Articles | Volume 19, issue 5
Research article
11 May 2015
Research article |  | 11 May 2015

Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe

L. Alfieri, P. Burek, L. Feyen, and G. Forzieri


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Short summary
This work presents, to our best knowledge, the first pan-European assessment of the future hydro-meteorological hazard based on an ensemble of the new EURO-CORDEX regional climate scenarios. We propose a novel approach, which shows how the change in the frequency of future floods in Europe is likely to have a larger impact on the overall flood hazard as compared to the change in their magnitude. A consistent method is proposed to evaluate the agreement of ensemble projections.