Articles | Volume 18, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-611-2014
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-611-2014
Research article
 | 
18 Feb 2014
Research article |  | 18 Feb 2014

Forecasting droughts in East Africa

E. Mwangi, F. Wetterhall, E. Dutra, F. Di Giuseppe, and F. Pappenberger

Related authors

Comprehensive Global Assessment of 23 Gridded Precipitation Datasets Across 16,295 Catchments Using Hydrological Modeling
Ather Abbas, Yuan Yang, Ming Pan, Yves Tramblay, Chaopeng Shen, Haoyu Ji, Solomon H. Gebrechorkos, Florian Pappenberger, Jong Cheol Pyo, Dapeng Feng, George Huffman, Phu Nguyen, Christian Massari, Luca Brocca, Tan Jackson, and Hylke E. Beck
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4194,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-4194, 2025
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).
Short summary
Multi-year simulations at kilometre scale with the Integrated Forecasting System coupled to FESOM2.5 and NEMOv3.4
Thomas Rackow, Xabier Pedruzo-Bagazgoitia, Tobias Becker, Sebastian Milinski, Irina Sandu, Razvan Aguridan, Peter Bechtold, Sebastian Beyer, Jean Bidlot, Souhail Boussetta, Willem Deconinck, Michail Diamantakis, Peter Dueben, Emanuel Dutra, Richard Forbes, Rohit Ghosh, Helge F. Goessling, Ioan Hadade, Jan Hegewald, Thomas Jung, Sarah Keeley, Lukas Kluft, Nikolay Koldunov, Aleksei Koldunov, Tobias Kölling, Josh Kousal, Christian Kühnlein, Pedro Maciel, Kristian Mogensen, Tiago Quintino, Inna Polichtchouk, Balthasar Reuter, Domokos Sármány, Patrick Scholz, Dmitry Sidorenko, Jan Streffing, Birgit Sützl, Daisuke Takasuka, Steffen Tietsche, Mirco Valentini, Benoît Vannière, Nils Wedi, Lorenzo Zampieri, and Florian Ziemen
Geosci. Model Dev., 18, 33–69, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-33-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-18-33-2025, 2025
Short summary
State of Wildfires 2023–2024
Matthew W. Jones, Douglas I. Kelley, Chantelle A. Burton, Francesca Di Giuseppe, Maria Lucia F. Barbosa, Esther Brambleby, Andrew J. Hartley, Anna Lombardi, Guilherme Mataveli, Joe R. McNorton, Fiona R. Spuler, Jakob B. Wessel, John T. Abatzoglou, Liana O. Anderson, Niels Andela, Sally Archibald, Dolors Armenteras, Eleanor Burke, Rachel Carmenta, Emilio Chuvieco, Hamish Clarke, Stefan H. Doerr, Paulo M. Fernandes, Louis Giglio, Douglas S. Hamilton, Stijn Hantson, Sarah Harris, Piyush Jain, Crystal A. Kolden, Tiina Kurvits, Seppe Lampe, Sarah Meier, Stacey New, Mark Parrington, Morgane M. G. Perron, Yuquan Qu, Natasha S. Ribeiro, Bambang H. Saharjo, Jesus San-Miguel-Ayanz, Jacquelyn K. Shuman, Veerachai Tanpipat, Guido R. van der Werf, Sander Veraverbeke, and Gavriil Xanthopoulos
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 16, 3601–3685, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-3601-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-3601-2024, 2024
Short summary
Advances in Land Surface Model-based Forecasting: A Comparison of LSTM, Gradient Boosting, and Feedforward Neural Networks as Prognostic State Emulators in a Case Study with ECLand
Marieke Wesselkamp, Matthew Chantry, Ewan Pinnington, Margarita Choulga, Souhail Boussetta, Maria Kalweit, Joschka Bödecker, Carsten F. Dormann, Florian Pappenberger, and Gianpaolo Balsamo
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2081,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2081, 2024
Short summary
A satellite view of the exceptionally warm summer of 2022 over Europe
João P. A. Martins, Sara Caetano, Carlos Pereira, Emanuel Dutra, and Rita M. Cardoso
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1501–1520, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1501-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1501-2024, 2024
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Hydrometeorology | Techniques and Approaches: Modelling approaches
Do land models miss key soil hydrological processes controlling soil moisture memory?
Mohammad A. Farmani, Ali Behrangi, Aniket Gupta, Ahmad Tavakoly, Matthew Geheran, and Guo-Yue Niu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 547–566, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-547-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-547-2025, 2025
Short summary
Observation-driven model for calculating water-harvesting potential from advective fog in (semi-)arid coastal regions
Felipe Lobos-Roco, Jordi Vilà-Guerau de Arellano, and Camilo del Río
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 109–125, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-109-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-109-2025, 2025
Short summary
Review of gridded climate products and their use in hydrological analyses reveals overlaps, gaps, and the need for a more objective approach to selecting model forcing datasets
Kyle R. Mankin, Sushant Mehan, Timothy R. Green, and David M. Barnard
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 85–108, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-85-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-85-2025, 2025
Short summary
Downscaling the probability of heavy rainfall over the Nordic countries
Rasmus E. Benestad, Kajsa M. Parding, and Andreas Dobler
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 45–65, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-45-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-45-2025, 2025
Short summary
Modelling convective cell life cycles with a copula-based approach
Chien-Yu Tseng, Li-Pen Wang, and Christian Onof
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 1–25, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1-2025, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

AMCEN (African Ministerial Council on the Environment): Addressing Climate Change Challenges in Africa, A Practical Guide Towards Sustainable Development, AMCEN, Nairobi, Kenya, 272 pp., available at: http://www.unep.org/roa/amcen/docs/publications/guidebook_CLimateChange.pdf, last access: 3 February 2014, 2011.
Beltrando, G.: Space-time variability in April and October–November over East Africa during the period 1932–1983, Int. J. Climatol., 10, 691–702, 1990.
Dutra, E., Magnusson, L., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Balsamo, G., Boussetta, S., and Pappenberger, F.: The 2010–2011 drought in the Horn of Africa in ECMWF reanalysis and seasonal forecast products, Int. J. Climatol., 33, 1720–1729, 10.1002/joc.3545, 2013a.
Dutra, E., Di Giuseppe, F., Wetterhall, F., and Pappenberger, F.: Seasonal forecasts of droughts in African basins using the Standardized Precipitation Index, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2359–2373, 10.5194/hess-17-2359-2013, 2013b.
Dutra, E., Pozzi, W., Wetterhall, F., Di Giuseppe, F., Magnusson, L., Naumann, G., Barbosa, P., Vogt, J., and Pappenberger, F.: Global meteorological drought – Part 2: Seasonal forecasts, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., 11, 919–944, 10.5194/hessd-11-919-2014, 2014.
Download
Share