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Hydrology and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 19, issue 9
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 3891–3901, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3891-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 3891–3901, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3891-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 16 Sep 2015

Research article | 16 Sep 2015

Climate model uncertainty versus conceptual geological uncertainty in hydrological modeling

T. O. Sonnenborg et al.

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Cited articles

Bastola, S., Murphy, C., and Sweeny, J.: The role of hydrological modelling uncertainties in climate change impact assessments of Irish river catchments, Adv. Water Resour., 34, 562–576, 2011.
Bredehoeft J.: The conceptualization model problem – Surprise, Hydrogeol. J., 13, 37–46, 2005.
Christensen, J. H., Rummukainen, M., and Lenderink, G.: Formulation of very-high-resolution regional climate model ensembles for Europe [Research Theme 3], ENSEMBLES: Climate Change and its Impacts: Summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project, Met Office Hadley Centre, UK, 47–58, 2009.
Déqué, M., Rowell, D. P., Lüthi, D., Giorgi, F., Christensen, J.H., Rockel, B., Jacob, D., Kjellström, E., de Castro, M., and van den Hurk, B.: An Intercomparison of Regional Climate Model Simulations for Europe: Assessing Uncertainties in Model Predictions, Clim. Change, 81, 53–70, 2007.
DHI Water and Environment (DHI): MIKE SHE User manual, vol. 1; user guide, and vol. 2: reference guide, Institut for Vand andMilljo, available at: http://www.hydroasia.org (last access: 1 February 2013), DHI, Hørsholm, Denmark, 2009a.
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Short summary
The impacts of climate model uncertainty and geological model uncertainty on hydraulic head, stream flow, travel time and capture zones are evaluated. Six versions of a physically based and distributed hydrological model, each containing a unique interpretation of the geological structure of the model area, are forced by 11 climate model projections. Geology is the dominating uncertainty source for travel time and capture zones, while climate dominates for hydraulic heads and steam flow.
The impacts of climate model uncertainty and geological model uncertainty on hydraulic head,...
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