Articles | Volume 19, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015
Research article
 | 
11 May 2015
Research article |  | 11 May 2015

Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe

L. Alfieri, P. Burek, L. Feyen, and G. Forzieri

Related authors

Exploring the use of seasonal forecasts to adapt flood insurance premiums
Viet Dung Nguyen, Jeroen Aerts, Max Tesselaar, Wouter Botzen, Heidi Kreibich, Lorenzo Alfieri, and Bruno Merz
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2923–2937, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2923-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2923-2024, 2024
Short summary
Impact-based flood forecasting in the Greater Horn of Africa
Lorenzo Alfieri, Andrea Libertino, Lorenzo Campo, Francesco Dottori, Simone Gabellani, Tatiana Ghizzoni, Alessandro Masoero, Lauro Rossi, Roberto Rudari, Nicola Testa, Eva Trasforini, Ahmed Amdihun, Jully Ouma, Luca Rossi, Yves Tramblay, Huan Wu, and Marco Massabò
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 199–224, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-199-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-199-2024, 2024
Short summary
Parameter transferability of a distributed hydrological model to droughts
Giulia Bruno, Doris Duethmann, Francesco Avanzi, Lorenzo Alfieri, Andrea Libertino, and Simone Gabellani
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2022-416,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2022-416, 2022
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
Building-scale flood loss estimation through vulnerability pattern characterization: application to an urban flood in Milan, Italy
Andrea Taramelli, Margherita Righini, Emiliana Valentini, Lorenzo Alfieri, Ignacio Gatti, and Simone Gabellani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3543–3569, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3543-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3543-2022, 2022
Short summary
High-resolution satellite products improve hydrological modeling in northern Italy
Lorenzo Alfieri, Francesco Avanzi, Fabio Delogu, Simone Gabellani, Giulia Bruno, Lorenzo Campo, Andrea Libertino, Christian Massari, Angelica Tarpanelli, Dominik Rains, Diego G. Miralles, Raphael Quast, Mariette Vreugdenhil, Huan Wu, and Luca Brocca
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3921–3939, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3921-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3921-2022, 2022
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Hydrometeorology | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
On the combined use of rain gauges and GPM IMERG satellite rainfall products for hydrological modelling: impact assessment of the cellular-automata-based methodology in the Tanaro River basin in Italy
Annalina Lombardi, Barbara Tomassetti, Valentina Colaiuda, Ludovico Di Antonio, Paolo Tuccella, Mario Montopoli, Giovanni Ravazzani, Frank Silvio Marzano, Raffaele Lidori, and Giulia Panegrossi
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 3777–3797, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3777-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3777-2024, 2024
Short summary
An increase in the spatial extent of European floods over the last 70 years
Beijing Fang, Emanuele Bevacqua, Oldrich Rakovec, and Jakob Zscheischler
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 3755–3775, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3755-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3755-2024, 2024
Short summary
140-year daily ensemble streamflow reconstructions over 661 catchments in France
Alexandre Devers, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Claire Lauvernet, Olivier Vannier, and Laurie Caillouet
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 3457–3474, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3457-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3457-2024, 2024
Short summary
The agricultural expansion in South America's Dry Chaco: regional hydroclimate effects
María Agostina Bracalenti, Omar V. Müller, Miguel A. Lovino, and Ernesto Hugo Berbery
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 3281–3303, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3281-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3281-2024, 2024
Short summary
Machine-learning-constrained projection of bivariate hydrological drought magnitudes and socioeconomic risks over China
Rutong Liu, Jiabo Yin, Louise Slater, Shengyu Kang, Yuanhang Yang, Pan Liu, Jiali Guo, Xihui Gu, Xiang Zhang, and Aliaksandr Volchak
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 3305–3326, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3305-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3305-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Alfieri, L., Thielen, J., and Pappenberger, F.: Ensemble hydro-meteorological simulation for flash flood early detection in southern Switzerland, J. Hydrol., 424–425, 143–153, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.12.038, 2012.
Alfieri, L., Pappenberger, F., and Wetterhall, F.: The extreme runoff index for flood early warning in Europe, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 1505–1515, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-1505-2014, 2014a.
Alfieri, L., Salamon, P., Bianchi, A., Neal, J., Bates, P., and Feyen, L.: Advances in pan-European flood hazard mapping, Hydrol. Process., 28, 4067–4077, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9947, 2014b.
Alkama, R., Marchand, L., Ribes, A., and Decharme, B.: Detection of global runoff changes: Results from observations and CMIP5 experiments, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2967–2979, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2967-2013, 2013.
Andersen, T. K. and Marshall Shepherd, J.: Floods in a changing climate, Geogr. Compass, 7, 95–115, https://doi.org/10.1111/gec3.12025, 2013.
Download
Short summary
This work presents, to our best knowledge, the first pan-European assessment of the future hydro-meteorological hazard based on an ensemble of the new EURO-CORDEX regional climate scenarios. We propose a novel approach, which shows how the change in the frequency of future floods in Europe is likely to have a larger impact on the overall flood hazard as compared to the change in their magnitude. A consistent method is proposed to evaluate the agreement of ensemble projections.