Articles | Volume 18, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-611-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-611-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Forecasting droughts in East Africa
E. Mwangi
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
Kenya Meteorological Department, Nairobi, Kenya
F. Wetterhall
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
F. Di Giuseppe
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
F. Pappenberger
College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, China
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK
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80 citations as recorded by crossref.
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- Regional and farm level droughts characteristics for southwestern Uganda during 1981–2017 M. Ojara et al. 10.1016/j.soisec.2024.100148
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- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa G. Haile et al. 10.1029/2020EF001502
- Impact of climate change on potential evapotranspiration and crop water requirement in Upper Wabe Bridge watershed, Wabe Shebele River Basin, Ethiopia M. Gurara et al. 10.1016/j.jafrearsci.2021.104223
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- Quality and Value of Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts Issued by the West African Regional Climate Outlook Forum J. Bliefernicht et al. 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0066.1
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- Drivers of Subseasonal Forecast Errors of the East African Short Rains E. Kolstad et al. 10.1029/2021GL093292
- Water security in sub‐Saharan Africa: Understanding the status of sustainable development goal 6 E. Nkiaka et al. 10.1002/wat2.1552
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- A seasonal agricultural drought forecast system for food-insecure regions of East Africa S. Shukla et al. 10.5194/hess-18-3907-2014
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- Hydrological Modeling and Capacity Building in the Republic of Namibia R. Clark et al. 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00130.1
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- Improved Seasonal Prediction of Rainfall over East Africa for Application in Agriculture: Statistical Downscaling of CFSv2 and GFDL-FLOR O. Kipkogei et al. 10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0365.1
- Assessing North American multimodel ensemble (NMME) seasonal forecast skill to assist in the early warning of anomalous hydrometeorological events over East Africa S. Shukla et al. 10.1007/s00382-016-3296-z
- Application of real time S2S forecasts over Eastern Africa in the co-production of climate services M. Gudoshava et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100319
- Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin F. Wetterhall et al. 10.5194/hess-19-2577-2015
- Projected effects of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming levels on the intra-seasonal rainfall characteristics over the Greater Horn of Africa M. Gudoshava et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6b33
- Long-term climatic water availability trends and variability across the African continent C. Onyutha 10.1007/s00704-021-03669-y
- Evaluation of Meteorological Drought and Flood Scenarios over Kenya, East Africa B. Ayugi et al. 10.3390/atmos11030307
- Historical droughts recorded in extended Juniperus procera ring-width chronologies from the Ethiopian Highlands E. Gebregeorgis et al. 10.1007/s00484-020-01863-7
- Ecosystem Productivity and Water Stress in Tropical East Africa: A Case Study of the 2010–2011 Drought E. Robinson et al. 10.3390/land8030052
- A baseline probabilistic drought forecasting framework using standardized soil moisture index: application to the 2012 United States drought A. AghaKouchak 10.5194/hess-18-2485-2014
- Skill of ECMWF system‐4 ensemble seasonal climate forecasts for East Africa G. Ogutu et al. 10.1002/joc.4876
- Probabilistic rainy season onset prediction over the greater horn of africa based on long-range multi-model ensemble forecasts M. Scheuerer et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07085-y
- Seasonal Prediction of Summer Precipitation over East Africa Using NUIST-CFS1.0 T. Asfaw & J. Luo 10.1007/s00376-021-1180-1
- Analysis of Changes in Rainfall Concentration over East Africa H. Babaousmail et al. 10.3390/atmos14111679
- Seasonal forecasts of the rainy season onset over Africa: Preliminary results from the FOCUS-Africa project M. Zampieri et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100417
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- Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall D. Walker et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-04835-9
- Skill assessment of a seasonal forecast model to predict drought events for water resource systems J. Madrigal et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.07.046
- Causal pathways linking different flavours of ENSO with the Greater Horn of Africa short rains D. MacLeod et al. 10.1002/asl.1015
- Discontents in Japans aid discourse in Africa: Land grabbing activism in Tokyo International Conference for Africa Development (TICAD) process L. Kinyua 10.5897/JASD2016.0425
77 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Droughts in East Africa: Causes, impacts and resilience G. Gebremeskel Haile et al. 10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.04.015
- Managing the water cycle in Kenyan small‐scale maize farming systems: Part 2. Farmers’ use of formal and informal climate forecasts R. Vervoort et al. 10.1002/wat2.1121
- Using constructed analogs to improve the skill of National Multi-Model Ensemble March–April–May precipitation forecasts in equatorial East Africa S. Shukla et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/9/9/094009
- Regional and farm level droughts characteristics for southwestern Uganda during 1981–2017 M. Ojara et al. 10.1016/j.soisec.2024.100148
- Seasonal Drought Prediction: Advances, Challenges, and Future Prospects Z. Hao et al. 10.1002/2016RG000549
- Drought: Progress in broadening its understanding G. Haile et al. 10.1002/wat2.1407
- Optimal spatial scales for seasonal forecasts over Africa M. Young et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab94e9
- Predictability of the East Africa long rains through Congo zonal winds N. Ward et al. 10.1002/asl.1185
- Drought severity across Africa: a comparative analysis of multi-source precipitation datasets K. Lim Kam Sian et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06604-2
- Toward a seasonal precipitation prediction system for West Africa: Performance of CFSv2 and high‐resolution dynamical downscaling J. Siegmund et al. 10.1002/2014JD022692
- Analysis of spatio‐temporal changes in annual and seasonal precipitation variability in South America‐Chile and related ocean–atmosphere circulation patterns R. Valdés‐Pineda et al. 10.1002/joc.4532
- A coupled human–natural system to assess the operational value of weather and climate services for agriculture Y. Li et al. 10.5194/hess-21-4693-2017
- Drivers of sub‐seasonal extreme rainfall and their representation in ECMWF forecasts during the Eastern African March‐to‐May seasons of 2018–2020 M. Gudoshava et al. 10.1002/met.70000
- Projected Impacts of Climate Change on Drought Patterns Over East Africa G. Haile et al. 10.1029/2020EF001502
- Impact of climate change on potential evapotranspiration and crop water requirement in Upper Wabe Bridge watershed, Wabe Shebele River Basin, Ethiopia M. Gurara et al. 10.1016/j.jafrearsci.2021.104223
- Localizing Hydrological Drought Early Warning Using In Situ Groundwater Sensors W. Veness et al. 10.1029/2022WR032165
- Increasing the prospective capacity of global crop and rangeland monitoring with phenology tailored seasonal precipitation forecasts M. Meroni et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100434
- Seasonal forecasts of the East African long rains: insight from atmospheric relaxation experiments D. MacLeod 10.1007/s00382-019-04800-6
- Improving sub-seasonal forecast skill of meteorological drought: a weather pattern approach D. Richardson et al. 10.5194/nhess-20-107-2020
- Predicting East African spring droughts using Pacific and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature indices C. Funk et al. 10.5194/hess-18-4965-2014
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- Seasonal Forecasting of the Onset of the Rainy Season in West Africa M. Rauch et al. 10.3390/atmos10090528
- Bibliometric Analysis of Methods and Tools for Drought Monitoring and Prediction in Africa O. Adisa et al. 10.3390/su12166516
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- Effects of clipping and irrigation on carbon storage in grasses: implications for CO2 emission mitigation in rangelands S. Tuffa et al. 10.1080/17583004.2018.1451963
- Direct and indirect seasonal rainfall forecasts for East Africa using global dynamical models A. Colman et al. 10.1002/joc.6260
- Quality and Value of Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts Issued by the West African Regional Climate Outlook Forum J. Bliefernicht et al. 10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0066.1
- Evolutional characteristics of hydro-meteorological drought studied using standardized indices and wavelet analysis C. Gyamfi et al. 10.1007/s40808-019-00569-z
- Subselection of seasonal ensemble precipitation predictions for East Africa C. Heinrich‐Mertsching et al. 10.1002/qj.4525
- Drivers of Subseasonal Forecast Errors of the East African Short Rains E. Kolstad et al. 10.1029/2021GL093292
- Water security in sub‐Saharan Africa: Understanding the status of sustainable development goal 6 E. Nkiaka et al. 10.1002/wat2.1552
- Assessment of drought events, their trend and teleconnection factors over Burundi, East Africa A. Nkunzimana et al. 10.1007/s00704-021-03680-3
- Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts L. Crochemore et al. 10.5194/hess-20-3601-2016
- A seasonal agricultural drought forecast system for food-insecure regions of East Africa S. Shukla et al. 10.5194/hess-18-3907-2014
- Exploratory studies into seasonal flow forecasting potential for large lakes K. Sene et al. 10.5194/hess-22-127-2018
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- Interannual Variability and Seasonal Predictability of Wind and Solar Resources N. Krakauer & D. Cohan 10.3390/resources6030029
- A joint probabilistic index for objective drought identification: the case study of Haiti B. Monteleone et al. 10.5194/nhess-20-471-2020
- Spatial-temporal analysis of historical and projected drought events over Isiolo County, Kenya P. Ochieng et al. 10.1007/s00704-022-03953-5
- Skill of Seasonal Rainfall and Temperature Forecasts for East Africa H. Young & N. Klingaman 10.1175/WAF-D-19-0061.1
- Global meteorological drought – Part 2: Seasonal forecasts E. Dutra et al. 10.5194/hess-18-2669-2014
- Assessing multi-satellite remote sensing, reanalysis, and land surface models' products in characterizing agricultural drought in East Africa N. Agutu et al. 10.1016/j.rse.2017.03.041
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- Changes and variability in rainfall onset, cessation, and length of rainy season in the IGAD region of Eastern Africa P. Omay et al. 10.1007/s00704-023-04433-0
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- Lagged oceanic effects on the East African short rains E. Kolstad & D. MacLeod 10.1007/s00382-022-06176-6
- Assessment of drought trends in the Upper Ewaso Ng'iro River Basin using the SPI and SPEI J. Kimaiyo et al. 10.2166/wpt.2023.122
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- Improved Seasonal Prediction of Rainfall over East Africa for Application in Agriculture: Statistical Downscaling of CFSv2 and GFDL-FLOR O. Kipkogei et al. 10.1175/JAMC-D-16-0365.1
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- Application of real time S2S forecasts over Eastern Africa in the co-production of climate services M. Gudoshava et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100319
- Seasonal predictions of agro-meteorological drought indicators for the Limpopo basin F. Wetterhall et al. 10.5194/hess-19-2577-2015
- Projected effects of 1.5 °C and 2 °C global warming levels on the intra-seasonal rainfall characteristics over the Greater Horn of Africa M. Gudoshava et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6b33
- Long-term climatic water availability trends and variability across the African continent C. Onyutha 10.1007/s00704-021-03669-y
- Evaluation of Meteorological Drought and Flood Scenarios over Kenya, East Africa B. Ayugi et al. 10.3390/atmos11030307
- Historical droughts recorded in extended Juniperus procera ring-width chronologies from the Ethiopian Highlands E. Gebregeorgis et al. 10.1007/s00484-020-01863-7
- Ecosystem Productivity and Water Stress in Tropical East Africa: A Case Study of the 2010–2011 Drought E. Robinson et al. 10.3390/land8030052
- A baseline probabilistic drought forecasting framework using standardized soil moisture index: application to the 2012 United States drought A. AghaKouchak 10.5194/hess-18-2485-2014
- Skill of ECMWF system‐4 ensemble seasonal climate forecasts for East Africa G. Ogutu et al. 10.1002/joc.4876
- Probabilistic rainy season onset prediction over the greater horn of africa based on long-range multi-model ensemble forecasts M. Scheuerer et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07085-y
- Seasonal Prediction of Summer Precipitation over East Africa Using NUIST-CFS1.0 T. Asfaw & J. Luo 10.1007/s00376-021-1180-1
- Analysis of Changes in Rainfall Concentration over East Africa H. Babaousmail et al. 10.3390/atmos14111679
- Seasonal forecasts of the rainy season onset over Africa: Preliminary results from the FOCUS-Africa project M. Zampieri et al. 10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100417
- SeFo: A Package for Generating Probabilistic Forecasts from NMME Predictive Ensembles N. Krakauer 10.5334/jors.112
- Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall D. Walker et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-04835-9
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- Skill assessment of a seasonal forecast model to predict drought events for water resource systems J. Madrigal et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.07.046
- Causal pathways linking different flavours of ENSO with the Greater Horn of Africa short rains D. MacLeod et al. 10.1002/asl.1015
- Discontents in Japans aid discourse in Africa: Land grabbing activism in Tokyo International Conference for Africa Development (TICAD) process L. Kinyua 10.5897/JASD2016.0425
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