0	29
Feb 2019	20	10	0	30
Mar 2019	14	8	0	22
Apr 2019	10	6	0	16
May 2019	21	12	0	33
Jun 2019	19	8	0	27
Jul 2019	15	9	0	24
Aug 2019	12	8	0	20
Sep 2019	10	4	0	14
Oct 2019	20	8	1	29
Nov 2019	20	7	0	27
Dec 2019	10	5	1	16
Jan 2020	19	4	5	28
Feb 2020	11	6	0	17
Mar 2020	19	4	1	24
Apr 2020	16	4	0	20
May 2020	10	6	0	16
Jun 2020	23	11	0	34
Jul 2020	37	12	9	58
Aug 2020	18	8	8	34
Sep 2020	18	11	0	29
Oct 2020	19	14	1	34
Nov 2020	15	5	0	20
Dec 2020	22	15	0	37
Jan 2021	28	13	1	42
Feb 2021	22	8	0	30
Mar 2021	20	10	0	30
Apr 2021	14	13	0	27
May 2021	13	11	0	24
Jun 2021	12	11	0	23
Jul 2021	20	13	1	34
Aug 2021	12	11	0	23
Sep 2021	20	19	0	39
Oct 2021	18	45	0	63
Nov 2021	20	30	1	51
Dec 2021	18	7	0	25
Jan 2022	28	20	1	49
Feb 2022	18	10	2	30
Mar 2022	10	7	1	18
Apr 2022	23	7	1	31
May 2022	17	9	1	27
Jun 2022	19	7	1	27
Jul 2022	11	7	0	18
Aug 2022	22	9	0	31
Sep 2022	14	4	1	19
Oct 2022	30	6	0	36
Nov 2022	18	14	0	32
Dec 2022	21	5	1	27
Jan 2023	35	25	2	62
Feb 2023	20	9	1	30
Mar 2023	27	29	0	56
Apr 2023	15	23	1	39
May 2023	15	9	0	24
Jun 2023	18	7	0	25
Jul 2023	20	20	5	45
Aug 2023	18	16	2	36
Sep 2023	11	19	0	30
Oct 2023	21	11	3	35
Nov 2023	12	1	0	13
Dec 2023	25	8	2	35
Jan 2024	21	7	0	28
Feb 2024	17	10	0	27
Mar 2024	28	11	2	41
Apr 2024	32	5	6	43
May 2024	25	9	7	41
Jun 2024	32	11	4	47
Jul 2024	26	9	4	39
Aug 2024	52	10	2	64
Sep 2024	26	7	1	34
Oct 2024	30	7	0	37
Nov 2024	15	9	0	24
Dec 2024	18	6	1	25
Jan 2025	17	12	3	32
Feb 2025	19	8	3	30
Mar 2025	34	13	2	49
Apr 2025	35	21	0	56
May 2025	24	12	1	37
Jun 2025	53	16	1	70
Jul 2025	31	27	2	60
Aug 2025	38	27	2	67
Sep 2025	91	26	2	119
Oct 2025	36	26	1	63
Nov 2025	38	23	4	65
Dec 2025	28	28	2	58
Jan 2026	48	16	10	74
Feb 2026	11	7	3	21

Latest update: 10 Feb 2026