Articles | Volume 28, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-241-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-241-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
17 Jan 2024
Research article |
| 17 Jan 2024
| 17 Jan 2024
Hydroclimatic processes as the primary drivers of the Early Khvalynian transgression of the Caspian Sea: new developments
Alexander Gelfan
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Faculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
Andrey Panin
Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Andrey Kalugin
Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Polina Morozova
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Vladimir Semenov
Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Alexey Sidorchuk
Faculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
Vadim Ukraintsev
Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Konstantin Ushakov
Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Shirshov Institute of Oceanology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
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EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3531, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3531, 2025
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The Arctic may have lost its summer sea ice 127,000 years ago during a naturally warm period in Earth’s past. Climate models can be tested by recreating those conditions, with similar sunlight and greenhouse gas levels. Analysing the large sea ice changes in these simulations helps us understand how the Arctic might respond in the near future and improves how we test and trust our climate models.
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Manuscript not accepted for further review
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Comparison of streamflow composition of two small experimental catchments simulated with three well-known rainfall-runoff (RR) models against the End-Member Mixing Analysis (EMMA) results. All used RR models and EMMA outcome demonstrate that two neighboring catchments significantly different in mutual dynamics of the runoff fractions. Three data aggregation intervals (season, month and pentad) were applied to assess proximity of the RR models and EMMA hydrograph decomposition outcome.
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Publication in OS not foreseen
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The Arctic plays an important role in the global climate system, where sea ice regulates the exchange of heat and momentum between the atmosphere and the ocean. Interpretation of such changes is difficult due to small amount of observations. Numerical modeling can contribute to understanding these processes, but the lack of knowledge about the physics of ice-ocean interactions limits our ability to realistically reproduce them. The remedy is to correct the model solution by data assimilation.
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Short summary
Paleogeographical data show that 17–13 ka BP, the Caspian Sea level was 80 m above the current level. There are large disagreements on the genesis of this “Great” Khvalynian transgression of the sea, and we tried to shed light on this issue. Using climate and hydrological models as well as the paleo-reconstructions, we proved that the transgression could be initiated solely by hydroclimatic factors within the deglaciation period in the absence of the glacial meltwater effect.
Paleogeographical data show that 17–13 ka BP, the Caspian Sea level was 80 m above the current...
