Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe

Alfieri, L.; Burek, P.; Feyen, L.; Forzieri, G.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015

Articles | Volume 19, issue 5

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2247-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 19, issue 5

Research article

|

11 May 2015

Research article |

| 11 May 2015

Global warming increases the frequency of river floods in Europe

L. Alfieri, P. Burek, L. Feyen, and G. Forzieri

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Final revised paper (published on 11 May 2015)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 23 Jan 2015)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC C264: 'Referee Comments HESS-2014-548', Anonymous Referee #1, 22 Feb 2015
- AC C634: 'Response to the comments from reviewer #1', Lorenzo Alfieri, 23 Mar 2015
RC C340: 'Review of Global warming increases the frequency of river ﬂoods in Europe', Anonymous Referee #2, 27 Feb 2015
- AC C638: 'Response to the comments from reviewer #2', Lorenzo Alfieri, 23 Mar 2015

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish as is (25 Apr 2015) by Micha Werner

AR by Lorenzo Alfieri on behalf of the Authors (27 Apr 2015)

Short summary

This work presents, to our best knowledge, the first pan-European assessment of the future hydro-meteorological hazard based on an ensemble of the new EURO-CORDEX regional climate scenarios. We propose a novel approach, which shows how the change in the frequency of future floods in Europe is likely to have a larger impact on the overall flood hazard as compared to the change in their magnitude. A consistent method is proposed to evaluate the agreement of ensemble projections.