Articles | Volume 26, issue 24
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6361-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6361-2022
Research article
 | 
16 Dec 2022
Research article |  | 16 Dec 2022

Ensemble streamflow prediction considering the influence of reservoirs in Narmada River Basin, India

Urmin Vegad and Vimal Mishra

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Flood risk assessment for Indian sub-continental river basins
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Cited articles

Alemu, E. T., Palmer, R. N., Polebitski, A., and Meaker, B.: Decision Support System for Optimizing Reservoir Operations Using Ensemble Streamflow Predictions, J. Water Resour. Plan Manag., 137, 72–82, https://doi.org/10.1061/(asce)wr.1943-5452.0000088, 2011. 
Alfieri, L., Burek, P., Dutra, E., Krzeminski, B., Muraro, D., Thielen, J., and Pappenberger, F.: GloFAS – global ensemble streamflow forecasting and flood early warning, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1161–1175, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1161-2013, 2013. 
Ali, H., Modi, P., and Mishra, V.: Increased flood risk in Indian sub-continent under the warming climate, Weather Clim. Extrem., 25, 100212, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2019.100212, 2019. 
Arnal, L., Anspoks, L., Manson, S., Neumann, J., Norton, T., Stephens, E., Wolfenden, L., and Cloke, H. L.: “Are we talking just a bit of water out of bank? Or is it Armageddon?” Front line perspectives on transitioning to probabilistic fluvial flood forecasts in England, Geosci. Commun., 3, 203–232, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-203-2020, 2020. 
Benninga, H.-J. F., Booij, M. J., Romanowicz, R. J., and Rientjes, T. H. M.: Performance of ensemble streamflow forecasts under varied hydrometeorological conditions, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 5273–5291, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5273-2017, 2017. 
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Short summary
Floods cause enormous damage to infrastructure and agriculture in India. However, the utility of ensemble meteorological forecast for hydrologic prediction has not been examined. Moreover, Indian river basins have a considerable influence of reservoirs that alter the natural flow variability. We developed a hydrologic modelling-based streamflow prediction considering the influence of reservoirs in India.
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