Articles | Volume 22, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2759-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2759-2018
Research article
 | 
08 May 2018
Research article |  | 08 May 2018

Effects of variability in probable maximum precipitation patterns on flood losses

Andreas Paul Zischg, Guido Felder, Rolf Weingartner, Niall Quinn, Gemma Coxon, Jeffrey Neal, Jim Freer, and Paul Bates

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Cited articles

Adams, R., Western, A. W., and Seed, A. W.: An analysis of the impact of spatial variability in rainfall on runoff and sediment predictions from a distributed model, Hydrol. Process., 26, 3263–3280, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.8435, 2012. 
Altarejos-García, L., Martínez-Chenoll, M. L., Escuder-Bueno, I., and Serrano-Lombillo, A.: Assessing the impact of uncertainty on flood risk estimates with reliability analysis using 1-D and 2-D hydraulic models, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1895–1914, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-1895-2012, 2012. 
Apel, H., Merz, B., and Thieken, A. H.: Quantification of uncertainties in flood risk assessments, Int. J. River Basin Manage., 6, 149–162, https://doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2008.9635344, 2008. 
Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N.: The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale, Clim. Change, 134, 387–401, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5, 2016. 
Asadieh, B. and Krakauer, N. Y.: Global trends in extreme precipitation: climate models versus observations, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 877–891, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-877-2015, 2015. 
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Short summary
We developed a model experiment and distributed different rainfall patterns over a mountain river basin. For each rainfall scenario, we computed the flood losses with a model chain. The experiment shows that flood losses vary considerably within the river basin and depend on the timing of the flood peaks from the basin's sub-catchments. Basin-specific characteristics such as the location of the main settlements within the floodplains play an additional important role in determining flood losses.