Burgess, M. G., Ritchie, J., Shapland, J., and Pielke, R.: IPCC baseline
scenarios have over-projected CO
2 emissions and economic growth, Environ.
Res. Lett., 16, 014016, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abcdd2, 2020.
Cam, L. M. L. and Neyman, J.: Proceedings of the Fifth Berkeley Symposium on
Mathematical Statistics and Probability: Weather modification, University of
California Press, 690 pp.,
https://www.worldcat.org/formats-editions/25234809 (last access: 22 November 2020), 1967.
Chazette, P., Flamant, C., Raut, J.-C., Totems, J., and Shang, X.: Tropical
moisture enriched storm tracks over the Mediterranean and their link with
intense rainfall in the Cevennes-Vivarais area during HyMeX, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 142, 320–334,
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2674, 2016.
Chiodo, G., Oehrlein, J., Polvani, L. M., Fyfe, J. C., and Smith, A. K.:
Insignificant influence of the 11-year solar cycle on the North Atlantic
Oscillation, Nat. Geosci., 12, 94–99,
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-018-0293-3, 2019.
Comas-Bru, L. and McDermott, F.: Impacts of the EA and SCA patterns on the
European twentieth century NAO–winter climate relationship, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 140, 354–363,
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2158, 2014.
Copernicus: CMIP5 monthly data on single levels, Copernicus Climate Change Service [data set],
https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.9d44a987, 2021.
Cramer, W., Guiot, J., Fader, M., Garrabou, J., Gattuso, J.-P., Iglesias,
A., Lange, M. A., Lionello, P., Llasat, M. C., Paz, S., Peñuelas, J.,
Snoussi, M., Toreti, A., Tsimplis, M. N., and Xoplaki, E.: Climate change
and interconnected risks to sustainable development in the Mediterranean, Nat. Clim. Change, 8,
972–980, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0299-2, 2018.
DeGaetano, A. T. and Shulman, M. D.: A climatic classification of plant
hardiness in the United States and Canada, Agr. Forest
Meteorol., 51, 333–351, https://doi.org/10.1016/0168-1923(90)90117-O,
1990.
Dünkeloh, A. and Jacobeit, J.: Circulation dynamics of Mediterranean
precipitation variability 1948–98, Int. J. Climatol., 23, 1843–1866,
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.973, 2003.
Durand, Y., Brun, E., Merindol, L., Guyomarc’h, G., Lesaffre, B., and Martin, E.: A meteorological estimation of relevant parameters for snow models, Ann. Glaciol., 18, 65–71, https://doi.org/10.3189/S0260305500011277, 1993.
Folton, N. and Lavabre, J.: Approche par modélisation PLUIE-DEBIT pour
la connaissance régionale de la ressource en eau: application à la
moitié du territoire français, Houille Blanche, 93, 64–70,
https://doi.org/10.1051/lhb:2007037, 2007.
Fovell, R. G. and Fovell, M.-Y. C.: Climate Zones of the Conterminous United
States Defined Using Cluster Analysis, J. Climate, 6, 2103–2135,
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1993)006<2103:CZOTCU>2.0.CO;2, 1993.
Giorgi, F.: Climate change hot-spots, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L08707,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL025734, 2006.
Giorgi, F., Torma, C., Coppola, E., Ban, N., Schär, C., and Somot, S.:
Enhanced summer convective rainfall at Alpine high elevations in response to
climate warming, Nat. Geosci., 9, 584–589,
https://doi.org/10.1038/ngeo2761, 2016.
Gonzalez-Hidalgo, J. C., Lopez-Bustins, J.-A., Štepánek, P.,
Martin-Vide, J., and Luis, M. de: Monthly precipitation trends on the
Mediterranean fringe of the Iberian Peninsula during the second-half of the
twentieth century (1951–2000), In. J. Climatol., 29, 1415–1429,
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1780, 2009.
Grinsted, A., Moore, J. C., and Jevrejeva, S.: Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series, Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 11, 561–566, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-11-561-2004, 2004.
Habets, F., Boone, A., Champeaux, J. L., Etchevers, P., Franchistéguy,
L., Leblois, E., Ledoux, E., Moigne, P. L., Martin, E., Morel, S., Noilhan,
J., Seguí, P. Q., Rousset-Regimbeau, F., and Viennot, P.: The
SAFRAN-ISBA-MODCOU hydrometeorological model applied over France, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 113, D06113,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2007JD008548, 2008.
Hausfather, Z. and Peters, G. P.: RCP8.5 is a problematic scenario for
near-term emissions, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 117, 27791–27792,
https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2017124117, 2020.
Holman, I. P., Rivas-Casado, M., Bloomfield, J. P., and Gurdak, J. J.:
Identifying non-stationary groundwater level response to North Atlantic
ocean-atmosphere teleconnection patterns using wavelet coherence, Hydrogeol.
J., 19, 1269, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-011-0755-9, 2011.
hydroweb: Hydrological Data Bank Hosted at the French Ministry of the Environment and of Sustainable Development,
http://www.hydro.eaufrance.fr/, last access: 9 June 2020.
IPCC: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Core Writing Team, Pachauri, R. K. and Meyer, L. A., Synthesis Report, Geneva, Switzerland,
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/syr/
(last access: 12 July 2021) 2014.
Kalimeris, A. and Kolios, S.: TRMM-based rainfall variability over the
Central Mediterranean and its relationships with atmospheric and oceanic
climatic modes, Atmos. Res., 230, 104649,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104649, 2019.
Kang, S. and Lin, H.: Wavelet analysis of hydrological and water quality
signals in an agricultural watershed, J. Hydrol., 338, 1–14,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.01.047, 2007.
Kendall, M. G.: Rank correlation methods, Griffin, Oxford, England, ISBN 9780852641996, 1975.
Köppen, W.: Das geographisca System der Klimate, in: Handbuchder
Klimatologie, Borntraeger, 1–44, 1936.
Krichak, S. O., Breitgand, J. S., Gualdi, S., and Feldstein, S. B.:
Teleconnection–extreme precipitation relationships over the Mediterranean
region, Theor. Appl. Climatol., 117, 679–692,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-013-1036-4, 2014.
Labrousse, C., Ludwig, W., Pinel, S., Sadaoui, M., and Lacquement, G.:
Unravelling Climate and Anthropogenic Forcings on the Evolution of Surface
Water Resources in Southern France, Water, 12, 3581,
https://doi.org/10.3390/w12123581, 2020.
Lespinas, F., Ludwig, W., and Heussner, S.: Impact of recent climate change
on the hydrology of coastal Mediterranean rivers in Southern France,
Climatic Change, 99, 425–456, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9668-1,
2010.
Lespinas, F., Ludwig, W., and Heussner, S.: Hydrological and climatic
uncertainties associated with modeling the impact of climate change on water
resources of small Mediterranean coastal rivers, J. Hydrol., 511,
403–422, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.01.033, 2014.
Liesch, T. and Wunsch, A.: Aquifer responses to long-term climatic
periodicities, J. Hydrol., 572, 226–242,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.02.060, 2019.
Lloyd, S.: Least squares quantization in PCM, IEEE T. Inform. Theory, 28, 129–137,
https://doi.org/10.1109/TIT.1982.1056489, 1982.
Lopez-Bustins, J.-A., Martin-Vide, J., and Sanchez-Lorenzo, A.: Iberia
winter rainfall trends based upon changes in teleconnection and circulation
patterns, Global Planet. Change, 63, 171–176,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.09.002, 2008.
López-Moreno, J. I. and Vicente-Serrano, S. M.: Atmospheric circulation
influence on the interannual variability of snow pack in the Spanish
Pyrenees during the second half of the 20th century, Hydrol. Res., 38,
33–44, https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2007.030, 2007.
López-Moreno, J. I., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Morán-Tejeda, E.,
Lorenzo-Lacruz, J., Kenawy, A., and Beniston, M.: Effects of the North
Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on combined temperature and precipitation winter
modes in the Mediterranean mountains: Observed relationships and projections
for the 21st century, Global Planet. Change, 77, 62–76,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2011.03.003, 2011.
Ludwig, W., Dumont, E., Meybeck, M., and Heussner, S.: River discharges of
water and nutrients to the Mediterranean and Black Sea: Major drivers for
ecosystem changes during past and future decades?, Prog. Oceanogr.,
80, 199–217, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2009.02.001, 2009.
Mann, H. B.: Nonparametric Tests Against Trend, Econometrica, 13, 245–259,
https://doi.org/10.2307/1907187, 1945.
Manzano, A., Clemente, M. A., Morata, A., Luna, M. Y., Beguería, S.,
Vicente-Serrano, S. M., and Martín, M. L.: Analysis of the atmospheric
circulation pattern effects over SPEI drought index in Spain, Atmos.
Res., 230, 104630, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104630, 2019.
Mathbout, S., Lopez-Bustins, J. A., Royé, D., Martin-Vide, J., and
Benhamrouche, A.: Spatiotemporal variability of daily precipitation
concentration and its relationship to teleconnection patterns over the
Mediterranean during 1975–2015, Int. J. Climatol., 40, 1435–1455,
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6278, 2020.
MOI data: Climate Research Unit. Mediterranean Oscillation Indices (MOI) and Saharan Oscillation Index (SaOI),
https://crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/moi/, last access: 21 February 2021.
Molinié, G., Ceresetti, D., Anquetin, S., Creutin, J. D., and
Boudevillain, B.: Rainfall Regime of a Mountainous Mediterranean Region:
Statistical Analysis at Short Time Steps, J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim., 51, 429–448,
https://doi.org/10.1175/2011JAMC2691.1, 2012.
NOAA: Climate Prediction Center,
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml, last access: 21 February
2021.
Nuissier, O., Joly, B., Joly, A., Ducrocq, V., and Arbogast, P.: A
statistical downscaling to identify the large-scale circulation patterns
associated with heavy precipitation events over southern France, Q. J. Royal Meteor. Soc., 137,
1812–1827, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.866, 2011.
Pascual, D., Pla, E., Lopez-Bustins, J. A., Retana, J., and Terradas, J.:
Impacts of climate change on water resources in the Mediterranean Basin: a
case study in Catalonia, Spain, Hydrolog. Sci. J., 60, 2132–2147,
https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2014.947290, 2015.
Pearson, E. S.: The Test of Significance for the Correlation Coefficient, J. Am. Stat. Assoc.,
26, 128–134, https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1931.10503208, 1931.
Pike, J. G.: The estimation of annual run-off from meteorological data in a
tropical climate, J. Hydrol., 2, 116–123,
https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-1694(64)90022-8, 1964.
Polanco-Martínez, J. M., Fernández-Macho, J., and Medina-Elizalde,
M.: Dynamic wavelet correlation analysis for multivariate climate time
series, Sci. Rep.-UK, 10, 21277, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-77767-8,
2020.
Quintana-Seguí, P., Le Moigne, P., Durand, Y., Martin, E., Habets, F., Baillon, M., Canellas, C., Franchisteguy, L., and Morel, S.: Analysis of Near-Surface Atmospheric Variables: Validation of the SAFRAN Analysis over France, J. Appl. Meteor. Clim., 47, 92–107, https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JAMC1636.1, 2008.
Ricard, D., Ducrocq, V., and Auger, L.: A Climatology of the Mesoscale
Environment Associated with Heavily Precipitating Events over a Northwestern
Mediterranean Area, J. Appl. Meteorol. Clim., 51, 468–488, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-11-017.1,
2012.
Sadaoui, M., Ludwig, W., Bourrin, F., and Romero, E.: The impact of
reservoir construction on riverine sediment and carbon fluxes to the
Mediterranean Sea, Prog. Oceanogr., 163, 94–111,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2017.08.003, 2018.
Sang, Y.-F.: A review on the applications of wavelet transform in hydrology
time series analysis, Atmos. Res., 122, 8–15,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.11.003, 2013.
Schwalm, C. R., Glendon, S., and Duffy, P. B.: RCP8.5 tracks cumulative CO
2
emissions, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 117, 19656–19657, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2007117117,
2020.
Sen, P. K.: Estimates of the Regression Coefficient Based on Kendall's Tau,
J. Am. Stat. Assoc., 63, 1379–1389,
https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1968.10480934, 1968.
Smith, R. B.: The Influence of Mountains on the Atmosphere, in: Advances in
Geophysics, vol. 21, edited by: Saltzman, B., Elsevier, 87–230,
https://doi.org/10.1016/S0065-2687(08)60262-9, 1979.
Soubeyroux, J.-M., Martin, E., Franchisteguy, L., Habets, F., Noilhan, J.,
Baillon, M., Regimbeau, F., Vidal, J.-P., Moigne, P. L., and Morel, S.:
Safran-Isba-Modcou (SIM): Un outil pour le suivi
hydrométéorologique opérationnel et les études, La Météorologie, 63,
40–45,
2008.
Toreti, A., Desiato, F., Fioravanti, G., and Perconti, W.: Seasonal
temperatures over Italy and their relationship with low-frequency
atmospheric circulation patterns, Climatic Change, 99, 211–227,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9640-0, 2010.
Torrence, C. and Compo, G. P.: A Practical Guide to Wavelet Analysis, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 79,
61–78, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1998)079<0061:APGTWA>2.0.CO;2, 1998.
Tsakiris, G., Pangalou, D., and Vangelis, H.: Regional Drought Assessment
Based on the Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), Water Resour. Manage., 21,
821–833, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-006-9105-4, 2007.
Tukey, J. W.: Comparing Individual Means in the Analysis of Variance, Biometrics, 5,
99–114, https://doi.org/10.2307/3001913, 1949.
Ulbrich, U., Lionello, P., Belušić, D., Jacobeit, J., Knippertz, P., Kuglitsch, F. G., Leckebusch, G. C., Luterbacher, J., Maugeri, M., Maheras, P., Nissen, K. M., Pavan, V., Pinto, J. G., Saaroni, H., Seubert, S., Toreti, A., Xoplaki, E., and Ziv, B.: Climate of the Mediterranean: Synoptic Patterns, Temperature, Precipitation, Winds, and Their Extremes, chap. 5, in: The Climate of the Mediterranean Region, edited by: Lionello, P., Elsevier, Oxford, 301–346, https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-416042-2.00005-7, ISBN 9780124160422, 2012.
Vautard, R., van Oldenborgh, G.-J., Thao, S., Dubuisson, B., Lenderink, G., Ribes, A., Planton, S., Soubeyroux, J.-M., and Yiou, P.: Extreme fall 2014 precipitation in the Cévennes mountains, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 96, S56–S60, 2015.
Verfaillie, D., Déqué, M., Morin, S., and Lafaysse, M.: The method ADAMONT v1.0 for statistical adjustment of climate projections applicable to energy balance land surface models, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 4257–4283, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-4257-2017, 2017.
Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Beguería, S., López-Moreno, J. I., Kenawy,
A. M. E., and Angulo-Martínez, M.: Daily atmospheric circulation events
and extreme precipitation risk in northeast Spain: Role of the North
Atlantic Oscillation, the Western Mediterranean Oscillation, and the
Mediterranean Oscillation, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 114, D08106, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD011492, 2009.
Wang, M. and Tan, B.: Two Types of the Scandinavian Pattern: Their Formation
Mechanisms and Climate Impacts, J. Climate, 33, 2645–2661,
https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0447.1, 2020.
Weingartner, R., Viviroli, D., and Schädler, B.: Water resources in
mountain regions: a methodological approach to assess the water balance in a
highland-lowland-system, Hydrol. Process., 21, 578–585, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.6268,
2007.
Williamson, G.: Ecbtools: Environmental Change Biology Tools, GitHub [code],
https://rdrr.io/github/ozjimbob/ecbtools/, 2016.
