Articles | Volume 23, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1611-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1611-2019
Research article
 | 
19 Mar 2019
Research article |  | 19 Mar 2019

Projected decrease in wintertime bearing capacity on different forest and soil types in Finland under a warming climate

Ilari Lehtonen, Ari Venäläinen, Matti Kämäräinen, Antti Asikainen, Juha Laitila, Perttu Anttila, and Heli Peltola

Related authors

Natural hazards and extreme events in the Baltic Sea region
Anna Rutgersson, Erik Kjellström, Jari Haapala, Martin Stendel, Irina Danilovich, Martin Drews, Kirsti Jylhä, Pentti Kujala, Xiaoli Guo Larsén, Kirsten Halsnæs, Ilari Lehtonen, Anna Luomaranta, Erik Nilsson, Taru Olsson, Jani Särkkä, Laura Tuomi, and Norbert Wasmund
Earth Syst. Dynam., 13, 251–301, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-251-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-251-2022, 2022
Short summary
Communicating the amount of windstorm induced forest damage by the maximum wind gust speed in Finland
Hannu Valta, Ilari Lehtonen, Terhi K. Laurila, Ari Venäläinen, Mikko Laapas, and Hilppa Gregow
Adv. Sci. Res., 16, 31–37, https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-31-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-31-2019, 2019
Short summary
Estimation of the high-spatial-resolution variability in extreme wind speeds for forestry applications
Ari Venäläinen, Mikko Laapas, Pentti Pirinen, Matti Horttanainen, Reijo Hyvönen, Ilari Lehtonen, Päivi Junila, Meiting Hou, and Heli M. Peltola
Earth Syst. Dynam., 8, 529–545, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-529-2017,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-529-2017, 2017
Short summary
Heavy snow loads in Finnish forests respond regionally asymmetrically to projected climate change
Ilari Lehtonen, Matti Kämäräinen, Hilppa Gregow, Ari Venäläinen, and Heli Peltola
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 2259–2271, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-2259-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-2259-2016, 2016
Short summary
Risk of large-scale fires in boreal forests of Finland under changing climate
I. Lehtonen, A. Venäläinen, M. Kämäräinen, H. Peltola, and H. Gregow
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 239–253, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-239-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-239-2016, 2016
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Hydrometeorology | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
Assessing downscaling methods to simulate hydrologically relevant weather scenarios from a global atmospheric reanalysis: case study of the upper Rhône River (1902–2009)
Caroline Legrand, Benoît Hingray, Bruno Wilhelm, and Martin Ménégoz
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 2139–2166, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2139-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2139-2024, 2024
Short summary
Global total precipitable water variations and trends over the period 1958–2021
Nenghan Wan, Xiaomao Lin, Roger A. Pielke Sr., Xubin Zeng, and Amanda M. Nelson
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 2123–2137, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2123-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2123-2024, 2024
Short summary
Assessing decadal- to centennial-scale nonstationary variability in meteorological drought trends
Kyungmin Sung, Max C. A. Torbenson, and James H. Stagge
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 2047–2063, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2047-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2047-2024, 2024
Short summary
Identification of compound drought and heatwave events on a daily scale and across four seasons
Baoying Shan, Niko E. C. Verhoest, and Bernard De Baets
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 2065–2080, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2065-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2065-2024, 2024
Short summary
Potential for historically unprecedented Australian droughts from natural variability and climate change
Georgina M. Falster, Nicky M. Wright, Nerilie J. Abram, Anna M. Ukkola, and Benjamin J. Henley
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 1383–1401, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1383-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1383-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Aalto, J., Pirinen, P., and Jylhä, K.: New gridded daily climatology of Finland: Permutation-based uncertainty estimates and temporal trends in climate, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 121, 3807–3823, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024651, 2016. 
Airavaara, H., Ala-Ilomäki, J., Högnäs, T., and Sirén, M.: Nykykalustolla turvemaiden puunkorjuuseen [Equipping conventional wheeled forwarders for peatland operations], Working Papers of the Finnish Forest Research Institute 80, 46 pp., 2008. 
Ala-Ilomäki, J., Högnäs, T., Lamminen, S., and Siren, M.: Equipping a conventional wheeled forwarder for peatland operations, International Journal of Forest Engineering, 22, 7–13, 2011. 
Anderson, E. A.: National Weather Service Forecast System-Snow Accumulation and Ablation model, NOAA Technical Memorandum NWS HYDRO-17, U.S. Dept. of Commerce, Silver Spring, MD, 217 pp., 1973. 
Download
Short summary
Wintertime bearing capacity on different forest soils with respect to timber harvesting in the projected future climate of Finland was estimated by using a soil temperature model and a wide set of downscaled climate model simulations. The results indicate that, particularly, drained peatlands may virtually lack soil frost over large areas in most of winters during the late 21st century. There is thus a clear need to develop new sustainable and efficient logging practices for peatland forests.