Articles | Volume 29, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1637-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-1637-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
26 Mar 2025
Research article |
| 26 Mar 2025
| 26 Mar 2025
Investigating the global and regional response of drought to idealized deforestation using multiple global climate models
Institute of Meteorology, Freie Universität Berlin, 12165 Berlin, Germany
Department of Energy and Process Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, 7491 Trondheim, Norway
Chunping Tan
Institute for Disaster Management and Reconstruction, Sichuan University, 610200 Chengdu, China
Xia Zhang
Department of Energy and Process Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, 7491 Trondheim, Norway
Francesco Cherubini
Department of Energy and Process Engineering, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, 7491 Trondheim, Norway
Henning W. Rust
Institute of Meteorology, Freie Universität Berlin, 12165 Berlin, Germany
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Johannes Riebold, Andy Richling, Uwe Ulbrich, Henning Rust, Tido Semmler, and Dörthe Handorf
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Edmund P. Meredith, Uwe Ulbrich, and Henning W. Rust
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Alberto Caldas-Alvarez, Markus Augenstein, Georgy Ayzel, Klemens Barfus, Ribu Cherian, Lisa Dillenardt, Felix Fauer, Hendrik Feldmann, Maik Heistermann, Alexia Karwat, Frank Kaspar, Heidi Kreibich, Etor Emanuel Lucio-Eceiza, Edmund P. Meredith, Susanna Mohr, Deborah Niermann, Stephan Pfahl, Florian Ruff, Henning W. Rust, Lukas Schoppa, Thomas Schwitalla, Stella Steidl, Annegret H. Thieken, Jordis S. Tradowsky, Volker Wulfmeyer, and Johannes Quaas
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Robert Polzin, Annette Müller, Henning Rust, Peter Névir, and Péter Koltai
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Noelia Otero, Oscar E. Jurado, Tim Butler, and Henning W. Rust
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Felix S. Fauer, Jana Ulrich, Oscar E. Jurado, and Henning W. Rust
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Extreme rainfall events are modeled in this study for different timescales. A new parameterization of the dependence between extreme values and their timescale enables our model to estimate extremes on very short (1 min) and long (5 d) timescales simultaneously. We compare different approaches of modeling this dependence and find that our new model improves performance for timescales between 2 h and 2 d without affecting model performance on other timescales.
Jana Ulrich, Felix S. Fauer, and Henning W. Rust
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 6133–6149, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6133-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-6133-2021, 2021
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The characteristics of extreme precipitation on different timescales as well as in different seasons are relevant information, e.g., for designing hydrological structures or managing water supplies. Therefore, our aim is to describe these characteristics simultaneously within one model. We find similar characteristics for short extreme precipitation at all considered stations in Germany but pronounced regional differences with respect to the seasonality of long-lasting extreme events.
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Stationary, long-lasting blocked weather patterns can lead to extreme conditions. Within this study the temporal evolution of the occurrence probability is analyzed, and the onset, decay and transition probabilities of blocking within the past 30 years are modeled. Using Markov models combined with logistic regression, we found large changes in summer, where the probability of transitions to so-called Omega blocks increases strongly, while the unblocked state becomes less probable.
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Short summary
Deforestation has a significant impact on climate, yet its effects on drought remain less understood. This study investigates how deforestation affects drought across various climate zones and timescales. Findings indicate that deforestation leads to drier conditions in tropical regions and wetter conditions in arid areas, with minimal effects in temperate zones. Long-term drought is more affected than short-term drought, offering valuable insights into vegetation–climate interactions.
Deforestation has a significant impact on climate, yet its effects on drought remain less...
