Articles | Volume 24, issue 11
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5297–5315, 2020

Special issue: Hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean (ACP/AMT/GMD/HESS/NHESS/OS...

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5297–5315, 2020

Research article 14 Nov 2020

Research article | 14 Nov 2020

Risk assessment in water resources planning under climate change at the Júcar River basin

Sara Suárez-Almiñana et al.

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Cited articles

Andreu, J., Capilla, J., and Sanchís, E.: AQUATOOL, a generalized decision-support system for water-resources planning and operational management, J. Hydrol., 177, 269–291,, 1996. 
Andreu, J., Solera, A., Capilla, J., and Polo, J.: Modelo SIMGES de Simulación de la Gestión de Recursos Hídricos, incluyendo Utilización Conjunta, Manual de usuario, versión 3.03.01, Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, Spain, 2007. 
Andreu, J., Ferrer-Polo, J., Pérez, M. A., and Solera, A.: Decision support system for drought planning and management in the Jucar river basin, Spain, in: Proceedings of the 18th world IMACS/MODSIM Congress, 13–17 July 2009, Cairns, Australia, 3223–3229, 2009. 
Barranco, L., Dimas, M., Jiménez, A., and Estrada, F.: Nueva evaluación del impacto futuro del cambio climático en los recursos hídricos en España, Ingeiría Civ., 191/2008, 34–55, 2018. 
Bergström, S.: The HBV Model, in: Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology, edited by: Singh, V. P., Water Resources Publications, Highlands Ranch, Colorado, USA, 443–476, 1995. 
Short summary
This work responds to the need for an effective methodology that integrates climate change projections into water planning and management to guide complex basin decision-making. This general approach is based on a model chain for management and drought risk assessments and applied to the Júcar River basin (Spain), showing a worrying deterioration of the basin's future water resources availability and drought indicators, despite a considerable uncertainty of results from the mid-century onwards.