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HESS | Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3311–3330, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3311-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue: Modelling lakes in the climate system (GMD/HESS inter-journal...

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3311–3330, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3311-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 29 Jun 2020

Research article | 29 Jun 2020

Simulations of future changes in thermal structure of Lake Erken: proof of concept for ISIMIP2b lake sector local simulation strategy

Ana I. Ayala et al.

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Variability in epilimnion depth estimations in lakes
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Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-222,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2020-222, 2020
Revised manuscript accepted for HESS
Short summary
Historical modelling of changes in Lake Erken thermal conditions
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Cited articles

Ayala, A. I., Pierson, D. C., and Moras, S.: GOTM water temperature simulations forced at different frequency in the meteorological inputs in Lake Erken (Sweden), HydroShare, https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.ace98c3bc72b44f1834a58ec8b3af310, 2019a. 
Ayala, A. I., Moras, S., and Pierson, D. C.: GOTM simulations of future changes in thermal structure of Lake Erken drived by daily and synthetic hourly ISIMIP projections, HydroShare, https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.2b4cfe0f02bf4375bcd0b62e45c61b19, 2019b. 
Ayala, A. I., Moras, S., and Pierson, D. C.: Uppsala University, ISIMIP2b bias-corrected climate model projections for lake Erken in Sweden (59.6  N, 18.6 E), HydroShare, https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.e16b8e2a3e7c4e7fb3169d7591be2689, 2020. 
Bruggeman, J. and Bolding, K.: A general framework for aquatic biogeochemical models, Environ. Model Softw., 61, 249–265, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.04.002, 2014. 
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Short summary
The impacts of different levels of global warming on the thermal structure of Lake Erken are assessed. We used the General Ocean Turbulence Model (GOTM) to simulate water temperature driven by meteorological scenarios supplied by the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) and tested its ability at different frequencies. Then, daily ISIMIP meteorological scenarios were disaggregated and assessed for the effects of climate change on lake thermal structure.
The impacts of different levels of global warming on the thermal structure of Lake Erken are...
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