Articles | Volume 24, issue 11
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5297–5315, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5297-2020

Special issue: Hydrological cycle in the Mediterranean (ACP/AMT/GMD/HESS/NHESS/OS...

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5297–5315, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5297-2020

Research article 14 Nov 2020

Research article | 14 Nov 2020

Risk assessment in water resources planning under climate change at the Júcar River basin

Sara Suárez-Almiñana et al.

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Cited articles

Andreu, J., Capilla, J., and Sanchís, E.: AQUATOOL, a generalized decision-support system for water-resources planning and operational management, J. Hydrol., 177, 269–291, https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(95)02963-X, 1996. 
Andreu, J., Solera, A., Capilla, J., and Polo, J.: Modelo SIMGES de Simulación de la Gestión de Recursos Hídricos, incluyendo Utilización Conjunta, Manual de usuario, versión 3.03.01, Universitat Politècnica de València, Valencia, Spain, 2007. 
Andreu, J., Ferrer-Polo, J., Pérez, M. A., and Solera, A.: Decision support system for drought planning and management in the Jucar river basin, Spain, in: Proceedings of the 18th world IMACS/MODSIM Congress, 13–17 July 2009, Cairns, Australia, 3223–3229, 2009. 
Barranco, L., Dimas, M., Jiménez, A., and Estrada, F.: Nueva evaluación del impacto futuro del cambio climático en los recursos hídricos en España, Ingeiría Civ., 191/2008, 34–55, 2018. 
Bergström, S.: The HBV Model, in: Computer Models of Watershed Hydrology, edited by: Singh, V. P., Water Resources Publications, Highlands Ranch, Colorado, USA, 443–476, 1995. 
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Short summary
This work responds to the need for an effective methodology that integrates climate change projections into water planning and management to guide complex basin decision-making. This general approach is based on a model chain for management and drought risk assessments and applied to the Júcar River basin (Spain), showing a worrying deterioration of the basin's future water resources availability and drought indicators, despite a considerable uncertainty of results from the mid-century onwards.