Articles | Volume 19, issue 3
Research article
03 Mar 2015
Research article |  | 03 Mar 2015

Explaining and forecasting interannual variability in the flow of the Nile River

M. S. Siam and E. A. B. Eltahir

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Cited articles

Abtew, W., Melesse, A. M., and Dessalegne, T.: El Niño Southern Oscillation link to the Blue Nile River Basin hydrology, Hydrol. Process., 23, 3653–3660,, 2009.
Amarasekera, K. N., Lee, R. F., Williams, E. R., and Eltahir, E. A. B.: ENSO and the natural variability in the flow of tropical rivers, J. Hydrol., 200, 24–39, 1996.
Bacmeister, J. T., Pegion, P. J., Schubert, S. D., and Suarez, M. J.: An atlas of seasonal means simulated by the NSIPP 1 atmospheric GCM, NASA Tech. Memo. 104606, Vol. 17, Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, 194 pp., 2000.
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Black, E., Slingo, J., and Sperber, K. R.: An observational study of the relationship between excessively strong short rains in coastal East Africa and Indian Ocean SST, Mon. Weather Rev., 31, 74–94, 2003.
Short summary
This paper explains the different natural modes of interannual variability in the flow of the Nile River and also presents a new index based on the sea surface temperature (SST) over the southern Indian Ocean to forecast the flow of the Nile River. It also presents a new hybrid forecasting algorithm that can be used to predict the Nile flow based on indices of the SST in the eastern Pacific and southern Indian oceans.