Articles | Volume 19, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1181-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1181-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Mar 2015
Research article |
| 03 Mar 2015
Explaining and forecasting interannual variability in the flow of the Nile River
M. S. Siam
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Ralph M. Parsons Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 15 Vassar St., Cambridge, MA 02139, USA
E. A. B. Eltahir
Ralph M. Parsons Laboratory, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 15 Vassar St., Cambridge, MA 02139, USA
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Cited
22 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessment of flood discharge sensitivity to climate indexes in West Africa J. Hounkpè et al. 10.5194/piahs-384-219-2021
- Seasonal Flow Forecasting Using Satellite-Driven Precipitation Data for Awash and Omo-Gibe Basins, Ethiopia S. Woldegebrael et al. 10.3390/rs14184518
- Exploratory studies into seasonal flow forecasting potential for large lakes K. Sene et al. 10.5194/hess-22-127-2018
- Extreme hydroclimatic variability and impact of local and global climate system anomalies on extreme flow in the Upper Awash River basin S. Tola & A. Shetty 10.1007/s00704-023-04510-4
- Estimation of evaporation over the upper Blue Nile basin by combining observations from satellites and river flow gauges M. Allam et al. 10.1002/2015WR017251
- Characterizing El Niño-Southern Oscillation Effects on the Blue Nile Yield and the Nile River Basin Precipitation using Empirical Mode Decomposition J. Le et al. 10.1007/s41748-020-00192-4
- Climate change enhances interannual variability of the Nile river flow M. Siam & E. Eltahir 10.1038/nclimate3273
- Evaluation of Global Water Resources Reanalysis Products in the Upper Blue Nile River Basin M. Koukoula et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0233.1
- Climate Variability and Floods—A global Review . Kundzewicz et al. 10.3390/w11071399
- Explainable deep learning for insights in El Niño and river flows Y. Liu et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-35968-5
- On the Spatial Scale Dependence of Long‐Term Persistence in Global Annual Precipitation Data and the Hurst Phenomenon E. O’Connell et al. 10.1029/2022WR033133
- Multivariate analysis for medium- and long-range forecasting of Nile River flow to mitigate drought and flood risks H. Ahmed et al. 10.1007/s11069-021-04968-3
- Exploring Cooperative Transboundary River Management Strategies for the Eastern Nile Basin K. Wheeler et al. 10.1029/2017WR022149
- Reflections on almost a century of hydrological studies on Africa's largest lake K. Sene et al. 10.5194/piahs-384-141-2021
- Seasonal flow forecasting in Africa; exploratory studies for large lakes K. Sene & W. Tych 10.5194/piahs-384-289-2021
- Potential for seasonal flood forecasting in West Africa using climate indexes J. Hounkpè et al. 10.1111/jfr3.12833
- Machine Learning Modeling of Climate Variability Impact on River Runoff M. Norel et al. 10.3390/w13091177
- Upper Nile River flow reconstructed to A.D. 1784 from tree-rings for a long-term perspective on hydrologic-extremes and effective water resource management M. Mokria et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.09.011
- Investigation of flow-rainfall co-variation for catchments selected based on the two main sources of River Nile C. Onyutha & P. Willems 10.1007/s00477-017-1397-9
- Hydroclimatology, modes of climatic variability and stream flow, lake and groundwater level variability G. McGregor 10.1177/0309133317726537
- Optimal Operation of the Eastern Nile System Using Genetic Algorithm, and Benefits Distribution of Water Resources Development R. Digna et al. 10.3390/w10070921
- Streamflow Variability in Colombian Pacific Basins and Their Teleconnections with Climate Indices T. Canchala et al. 10.3390/w12020526
22 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessment of flood discharge sensitivity to climate indexes in West Africa J. Hounkpè et al. 10.5194/piahs-384-219-2021
- Seasonal Flow Forecasting Using Satellite-Driven Precipitation Data for Awash and Omo-Gibe Basins, Ethiopia S. Woldegebrael et al. 10.3390/rs14184518
- Exploratory studies into seasonal flow forecasting potential for large lakes K. Sene et al. 10.5194/hess-22-127-2018
- Extreme hydroclimatic variability and impact of local and global climate system anomalies on extreme flow in the Upper Awash River basin S. Tola & A. Shetty 10.1007/s00704-023-04510-4
- Estimation of evaporation over the upper Blue Nile basin by combining observations from satellites and river flow gauges M. Allam et al. 10.1002/2015WR017251
- Characterizing El Niño-Southern Oscillation Effects on the Blue Nile Yield and the Nile River Basin Precipitation using Empirical Mode Decomposition J. Le et al. 10.1007/s41748-020-00192-4
- Climate change enhances interannual variability of the Nile river flow M. Siam & E. Eltahir 10.1038/nclimate3273
- Evaluation of Global Water Resources Reanalysis Products in the Upper Blue Nile River Basin M. Koukoula et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-19-0233.1
- Climate Variability and Floods—A global Review . Kundzewicz et al. 10.3390/w11071399
- Explainable deep learning for insights in El Niño and river flows Y. Liu et al. 10.1038/s41467-023-35968-5
- On the Spatial Scale Dependence of Long‐Term Persistence in Global Annual Precipitation Data and the Hurst Phenomenon E. O’Connell et al. 10.1029/2022WR033133
- Multivariate analysis for medium- and long-range forecasting of Nile River flow to mitigate drought and flood risks H. Ahmed et al. 10.1007/s11069-021-04968-3
- Exploring Cooperative Transboundary River Management Strategies for the Eastern Nile Basin K. Wheeler et al. 10.1029/2017WR022149
- Reflections on almost a century of hydrological studies on Africa's largest lake K. Sene et al. 10.5194/piahs-384-141-2021
- Seasonal flow forecasting in Africa; exploratory studies for large lakes K. Sene & W. Tych 10.5194/piahs-384-289-2021
- Potential for seasonal flood forecasting in West Africa using climate indexes J. Hounkpè et al. 10.1111/jfr3.12833
- Machine Learning Modeling of Climate Variability Impact on River Runoff M. Norel et al. 10.3390/w13091177
- Upper Nile River flow reconstructed to A.D. 1784 from tree-rings for a long-term perspective on hydrologic-extremes and effective water resource management M. Mokria et al. 10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.09.011
- Investigation of flow-rainfall co-variation for catchments selected based on the two main sources of River Nile C. Onyutha & P. Willems 10.1007/s00477-017-1397-9
- Hydroclimatology, modes of climatic variability and stream flow, lake and groundwater level variability G. McGregor 10.1177/0309133317726537
- Optimal Operation of the Eastern Nile System Using Genetic Algorithm, and Benefits Distribution of Water Resources Development R. Digna et al. 10.3390/w10070921
- Streamflow Variability in Colombian Pacific Basins and Their Teleconnections with Climate Indices T. Canchala et al. 10.3390/w12020526
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Short summary
This paper explains the different natural modes of interannual variability in the flow of the Nile River and also presents a new index based on the sea surface temperature (SST) over the southern Indian Ocean to forecast the flow of the Nile River. It also presents a new hybrid forecasting algorithm that can be used to predict the Nile flow based on indices of the SST in the eastern Pacific and southern Indian oceans.
This paper explains the different natural modes of interannual variability in the flow of the...
