Articles | Volume 23, issue 3
Research article
 | Highlight paper
13 Mar 2019
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 13 Mar 2019

Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives

Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Sparrow, Sarah F. Kew, Karin van der Wiel, Niko Wanders, Roop Singh, Ahmadul Hassan, Khaled Mohammed, Hammad Javid, Karsten Haustein, Friederike E. L. Otto, Feyera Hirpa, Ruksana H. Rimi, A. K. M. Saiful Islam, David C. H. Wallom, and Geert Jan van Oldenborgh

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Cited articles

Allen, M. R. and Ingram, W. J.: Constraints on future changes in climate and the hydrologic cycle, Nature, 419, 224–232,, 2002. a
Burek, P., Knijff van der, J., and Roo de, A.: LISFLOOD, distributed water balance and flood simulation model revised user manual 2013, Publications Office of the European Union, Directorate-General Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability,, 2013. a
CEGIS and SEN authors: Assessing the economic impact of climate change on agriculture, water resources and food security and adaptation measures using seasonal and medium range of forecasts, coordinated by ICIMOD, Nepal, 2013. a
Coles, S.: An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values, Springer Series in Statistics, London, UK, 2001. a
Dadson, S., Bell, V., and Jones, R.: Evaluation of a grid-based river flow model configured for use in a regional climate model, J. Hydrol., 411, 238–250,, 2011. a
Short summary
In August 2017 Bangladesh faced one of its worst river flooding events in recent history. For the large Brahmaputra basin, using precipitation alone as a proxy for flooding might not be appropriate. In this paper we explicitly test this assumption by performing an attribution of both precipitation and discharge as a flooding-related measure to climate change. We find the change in risk to be of similar order of magnitude (between 1 and 2) for both the meteorological and hydrological approach.