Articles | Volume 19, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe
L. Alfieri
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
European Commission – Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
P. Burek
European Commission – Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
L. Feyen
European Commission – Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
G. Forzieri
European Commission – Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy
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Short summary
This work presents, to our best knowledge, the first pan-European assessment of the future hydro-meteorological hazard based on an ensemble of the new EURO-CORDEX regional climate scenarios.
We propose a novel approach, which shows how the change in the frequency of future floods in Europe is likely to have a larger impact on the overall flood hazard as compared to the change in their magnitude.
A consistent method is proposed to evaluate the agreement of ensemble projections.
This work presents, to our best knowledge, the first pan-European assessment of the future...