Articles | Volume 20, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-659-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-659-2016
Technical note
 | 
10 Feb 2016
Technical note |  | 10 Feb 2016

Technical Note: Initial assessment of a multi-method approach to spring-flood forecasting in Sweden

J. Olsson, C. B. Uvo, K. Foster, and W. Yang

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Cited articles

Arheimer, B., Lindström, G., and Olsson, J.: A systematic review of sensitivities in the Swedish flood-forecasting system, Atmos. Res., 100, 275–284, 2011.
Bastola, S. and Misra, V.: Evaluation of dynamically downscaled reanalysis precipitation data for hydrological application, Hydrol. Process., 28, 1989–2002, 2014.
Bastola, S., Misra, V., and Li, H. Q.: Seasonal hydrological forecasts for watersheds over the southeastern United States for the boreal summer and fall seasons, Earth Interact., 17, 1–22, 2013.
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Buizza, R. and Palmer, T. N.: Impact of ensemble size on ensemble prediction, Mon. Weather Rev., 126, 2503–2518, 1998.
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Short summary
New approaches to spring-flood forecasting that reflect the latest developments with respect to analysis and modelling on seasonal timescales are presented and evaluated. Three main approaches, represented by specific methods, are evaluated in spring-flood hindcasts for three Swedish rivers over a 10-year period. When combining all forecasts in a weighted multi-model approach, a mean improvement over all locations and lead times of nearly 5 % was indicated, as compared with today's approach.