Articles | Volume 25, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5603-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5603-2021
Research article
 | 
25 Oct 2021
Research article |  | 25 Oct 2021

Identifying sensitivities in flood frequency analyses using a stochastic hydrologic modeling system

Andrew J. Newman, Amanda G. Stone, Manabendra Saharia, Kathleen D. Holman, Nans Addor, and Martyn P. Clark

Related authors

GPEP v1.0: the Geospatial Probabilistic Estimation Package to support Earth science applications
Guoqiang Tang, Andrew W. Wood, Andrew J. Newman, Martyn P. Clark, and Simon Michael Papalexiou
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 1153–1173, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1153-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1153-2024, 2024
Short summary
Evaluating an Earth system model from a water user perspective
Mari R. Tye, Ming Ge, Jadwiga H. Richter, Ethan D. Gutmann, Allyson Rugg, Cindy L. Bruyère, Sue Ellen Haupt, Flavio Lehner, Rachel McCrary, Andrew J. Newman, and Andrew Wood
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2326,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2326, 2023
Short summary
Revisiting parameter sensitivities in the variable infiltration capacity model across a hydroclimatic gradient
Ulises M. Sepúlveda, Pablo A. Mendoza, Naoki Mizukami, and Andrew J. Newman
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3419–3445, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3419-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3419-2022, 2022
Short summary
EMDNA: an Ensemble Meteorological Dataset for North America
Guoqiang Tang, Martyn P. Clark, Simon Michael Papalexiou, Andrew J. Newman, Andrew W. Wood, Dominique Brunet, and Paul H. Whitfield
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 13, 3337–3362, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-3337-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-3337-2021, 2021
Short summary
SCDNA: a serially complete precipitation and temperature dataset for North America from 1979 to 2018
Guoqiang Tang, Martyn P. Clark, Andrew J. Newman, Andrew W. Wood, Simon Michael Papalexiou, Vincent Vionnet, and Paul H. Whitfield
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 2381–2409, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-2381-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-2381-2020, 2020
Short summary

Related subject area

Subject: Engineering Hydrology | Techniques and Approaches: Stochastic approaches
Uncertainty estimation of regionalised depth–duration–frequency curves in Germany
Bora Shehu and Uwe Haberlandt
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 2075–2097, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2075-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2075-2023, 2023
Short summary
FarmCan: a physical, statistical, and machine learning model to forecast crop water deficit for farms
Sara Sadri, James S. Famiglietti, Ming Pan, Hylke E. Beck, Aaron Berg, and Eric F. Wood
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 5373–5390, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5373-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5373-2022, 2022
Short summary
Characteristics and process controls of statistical flood moments in Europe – a data-based analysis
David Lun, Alberto Viglione, Miriam Bertola, Jürgen Komma, Juraj Parajka, Peter Valent, and Günter Blöschl
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 5535–5560, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5535-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-5535-2021, 2021
Short summary
Objective functions for information-theoretical monitoring network design: what is “optimal”?
Hossein Foroozand and Steven V. Weijs
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 831–850, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-831-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-831-2021, 2021
Short summary
Stochastic simulation of streamflow and spatial extremes: a continuous, wavelet-based approach
Manuela I. Brunner and Eric Gilleland
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3967–3982, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3967-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-3967-2020, 2020
Short summary

Cited articles

Addor, N., Rossler, O., Koplin, N., Huss, M., Weingartner, R., and Seibert, J.: Robust changes and sources of uncertainty in the projected hydrological regimes of Swiss catchments, Water Resour. Res., 50, 7541–7562, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR015549, 2014. 
Anderson, E. A.: Calibration of conceptual hydrologic models for use in river forecasting, Office of Hydrologic Development, US National Weather Service, Silver Spring, MD, 2002. 
Arnaud, P., Cantet P., and Odry, J.: Uncertainties of flood frequency estimation approaches based on continuous simulation using data resampling, J. Hydrol., 554, 360–369, 2017. 
Bell, F. C.: The areal reduction factors in rainfall-frequency estimation, Natural Environmental Research Council, Report 35, Institute of Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom, 1976. 
Bennett, T. H.: Development and application of a continuous soil moisture accounting algorithm for the Hydrologic Engineering Center Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS), University of California, Davis, 1998. 
Download
Short summary
This study assesses methods that estimate flood return periods to identify when we would obtain a large flood return estimate change if the method or input data were changed (sensitivities). We include an examination of multiple flood-generating models, which is a novel addition to the flood estimation literature. We highlight the need to select appropriate flood models for the study watershed. These results will help operational water agencies develop more robust risk assessments.