Articles | Volume 22, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-351-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-351-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Investigating water budget dynamics in 18 river basins across the Tibetan Plateau through multiple datasets
Wenbin Liu
Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes,
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese
Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Fubao Sun
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes,
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese
Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Ecology Institute of Qilian Mountain, Hexi University, Zhangye 734000, China
College of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy
of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
Center for Water Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences,
Beijing 100101, China
Yanzhong Li
College of Hydrometeorology, Nanjing University of Information
Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
Guoqing Zhang
Key Laboratory of Tibetan Environmental Changes and Land Surface
Processes, Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of
Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
CAS Center for Excellent in Tibetan Plateau Earth Sciences, Beijing
100101, China
Yan-Fang Sang
Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes,
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese
Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Wee Ho Lim
Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes,
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese
Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University Centre for the
Environment, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford,
Oxford OX1 3QY, UK
Jiahong Liu
Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River
Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing
100038, China
Hong Wang
Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes,
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese
Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Peng Bai
Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes,
Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese
Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Related authors
Yuting Yang, Shulei Zhang, Michael L. Roderick, Tim R. McVicar, Dawen Yang, Wenbin Liu, and Xiaoyan Li
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2921–2930, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2921-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2921-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Many previous studies using offline drought indices report that future warming will increase worldwide drought. However, this contradicts observations/projections of vegetation greening and increased runoff. We resolved this paradox by re-calculating the same drought indices using direct climate model outputs and find no increase in future drought as the climate warms. We also find that accounting for the impact of CO2 on plant transpiration avoids the previous overestimation of drought.
Wenbin Liu, Fubao Sun, Wee Ho Lim, Jie Zhang, Hong Wang, Hideo Shiogama, and Yuqing Zhang
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 267–283, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-267-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-267-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
This study is the first risk-based assessment of changes in global drought at 1.5 and 2 °C warmer worlds using CMIP5 models. By keeping the warming at 1.5 °C above the preindustrial levels instead of 2 °C, the risks of drought and the affected total, urban and rural populations would decrease at global and regional scales. While challenging for both East Africa and South Asia, the benefits of limiting warming to below 1.5 °C in terms of global drought risk and impact reduction are significant.
Hong Wang, Fubao Sun, Jun Xia, and Wenbin Liu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1929–1945, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1929-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1929-2017, 2017
Tingting Wang, Fubao Sun, Hong Wang, Wenbin Liu, and Hao Wang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2017-151, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2017-151, 2017
Revised manuscript not accepted
Short summary
Short summary
Accurate estimation of annual evapotranspiration (ET) in humid catchments remains a huge challenge and there is no well accepted explanation so far. We compare the estimated ET and ET + ΔS against ETwb with assumption that annual ΔS is zero, and find that much improvement has been made in ET + S. This provides an acceptable explanation for the poorly annual ET estimation and highlight that the annual ΔS shouldn't be taken as zero in water balance equation in humid catchments.
Wenbin Liu, Fubao Sun, Yanzhong Li, Guoqing Zhang, Yan-Fang Sang, Jiahong Liu, Hong Wang, and Peng Bai
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-624, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-624, 2016
Revised manuscript not accepted
Fenglin Xu, Yong Liu, Guoqing Zhang, Ping Zhao, R. Iestyn Woolway, Yani Zhu, Jianting Ju, Tao Zhou, Xue Wang, and Wenfeng Chen
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-127, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2024-127, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS
Short summary
Short summary
Glacial lake outbursts have been widely studied, but large inland lake outbursts have received less attention. Recently, with the rapid expansion of inland lakes, signs of potential outbursts have increased. However, the processes, causes, and mechanisms are still not well understood. Here, the outburst processes were investigated using a combination of field surveys, remote sensing mapping, and hydrodynamic modelling. The causes and mechanisms that triggered the two events were investigated.
Yuhan Guo, Hongxing Zheng, Yuting Yang, Yanfang Sang, and Congcong Wen
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 16, 1651–1665, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-1651-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-16-1651-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We have provided an inaugural version of the hydrogeomorphic dataset for catchments over the Tibetan Plateau. We first provide the width-function-based instantaneous unit hydrograph (WFIUH) for each HydroBASINS catchment, which can be used to investigate the spatial heterogeneity of hydrological behavior across the Tibetan Plateau. It is expected to facilitate hydrological modeling across the Tibetan Plateau.
Katja Frieler, Jan Volkholz, Stefan Lange, Jacob Schewe, Matthias Mengel, María del Rocío Rivas López, Christian Otto, Christopher P. O. Reyer, Dirk Nikolaus Karger, Johanna T. Malle, Simon Treu, Christoph Menz, Julia L. Blanchard, Cheryl S. Harrison, Colleen M. Petrik, Tyler D. Eddy, Kelly Ortega-Cisneros, Camilla Novaglio, Yannick Rousseau, Reg A. Watson, Charles Stock, Xiao Liu, Ryan Heneghan, Derek Tittensor, Olivier Maury, Matthias Büchner, Thomas Vogt, Tingting Wang, Fubao Sun, Inga J. Sauer, Johannes Koch, Inne Vanderkelen, Jonas Jägermeyr, Christoph Müller, Sam Rabin, Jochen Klar, Iliusi D. Vega del Valle, Gitta Lasslop, Sarah Chadburn, Eleanor Burke, Angela Gallego-Sala, Noah Smith, Jinfeng Chang, Stijn Hantson, Chantelle Burton, Anne Gädeke, Fang Li, Simon N. Gosling, Hannes Müller Schmied, Fred Hattermann, Jida Wang, Fangfang Yao, Thomas Hickler, Rafael Marcé, Don Pierson, Wim Thiery, Daniel Mercado-Bettín, Robert Ladwig, Ana Isabel Ayala-Zamora, Matthew Forrest, and Michel Bechtold
Geosci. Model Dev., 17, 1–51, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-1-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Our paper provides an overview of all observational climate-related and socioeconomic forcing data used as input for the impact model evaluation and impact attribution experiments within the third round of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project. The experiments are designed to test our understanding of observed changes in natural and human systems and to quantify to what degree these changes have already been induced by climate change.
Simon K. Allen, Ashim Sattar, Owen King, Guoqing Zhang, Atanu Bhattacharya, Tandong Yao, and Tobias Bolch
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3765–3785, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3765-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3765-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This study demonstrates how the threat of a very large outburst from a future lake can be feasibly assessed alongside that from current lakes to inform disaster risk management within a transboundary basin between Tibet and Nepal. Results show that engineering measures and early warning systems would need to be coupled with effective land use zoning and programmes to strengthen local response capacities in order to effectively reduce the risk associated with current and future outburst events.
Wenfeng Chen, Tandong Yao, Guoqing Zhang, Fei Li, Guoxiong Zheng, Yushan Zhou, and Fenglin Xu
The Cryosphere, 16, 197–218, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-197-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-197-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
A digital elevation model (DEM) is a prerequisite for estimating regional glacier thickness. Our study first compared six widely used global DEMs over the glacierized Tibetan Plateau by using ICESat-2 (Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite) laser altimetry data. Our results show that NASADEM had the best accuracy. We conclude that NASADEM would be the best choice for ice-thickness estimation over the Tibetan Plateau through an intercomparison of four ice-thickness inversion models.
Guoqing Zhang, Youhua Ran, Wei Wan, Wei Luo, Wenfeng Chen, Fenglin Xu, and Xin Li
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 13, 3951–3966, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-3951-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-3951-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Lakes can be effective indicators of climate change, especially over the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. Here, we provide the most comprehensive lake mapping covering the past 100 years. The new features of this data set are (1) its temporal length, providing the longest period of lake observations from maps, (2) the data set provides a state-of-the-art lake inventory for the Landsat era (from the 1970s to 2020), and (3) it provides the densest lake observations for lakes with areas larger than 1 km2.
Tingting Wang and Fubao Sun
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2021-10, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2021-10, 2021
Revised manuscript not accepted
Short summary
Short summary
We produce a set of spatially explicit global GDP with consideration of two-children policy in China that presents substantial long-term changes for both historical period and for future projections under five SSPs to face the increasing demand of ScenarioMIP of high resolution for future socioeconomic development and climate change of adaption and mitigation research.
Yuting Yang, Shulei Zhang, Michael L. Roderick, Tim R. McVicar, Dawen Yang, Wenbin Liu, and Xiaoyan Li
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2921–2930, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2921-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2921-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Many previous studies using offline drought indices report that future warming will increase worldwide drought. However, this contradicts observations/projections of vegetation greening and increased runoff. We resolved this paradox by re-calculating the same drought indices using direct climate model outputs and find no increase in future drought as the climate warms. We also find that accounting for the impact of CO2 on plant transpiration avoids the previous overestimation of drought.
Wenbin Liu, Fubao Sun, Wee Ho Lim, Jie Zhang, Hong Wang, Hideo Shiogama, and Yuqing Zhang
Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 267–283, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-267-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-9-267-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
This study is the first risk-based assessment of changes in global drought at 1.5 and 2 °C warmer worlds using CMIP5 models. By keeping the warming at 1.5 °C above the preindustrial levels instead of 2 °C, the risks of drought and the affected total, urban and rural populations would decrease at global and regional scales. While challenging for both East Africa and South Asia, the benefits of limiting warming to below 1.5 °C in terms of global drought risk and impact reduction are significant.
Yan-Fang Sang, Fubao Sun, Vijay P. Singh, Ping Xie, and Jian Sun
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 757–766, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-757-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-757-2018, 2018
Hong Wang, Fubao Sun, Jun Xia, and Wenbin Liu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1929–1945, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1929-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1929-2017, 2017
Tingting Wang, Fubao Sun, Hong Wang, Wenbin Liu, and Hao Wang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2017-151, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2017-151, 2017
Revised manuscript not accepted
Short summary
Short summary
Accurate estimation of annual evapotranspiration (ET) in humid catchments remains a huge challenge and there is no well accepted explanation so far. We compare the estimated ET and ET + ΔS against ETwb with assumption that annual ΔS is zero, and find that much improvement has been made in ET + S. This provides an acceptable explanation for the poorly annual ET estimation and highlight that the annual ΔS shouldn't be taken as zero in water balance equation in humid catchments.
Wenbin Liu, Fubao Sun, Yanzhong Li, Guoqing Zhang, Yan-Fang Sang, Jiahong Liu, Hong Wang, and Peng Bai
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-624, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2016-624, 2016
Revised manuscript not accepted
Hongbo Zhang, Fan Zhang, Guoqing Zhang, Xiaobo He, and Lide Tian
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 16, 13681–13696, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-13681-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-16-13681-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
Based on MODIS LST, clouds are believed to affect Tair estimation; however, understanding of the cloud effect on the Tair–LST relationship remains limited. Our paper reveals the subtle influence of clouds that affects Tmin and Tmax estimation in clearly different ways. The results contribute to better understanding of cloud effects and more accurate estimation of Tair using satellite LST.
C. Du, F. Sun, J. Yu, X. Liu, and Y. Chen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 393–409, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-393-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-393-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
We define the equivalent precipitation to include local precipitation, inflow water and soil water storage change as the water supply in the Budyko framework. With the newly defined water supply, the Budyko curve can successfully describe the relationship between the evapotranspiration ratio and the aridity index at both annual and monthly timescales in unclosed basins. We develop a new Fu-type Budyko equation with two non-dimensional parameters (ω and λ) based on the deviation of Fu's equation.
Y. Wang, M. L. Roderick, Y. Shen, and F. Sun
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3499–3509, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-3499-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-3499-2014, 2014
M. L. Roderick, F. Sun, W. H. Lim, and G. D. Farquhar
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 1575–1589, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-1575-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-1575-2014, 2014
W. H. Lim and M. L. Roderick
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 31–45, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-31-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-31-2014, 2014
Related subject area
Subject: Hydrometeorology | Techniques and Approaches: Mathematical applications
Theoretical Annual Exceedances from Moving Average Drought Indices
Estimating global precipitation fields from rain gauge observations using local ensemble data assimilation
Using statistical models to depict the response of multi-timescale drought to forest cover change across climate zones
Past, present and future rainfall erosivity in central Europe based on convection-permitting climate simulations
The most extreme rainfall erosivity event ever recorded in China up to 2022: the 7.20 storm in Henan Province
The role of atmospheric rivers in the distribution of heavy precipitation events over North America
Study on a mother wavelet optimization framework based on change-point detection of hydrological time series
Projected changes in droughts and extreme droughts in Great Britain strongly influenced by the choice of drought index
Atmospheric water transport connectivity within and between ocean basins and land
Technical Note: Space–time statistical quality control of extreme precipitation observations
The relative importance of antecedent soil moisture and precipitation in flood generation in the middle and lower Yangtze River basin
Rainfall pattern analysis in 24 East Asian megacities using a complex network
Comparison between canonical vine copulas and a meta-Gaussian model for forecasting agricultural drought over China
Analysis of flash droughts in China using machine learning
Performance-based comparison of regionalization methods to improve the at-site estimates of daily precipitation
The use of personal weather station observations to improve precipitation estimation and interpolation
The 2018 northern European hydrological drought and its drivers in a historical perspective
Assimilating shallow soil moisture observations into land models with a water budget constraint
Emerging climate signals in the Lena River catchment: a non-parametric statistical approach
Near-0 °C surface temperature and precipitation type patterns across Canada
A universal multifractal approach to assessment of spatiotemporal extreme precipitation over the Loess Plateau of China
Significant spatial patterns from the GCM seasonal forecasts of global precipitation
Bayesian performance evaluation of evapotranspiration models based on eddy covariance systems in an arid region
Technical note: An improved Grassberger–Procaccia algorithm for analysis of climate system complexity
The influence of long-term changes in canopy structure on rainfall interception loss: a case study in Speulderbos, the Netherlands
Geostatistical assessment of warm-season precipitation observations in Korea based on the composite precipitation and satellite water vapor data
Does the GPM mission improve the systematic error component in satellite rainfall estimates over TRMM? An evaluation at a pan-India scale
Assessment of an ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasting system for Australia
Technical note: Combining quantile forecasts and predictive distributions of streamflows
Scaled distribution mapping: a bias correction method that preserves raw climate model projected changes
Temporal and spatial changes of rainfall and streamflow in the Upper Tekezē–Atbara river basin, Ethiopia
Seasonal streamflow forecasting by conditioning climatology with precipitation indices
Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts
Flood triggering in Switzerland: the role of daily to monthly preceding precipitation
Comparing bias correction methods in downscaling meteorological variables for a hydrologic impact study in an arid area in China
Explaining and forecasting interannual variability in the flow of the Nile River
Drought severity–duration–frequency curves: a foundation for risk assessment and planning tool for ecosystem establishment in post-mining landscapes
Characterising the space–time structure of rainfall in the Sahel with a view to estimating IDAF curves
Spatial analysis of precipitation in a high-mountain region: exploring methods with multi-scale topographic predictors and circulation types
Variability of extreme precipitation over Europe and its relationships with teleconnection patterns
Drought evolution characteristics and precipitation intensity changes during alternating dry–wet changes in the Huang–Huai–Hai River basin
Structural break or long memory: an empirical survey on daily rainfall data sets across Malaysia
Calibration of aerodynamic roughness over the Tibetan Plateau with Ensemble Kalman Filter analysed heat flux
Technical Note: Downscaling RCM precipitation to the station scale using statistical transformations – a comparison of methods
Spectral representation of the annual cycle in the climate change signal
Simultaneous estimation of land surface scheme states and parameters using the ensemble Kalman filter: identical twin experiments
Downscaling of surface moisture flux and precipitation in the Ebro Valley (Spain) using analogues and analogues followed by random forests and multiple linear regression
Geostatistical radar-raingauge combination with nonparametric correlograms: methodological considerations and application in Switzerland
El Niño-Southern Oscillation and water resources in the headwaters region of the Yellow River: links and potential for forecasting
A summer climate regime over Europe modulated by the North Atlantic Oscillation
James Howard Stagge, Kyungmin Sung, Irenee Munyejuru, and Md Atif Ibne Haidar
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1430, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1430, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and related drought indices are used globally to measure drought severity. The index uses a predictable structure, which we leverage to determine the theoretical likelihood of a year with an extreme worse than a given threshold. We show these likelihoods differ by the length (number of months) and resolution (daily vs monthly) of the index. This is important for drought managers when setting decision thresholds or when communicating risk to the public.
Yuka Muto and Shunji Kotsuki
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-960, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-960, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
It is crucial to improve global precipitation estimates for understanding water-related disasters and water resources. This study proposes a new methodology to interpolate global precipitation fields from ground rain gauge observations using ensemble data assimilation and the precipitation of a numerical weather prediction model. Our estimates agree with independent rain gauge observations better than the existing precipitation estimates, especially in mountainous or rain-gauge-sparse regions.
Yan Li, Bo Huang, and Henning W. Rust
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 321–339, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-321-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-321-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The inconsistent changes in temperature and precipitation induced by forest cover change are very likely to affect drought condition. We use a set of statistical models to explore the relationship between forest cover change and drought change in different timescales and climate zones. We find that the influence of forest cover on droughts varies under different precipitation and temperature quantiles. Forest cover also could modulate the impacts of precipitation and temperature on drought.
Magdalena Uber, Michael Haller, Christoph Brendel, Gudrun Hillebrand, and Thomas Hoffmann
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 87–102, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-87-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-87-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We calculated past, present and future rainfall erosivity in central Europe from high-resolution precipitation data (3 km and 1 h) generated by the COSMO-CLM convection-permitting climate model. Future rainfall erosivity can be up to 84 % higher than it was in the past. Such increases are much higher than estimated previously from regional climate model output. Convection-permitting simulations have an enormous and, to date, unexploited potential for the calculation of future rainfall erosivity.
Yuanyuan Xiao, Shuiqing Yin, Bofu Yu, Conghui Fan, Wenting Wang, and Yun Xie
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 4563–4577, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4563-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4563-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
An exceptionally heavy rainfall event occurred on 20 July 2021 in central China (the 7.20 storm). The storm presents a rare opportunity to examine the extreme rainfall erosivity. The storm, with an average recurrence interval of at least 10 000 years, was the largest in terms of its rainfall erosivity on record over the past 70 years in China. The study suggests that extreme erosive events can occur anywhere in eastern China and are not necessarily concentrated in low latitudes.
Sara M. Vallejo-Bernal, Frederik Wolf, Niklas Boers, Dominik Traxl, Norbert Marwan, and Jürgen Kurths
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 2645–2660, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2645-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2645-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Employing event synchronization and complex networks analysis, we reveal a cascade of heavy rainfall events, related to intense atmospheric rivers (ARs): heavy precipitation events (HPEs) in western North America (NA) that occur in the aftermath of land-falling ARs are synchronized with HPEs in central and eastern Canada with a delay of up to 12 d. Understanding the effects of ARs in the rainfall over NA will lead to better anticipating the evolution of the climate dynamics in the region.
Jiqing Li, Jing Huang, Lei Zheng, and Wei Zheng
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 2325–2339, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2325-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2325-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Under the joint action of climate–human activities the use of runoff data whose mathematical properties have changed has become the key to watershed management. To determine whether the data have been changed, the number and the location of changes, we proposed a change-point detection framework. The problem of determining the parameters of wavelet transform has been solved by comparing the accuracy of identifying change points. This study helps traditional models adapt to environmental changes.
Nele Reyniers, Timothy J. Osborn, Nans Addor, and Geoff Darch
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 1151–1171, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1151-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1151-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
In an analysis of future drought projections for Great Britain based on the Standardised Precipitation Index and the Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, we show that the choice of drought indicator has a decisive influence on the resulting projected changes in drought characteristics, although both result in increased drying. This highlights the need to understand the interplay between increasing atmospheric evaporative demand and drought impacts under a changing climate.
Dipanjan Dey, Aitor Aldama Campino, and Kristofer Döös
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 481–493, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-481-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-481-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
One of the most striking and robust features of climate change is the acceleration of the atmospheric water cycle branch. Earlier studies were able to provide a quantification of the global atmospheric water cycle, but they missed addressing the atmospheric water transport connectivity within and between ocean basins and land. These shortcomings were overcome in the present study and presented a complete synthesised and quantitative view of the atmospheric water cycle.
Abbas El Hachem, Jochen Seidel, Florian Imbery, Thomas Junghänel, and András Bárdossy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 6137–6146, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6137-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-6137-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Through this work, a methodology to identify outliers in intense precipitation data was presented. The results show the presence of several suspicious observations that strongly differ from their surroundings. Many identified outliers did not have unusually high values but disagreed with their neighboring values at the corresponding time steps. Weather radar and discharge data were used to distinguish between single events and false observations.
Qihua Ran, Jin Wang, Xiuxiu Chen, Lin Liu, Jiyu Li, and Sheng Ye
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 4919–4931, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4919-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4919-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This study aims to further evaluate the relative importance of antecedent soil moisture and rainfall on flood generation and the controlling factors. The relative importance of antecedent soil moisture and daily rainfall present a significant correlation with drainage area; the larger the watershed, and the more essential the antecedent soil saturation rate is in flood generation, the less important daily rainfall will be.
Kyunghun Kim, Jaewon Jung, Hung Soo Kim, Masahiko Haraguchi, and Soojun Kim
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 4823–4836, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4823-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-4823-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This study applied a new methodology (complex network), instead of using classic methods, to establish the relationships between rainfall events in large East Asian cities. The relationships show that western China and Southeast Asia have a lot of influence on each other. Moreover, it is confirmed that the relationships arise from the effect of the East Asian monsoon. In future, complex network may be able to be applied to analyze the concurrent relationships between extreme rainfall events.
Haijiang Wu, Xiaoling Su, Vijay P. Singh, Te Zhang, Jixia Qi, and Shengzhi Huang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3847–3861, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3847-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3847-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Agricultural drought forecasting lies at the core of overall drought risk management and is critical for food security and drought early warning. Using three-dimensional scenarios, we attempted to compare the agricultural drought forecast performance of a canonical vine copula (3C-vine) model and meta-Gaussian (MG) model over China. The findings show that the 3C-vine model exhibits more skill than the MG model when using 1– to 3-month lead times for forecasting agricultural drought.
Linqi Zhang, Yi Liu, Liliang Ren, Adriaan J. Teuling, Ye Zhu, Linyong Wei, Linyan Zhang, Shanhu Jiang, Xiaoli Yang, Xiuqin Fang, and Hang Yin
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 3241–3261, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3241-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3241-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
In this study, three machine learning methods displayed a good detection capacity of flash droughts. The RF model was recommended to estimate the depletion rate of soil moisture and simulate flash drought by considering the multiple meteorological variable anomalies in the adjacent time to drought onset. The anomalies of precipitation and potential evapotranspiration exhibited a stronger synergistic but asymmetrical effect on flash droughts compared to slowly developing droughts.
Abubakar Haruna, Juliette Blanchet, and Anne-Catherine Favre
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2797–2811, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2797-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2797-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Reliable prediction of floods depends on the quality of the input data such as precipitation. However, estimation of precipitation from the local measurements is known to be difficult, especially for extremes. Regionalization improves the estimates by increasing the quantity of data available for estimation. Here, we compare three regionalization methods based on their robustness and reliability. We apply the comparison to a dense network of daily stations within and outside Switzerland.
András Bárdossy, Jochen Seidel, and Abbas El Hachem
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 583–601, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-583-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-583-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
In this study, the applicability of data from private weather stations (PWS) for precipitation interpolation was investigated. Due to unknown errors and biases in these observations, a two-step filter was developed that uses indicator correlations and event-based spatial precipitation patterns. The procedure was tested and cross validated for the state of Baden-Württemberg (Germany). The biggest improvement is achieved for the shortest time aggregations.
Sigrid J. Bakke, Monica Ionita, and Lena M. Tallaksen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5621–5653, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5621-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5621-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This study provides an in-depth analysis of the 2018 northern European drought. Large parts of the region experienced 60-year record-breaking temperatures, linked to high-pressure systems and warm surrounding seas. Meteorological drought developed from May and, depending on local conditions, led to extreme low flows and groundwater drought in the following months. The 2018 event was unique in that it affected most of Fennoscandia as compared to previous droughts.
Bo Dan, Xiaogu Zheng, Guocan Wu, and Tao Li
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 5187–5201, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5187-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-5187-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Data assimilation is a procedure to generate an optimal combination of the state variable in geoscience, based on the model outputs and observations. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) scheme is a widely used assimilation method in soil moisture estimation. This study proposed several modifications of EnKF for improving this assimilation. The study shows that the quality of the assimilation result is improved, while the degree of water budget imbalance is reduced.
Eric Pohl, Christophe Grenier, Mathieu Vrac, and Masa Kageyama
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2817–2839, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2817-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2817-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Existing approaches to quantify the emergence of climate change require several user choices that make these approaches less objective. We present an approach that uses a minimum number of choices and showcase its application in the extremely sensitive, permafrost-dominated region of eastern Siberia. Designed as a Python toolbox, it allows for incorporating climate model, reanalysis, and in situ data to make use of numerous existing data sources and reduce uncertainties in obtained estimates.
Eva Mekis, Ronald E. Stewart, Julie M. Theriault, Bohdan Kochtubajda, Barrie R. Bonsal, and Zhuo Liu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1741–1761, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1741-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1741-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
This article provides a Canada-wide analysis of near-0°C temperature conditions (±2°C) using hourly surface temperature and precipitation type observations from 92 locations for the 1981–2011 period. Higher annual occurrences were found in Atlantic Canada, although high values also occur in other regions. Trends of most indicators show little or no change despite a systematic warming over Canada. A higher than expected tendency for near-0°C conditions was also found at some stations.
Jianjun Zhang, Guangyao Gao, Bojie Fu, Cong Wang, Hoshin V. Gupta, Xiaoping Zhang, and Rui Li
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 809–826, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-809-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-809-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
We proposed an approach that integrates universal multifractals and a segmentation algorithm to precisely identify extreme precipitation (EP) and assess spatiotemporal EP variation over the Loess Plateau, using daily data. Our results explain how EP contributes to the widely distributed severe natural hazards. These findings are of great significance for ecological management in the Loess Plateau. Our approach is also helpful for spatiotemporal EP assessment at the regional scale.
Tongtiegang Zhao, Wei Zhang, Yongyong Zhang, Zhiyong Liu, and Xiaohong Chen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 1–16, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1-2020, 2020
Guoxiao Wei, Xiaoying Zhang, Ming Ye, Ning Yue, and Fei Kan
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2877–2895, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2877-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-2877-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
Accurately evaluating evapotranspiration (ET) is a critical challenge in improving hydrological process modeling. Here we evaluated four ET models (PM, SW, PT–FC, and AA) under the Bayesian framework. Our results reveal that the SW model has the best performance. This is in part because the SW model captures the main physical mechanism in ET; the other part is that the key parameters, such as the extinction factor, could be well constrained with observation data.
Chongli Di, Tiejun Wang, Xiaohua Yang, and Siliang Li
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 5069–5079, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5069-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5069-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
The original Grassberger–Procaccia algorithm for complex analysis was modified by incorporating the normal-based K-means clustering technique and the RANSAC algorithm. The calculation accuracy of the proposed method was shown to outperform traditional algorithms. The proposed algorithm was used to diagnose climate system complexity in the Hai He basin. The spatial patterns of the complexity of precipitation and air temperature reflected the influence of the dominant climate system.
César Cisneros Vaca, Christiaan van der Tol, and Chandra Prasad Ghimire
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3701–3719, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3701-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3701-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
The influence of long-term changes in canopy structure on rainfall interception loss was studied in a 55-year old forest. Interception loss was similar at the same site (38 %), when the forest was 29 years old. In the past, the forest was denser and had a higher storage capacity, but the evaporation rates were lower. We emphasize the importance of quantifying downward sensible heat flux and heat release from canopy biomass in tall forest in order to improve the quantification of evaporation.
Sojung Park, Seon Ki Park, Jeung Whan Lee, and Yunho Park
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3435–3452, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3435-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-3435-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
Understanding the precipitation characteristics is essential to design an optimal observation network. We studied the spatial and temporal characteristics of summertime precipitation systems in Korea via geostatistical analyses on the ground-based precipitation and satellite water vapor data. We found that, under a strict standard, an observation network with higher resolution is required in local areas with frequent heavy rainfalls, depending on directional features of precipitation systems.
Harsh Beria, Trushnamayee Nanda, Deepak Singh Bisht, and Chandranath Chatterjee
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 6117–6134, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6117-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6117-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
High-quality satellite precipitation forcings have provided a viable alternative to hydrologic modeling in data-scarce regions. Ageing TRMM sensors have recently been upgraded to GPM, promising enhanced spatio-temporal resolutions. Statistical and hydrologic evaluation of GPM measurements across 86 Indian river basins revealed improved low rainfall estimates with reduced effects of climatology and topography.
James C. Bennett, Quan J. Wang, David E. Robertson, Andrew Schepen, Ming Li, and Kelvin Michael
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 6007–6030, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6007-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6007-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
We assess a new streamflow forecasting system in Australia. The system is designed to meet the need of water agencies for 12-month forecasts. The forecasts perform well in a wide range of rivers. Forecasts for shorter periods (up to 6 months) are generally informative. Forecasts sometimes did not perform well in a few very dry rivers. We test several techniques for improving streamflow forecasts in drylands, with mixed success.
Konrad Bogner, Katharina Liechti, and Massimiliano Zappa
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 5493–5502, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5493-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5493-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
The enhanced availability of many different weather prediction systems nowadays makes it very difficult for flood and water resource managers to choose the most reliable and accurate forecast. In order to circumvent this problem of choice, different approaches for combining this information have been applied at the Sihl River (CH) and the results have been verified. The outcome of this study highlights the importance of forecast combination in order to improve the quality of forecast systems.
Matthew B. Switanek, Peter A. Troch, Christopher L. Castro, Armin Leuprecht, Hsin-I Chang, Rajarshi Mukherjee, and Eleonora M. C. Demaria
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2649–2666, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-2649-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-2649-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
The commonly used bias correction method called quantile mapping assumes a constant function of error correction values between modeled and observed distributions. Our article finds that this function cannot be assumed to be constant. We propose a new bias correction method, called scaled distribution mapping, that does not rely on this assumption. Furthermore, the proposed method more explicitly accounts for the frequency of rain days and the likelihood of individual events.
Tesfay G. Gebremicael, Yasir A. Mohamed, Pieter v. Zaag, and Eyasu Y. Hagos
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2127–2142, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-2127-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-2127-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
This study was conducted to understand the spatio-temporal variations of streamflow in the Tekezē basin. Results showed rainfall over the basin did not significantly change. However, streamflow experienced high variabilities at seasonal and annual scales. Further studies are needed to verify hydrological changes by identifying the physical mechanisms behind those changes. Findings are useful as prerequisite for studying the effects of catchment management dynamics on the hydrological processes.
Louise Crochemore, Maria-Helena Ramos, Florian Pappenberger, and Charles Perrin
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1573–1591, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1573-2017, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-1573-2017, 2017
Short summary
Short summary
The use of general circulation model outputs for streamflow forecasting has developed in the last decade. In parallel, traditional streamflow forecasting is commonly based on historical data. This study investigates the impact of conditioning historical data based on circulation model precipitation forecasts on seasonal streamflow forecast quality. Results highlighted a trade-off between the sharpness and reliability of forecasts.
Louise Crochemore, Maria-Helena Ramos, and Florian Pappenberger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3601–3618, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3601-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3601-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
This study investigates the way bias correcting precipitation forecasts can improve the skill of streamflow forecasts at extended lead times. Eight variants of bias correction approaches based on the linear scaling and the distribution mapping methods are applied to the precipitation forecasts prior to generating the streamflow forecasts. One of the main results of the study is that distribution mapping of daily values is successful in improving forecast reliability.
P. Froidevaux, J. Schwanbeck, R. Weingartner, C. Chevalier, and O. Martius
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 3903–3924, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3903-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-3903-2015, 2015
Short summary
Short summary
We investigate precipitation characteristics prior to 4000 annual floods in Switzerland since 1961. The floods were preceded by heavy precipitation, but in most catchments extreme precipitation occurred only during the last 3 days prior to the flood events. Precipitation sums for earlier time periods (like e.g. 4-14 days prior to floods) were mostly average and do not correlate with the return period of the floods.
G. H. Fang, J. Yang, Y. N. Chen, and C. Zammit
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 2547–2559, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2547-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-2547-2015, 2015
Short summary
Short summary
This study compares the effects of five precipitation and three temperature correction methods on precipitation, temperature, and streamflow through loosely coupling RCM (RegCM) and a distributed hydrological model (SWAT) in terms of frequency-based indices and time-series-based indices. The methodology and results can be used for other regions and other RCM and hydrologic models, and for impact studies of climate change on water resources at a regional scale.
M. S. Siam and E. A. B. Eltahir
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1181–1192, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1181-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1181-2015, 2015
Short summary
Short summary
This paper explains the different natural modes of interannual variability in the flow of the Nile River and also presents a new index based on the sea surface temperature (SST) over the southern Indian Ocean to forecast the flow of the Nile River. It also presents a new hybrid forecasting algorithm that can be used to predict the Nile flow based on indices of the SST in the eastern Pacific and southern Indian oceans.
D. Halwatura, A. M. Lechner, and S. Arnold
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1069–1091, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1069-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-1069-2015, 2015
G. Panthou, T. Vischel, T. Lebel, G. Quantin, and G. Molinié
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 5093–5107, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-5093-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-5093-2014, 2014
D. Masson and C. Frei
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 4543–4563, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-4543-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-4543-2014, 2014
Short summary
Short summary
The question of how to utilize information from the physiography/topography in the spatial interpolation of rainfall is a long-standing discussion in the literature. In this study we test ideas that go beyond the approach in popular interpolation schemes today. The key message of our study is that these ideas can at best marginally improve interpolation accuracy, even in a region where a clear benefit would intuitively be expected.
A. Casanueva, C. Rodríguez-Puebla, M. D. Frías, and N. González-Reviriego
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 709–725, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-709-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-709-2014, 2014
D. H. Yan, D. Wu, R. Huang, L. N. Wang, and G. Y. Yang
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 2859–2871, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2859-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2859-2013, 2013
F. Yusof, I. L. Kane, and Z. Yusop
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1311–1318, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1311-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1311-2013, 2013
J. H. Lee, J. Timmermans, Z. Su, and M. Mancini
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 4291–4302, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-4291-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-4291-2012, 2012
L. Gudmundsson, J. B. Bremnes, J. E. Haugen, and T. Engen-Skaugen
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 3383–3390, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-3383-2012, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-3383-2012, 2012
T. Bosshard, S. Kotlarski, T. Ewen, and C. Schär
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2777–2788, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-2777-2011, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-2777-2011, 2011
S. Nie, J. Zhu, and Y. Luo
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2437–2457, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-2437-2011, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-2437-2011, 2011
G. Ibarra-Berastegi, J. Saénz, A. Ezcurra, A. Elías, J. Diaz Argandoña, and I. Errasti
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1895–1907, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1895-2011, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1895-2011, 2011
R. Schiemann, R. Erdin, M. Willi, C. Frei, M. Berenguer, and D. Sempere-Torres
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1515–1536, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1515-2011, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1515-2011, 2011
A. Lü, S. Jia, W. Zhu, H. Yan, S. Duan, and Z. Yao
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1273–1281, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1273-2011, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-1273-2011, 2011
G. Wang, A. J. Dolman, and A. Alessandri
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 57–64, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-57-2011, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-57-2011, 2011
Cited articles
Akhtar, M., Ahmad, N., and Booij, M. J.: Use of regional climate model simulations as input for hydrological models for the Hindukush-Karakorum-Himalaya region, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 13, 1075–1089, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-13-1075-2009, 2009.
Bai, P., Liu, X. M., Yang, T. T., Liang, K., and Liu, C. M.: Evaluation of streamflow simulation results of land surface models in GLDAS on the Tibetan Plateau, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 121, 12180–12197, 2016.
Berrisford, P, Lee, D., Poli, P., Brugge, R., Fielding, K., Fuentes, M., Kallberg, P., Kobayashi, S., Uppala, S., and Simmons, A.: The ERA-interim archive, ERA Reports Series No. 1 Version 2.0, available at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/41571692_The_ERA-interim_ archive (last access: 12 January 2018), 2011.
Bookhagen, B. and Burbank, D. W.: Toward a complete Himalayan hydrological budget: spatiotemporal distribution of snowmelt and rainfall and their impact on river discharge, J. Geophys. Res., 115, F03019, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JF001426, 2010.
Bouraoui, F., Vachaud, G., Li, L. Z. X., LeTreut, H., and Chen, T.: Evaluation of the impact of climate changes on water storage and groundwater recharge at the watershed scale, Clim. Dynam., 15, 153–161, 1999.
Budyko, M. I.: Climate and life, Academic Press, 508 pp., 1974.
Chen, D., Xu, B., Yao, T., Guo, Z., Cui, P., Chen, F., Zhang, R., Zhang, X., Zhang, Y., Fan, J., Hou, Z., and Zhang, T.: Assessment of past, present and future environmental changes on the Tibetan Plateau, Chinese Sci. Bull., 60, 3025–3035, 2015 (in Chinese).
Cuo, L., Zhang, Y. X., Gao, Y., Hao, Z., and Cairang, L.: The impacts of climate change and land cover/use transition on the hydrology in the upper Yellow River Basin, China, J. Hydrol., 502, 37–52, 2013.
Cuo, L., Zhang, Y. X., Zhu, F. X., and Liang, L. Q.: Characteristics and changes of streamflow on the Tibetan Plateau: A review, J. Hydrol. Reg. Stud., 2, 49–68, 2014.
Cuo, L., Zhang, Y. X., Bohn, T. J., Zhao, L., Li, J. L., Liu, Q. M., and Zhou, B. R.: Frozen soil degradation and its effects on surface hydrology in the northern Tibetan Plateau, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 120, 8276–8298, 2015.
Dong, W., Lin, Y., Wright, J. S., Ming, Y., Xie, Y., Wang, B., Luo, Y., Huang, W., Huang, J., Wang, L., Tian, L., Peng, Y., and Xu, F.: Summer rainfall over the southwestern Tibetan Plateau controlled by deep convection over the Indian Subcontinent, Nat. Commun., 7, 10925, https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms10925, 2016.
Dong, X., Yao, Z., and Chen, C.: Runoff variation and responses to precipitation in the source regions of the Yellow River, Resour. Sci., 29, 67–73, 2007 (in Chinese).
Duan, A. M. and Wu, G. X.: Change of cloud amount and the climate warming on the Tibetan Plateau, Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L22704, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL027946, 2006.
Fu, L., Chen, Y., Li, W., Xu, C., and He, B.: Influence of climate change on runoff and water resources in the headwaters of the Tarim River, Arid Land Geogr., 31, 237–242, 2008 (in Chinese).
Fu, L., Chen, Y., Li, W., He, B., and Xu, C.: Relation between climate change and runoff volume in the headwaters of the Tarim River during the last 50 years, J. Desert Res., 30, 204–209, 2010 (in Chinese).
Gao, Y. H., Cuo, L., and Zhang, Y. X.: Changes in moisture flux over the Tibetan Plateau during 1979–2011 and possible mechanisms, J. Climate, 27, 1876–1893, 2014.
Guo, W. Q., Liu, S. Y., Yao, X. J., Xu, J. L., Shangguan, D. H., Wu, L. Z., Zhao, J. D., Liu, Q., Jiang, Z. L., Wei, J. F., Bao, E. J., Yu, P. C., Ding, L. F., Li, G., Ge, C. M., and Wang, Y.: The Second Glacier Inventory Dataset of China, Cold and Arid Regions Science Data Center at Lanzhou, https://doi.org/10.3972/glacier.001.2013.db, 2014.
Hamed, K. H. and Rao, A. R.: A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for autocorrelation data, J. Hydrol., 204, 182–196, 1998.
Harris, I., Jones, P. D., Osborn, T. J., and Lister, D. H.: Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations – the CRU TS3.10 Dataset, Int. J. Climatol., 34, 623–642, 2014.
Huffman, G. J., Adler, R. F., Bolvin, D. T., and Nelkin, E. J.: last updated 2015: TRMM Version 7 3B42 and 3B43 Data Sets, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, available at: http://pmm.nasa.gov/data-access/downloads/trmm (last access: 12 January 2018), 2012.
Immerzeel, W. W., van Beek, L. P. H., and Bierkens, M. F. P.: Climate change will affect the Asian water towers, Science, 328, 1382–1385, 2010.
Jung, M., Reichstein, M., Ciais, P., Seneviratne, S. I., Sheffield, J., Goulden, M. L., Bonan, G., Cescatti, A., Chen, J., de Jeu, R., Dolman, A. J., Eugster, W., Gerten, D., Gianelle, D., Gobron, N., Heinke, J., Kimball, J., Law, B. E., Montagnani, L., Mu, Q., Mueller, B., Oleson, K., Papale, D., Richardson, A. D., Roupsard, O., Running, S., Tomelleri, E., Viovy, N., Weber, U., Williams, C., Wood, E., Zaehle, S., and Zhang, K.: Recent decline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply, Nature, 467, 951–954, 2010.
Kobayashi, S., Ota, Y., Harada, Y., Ebita, A., Moriya, M., Onoda, H., Onogi, K., Kamahori, H., Kobayashi, C., Endo, H., Miyaoka, K., and Takahashi, K.: The JRA-55 Reanalysis: General specifications and basic characteristics, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 93, 5–58, https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.2015-001, 2015.
Landerer, F. W. and Swenson, S. C.: Accuracy of scaled GRACE terrestrial water storage estimates, Water Resour. Res., 48, W04531, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR011453, 2012.
Li, F. P., Zhang, Y. Q., Xu, Z. X., Teng, J., Liu, C. M., Liu, W. F., and Mpelasoka, F.: The impact of climate change on runoff in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, J. Hydrol., 505, 188–201, 2013.
Li, F. P., Zhang, Y. Q., Xu, Z. X., Liu, C. M., Zhou, Y. C., and Liu, W. F.: Runoff predictions in ungauged catchments in southeast Tibetan Plateau, J. Hydrol., 511, 28–38, 2014.
Li, J. P. and Zeng, Q. C.: A unified monsoon index, Geophy. Res. Lett., 29, 1274, https://doi.org/10.1029/2001GL013874, 2002.
Li, X. P., Wang, L., Chen, D. L., Yang, K., and Wang, A. H.: Seasonal evapotranspiration changes (1983–2006) of four large basins on the Tibetan Plateau, J. Geophys. Res., 119, 13079–13095, 2014.
Liang, S. L. and Xiao, Z. Q.: Global Land Surface Products: Leaf Area Index Product Data Collection (1985–2010), Beijing Normal University, https://doi.org/10.6050/glass863.3004.db, 2012.
Liu, T.: Hydrological characteristics of Yalungzangbo River, Acta Geogr. Sin., 54, 157–164, 1999 (in Chinese).
Liu, W. B. and Sun, F. B.: Assessing estimates of evaporative demand in climate models using observed pan evaporation over China, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 121, 8329–8349, 2016.
Liu, W. B., Wang, L., Zhou, J., Li, Y. Z., Sun, F. B., Fu, G. B., Li, X. P., and Sang, Y.-F.: A worldwide evaluation of basin-scale evapotranspiration estimates against the water balance method, J. Hydrol., 538, 82–95, 2016a.
Liu, W. B., Wang, L., Chen, D. L., Tu, K., Ruan, C. Q., and Hu, Z. Y.: Large-scale circulation classification and its links to observed precipitation in the eastern and central Tibetan Plateau, Clim. Dynam., 46, 3481–3497, 2016b.
Liu, X., Yang, T., Hsu, K., Liu, C., and Sorooshian, S.: Evaluating the streamflow simulation capability of PERSIANN-CDR daily rainfall products in two river basins on the Tibetan Plateau, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 169–181, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-169-2017, 2017.
Long, D., Shen, Y. J., Sun, A., Hong, Y., Longuevergne, L., Yang, Y. T., Li, B., and Chen, L.: Drought and flood monitoring for a large karst plateau in Southwest China using extended GRACE data, Remote Sens. Environ., 155, 145–160, 2014.
Lucchesi, R.: File specification for MERRA products, GMAO Office Note No.1 (version 2.3), 82 pp., available at: https://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/reanalysis/ (last access: 12 January 2018), 2012.
Ma, N., Zhang, Y. S., Guo, Y. H., Gao, H. F., Zhang, H. B., and Wang, Y. F.: Environmental and biophysical controls on the evapotranspiration over the highest alpine steppe, J. Hydrol., 529, 980–992, 2015.
Ma, N., Szilagyi, J., Niu, G. Y., Zhang, Y. S., Zhang, T., Wang, B. B., and Wu, Y. H.: Evaporation variability of Nam Co Lake in the Tibetan Plateau and its role in recent rapid lake expansion, J. Hydrol., 537, 27–35, 2016.
Mamat, A., Halik, W., and Yang, X.: The climatic changes of Qarqan river basin and its impact on the runoff, Xinjiang Agric. Sci., 47, 996–1001, 2010 (in Chinese).
McVicar, T. R., Roderick, M., Donohue, R. J., Li, L. T., Van Niel, T. G., Thomas, A., Grieser, J., Jhajharia, D., Himri, Y., Mahowald, N. M., Mescherskaya, A. V., Kruger, A. C., Rehman, S., and Dinpashoh, Y.: Global review and synthesis of trends in observed terrestrial near-surface wind speeds: implications for evaporation, J. Hydrol., 416–417, 182–205, 2012.
Miralles, D. G., Gash, J. H., Holmes, T. R. H., de Jeu, R. A. M, and Dolman, A. J.: Global canopy interception from satellite observations, J. Geophys. Res., 115, D16122, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JD013530, 2010.
Miralles, D. G., De Jeu, R. A. M., Gash, J. H., Holmes, T. R. H., and Dolman, A. J.: Magnitude and variability of land evaporation and its components at the global scale, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 967–981, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-967-2011, 2011.
Oliveira, P. T. S., Mearing, M. A., Moran, M. S., Goodrich, D. C., Wendland, E., and Gupta, H. V.: Trends in water balance components across the Brazilian Cerrado, Water Resour. Res., 50, 7100–7114, 2014.
Rodell, M., Houser, P. R., Jambor, U., Gottschalck, J., Mitchell, K., Meng, C.-J., Arsenault, K., Cosgrove, B., Radakovich, J., Bosilovich, M., Entin, J. K., Walker, P., Lohmann, D., and Toll, D.: The global land data assimilation system, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 85, 381–394, 2004.
Rui, H.: README Document for Global Land Data Assimilation System Version 2 (GLDAS-2) Products, GES DISC, 2011.
Saji, N. H., Goswami, B. N., Vinayachandran, P. N., and Yamagata, T.: A dipole mode in the tropical Indian Ocearn, Nature, 401, 360–363, 1999.
Shen, M. G., Piao, S. L., Jeong, S., Zhou, L. M., Zeng, Z. Z., Ciais, P., Chen, D. L., Huang, M. T., Jin, C. S., Li, L. Z. X., Li, Y., Myneni, R. B., Yang, K., Zhang, G. X., Zhang, Y. J., and Yao, T. D.: Evporative cooling over the Tibetan Plateau induced by vegetation growth, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 112, 9299–9304, 2015.
Shepard, D. S.: Computer mapping: the SYMAP interpolation algorithm, Spatial Statistics and Models, edited by: Gaile, G. L., Willmott, C. J., and Reidel, D., Dordrecht: D. Reidel Publishing, 133–145, 1984.
Shi, Y. F., Shen, Y. P., Li, D. L., Zhang, G. W., Ding, Y. J., Hu, R. J., and Kang, E. S.: Discussion on the present climate change from Warm2dry to Warm2wet in northwest China, Quat. Sci., 23, 152–164, 2003 (in Chinese).
Sun, B., Mao, W., Feng, Y., Chang, T., Zhang, L., and Zhao, L.: Study on the change of air temperature, precipitation and runoff volume in the Yarkant River basin, Arid Zone Res., 23, 203–209, 2006 (in Chinese).
Takala, M., Luojus, K., Pulliainen, J., Derksen, C., Lemmetyinen, J., Kärnä, J.-P, Koskinen, J., and Bojkov, B.: Estimating northern hemisphere snow water equivalent for climate research through assimilation of spaceborne radiometer data and ground-based measurements, Remote Sens. Environ., 115, 3517–3529, 2011.
Tapley, B. D., Bettadpur, S., Watkins, M., and Randeigber, C.: The gravity recovery and climate experiment: mission overview and early results, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L09607, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL019920, 2004.
Tian, L., Yao, T., MacClune, K., White, J. W. C., Schilla, A., Vaughn, B., Vachon, R., and Ichiyanagi, K.: Stable isotopic variations in west China: a consideration of moisture sources, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 112, D10112, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JD007718, 2007.
Tucker, C. J., Pinzon, J. E., Brown, M. E., Slayback, D., Pak, E. W., Mahoney, R., Vermote, E., and El Saleous, N.: An extended AVHRR 8 km NDVI data set compatible with MODIS and SPOT vegetation NDVI data, Int. J. Remote Sens., 26, 4485–4498, 2005.
von Storch, H.: Misuses of statistical analysis in climate research, In Analysis of Climate Variability: Applications of Statistical Techniques, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 11–26, 1995.
Wang, A. and Zeng, X.: Evaluation of multireanalysis products within site observations over the Tibetan Plateau, J. Geophys. Res., 117, D05102, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016553, 2012.
Wang, L., Sun, L. T., Shrestha, M., Li, X. P., Liu, W. B., Zhou, J., Yang, K., Lu, H., and Chen, D. L.: Improving snow process modeling with satellite-based estimation of near-surface-air-temperature lapse rate, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 121, 12005–12030, 2016.
Xia, Y., Mitchell, K., Ek, M., Cosgrove, B., Sheffield, J., Luo, L., Alonge, C., Wei, H., Meng, J., Livneh, B., and Duang, Q.: Continental-scale water and energy flux analysis and validation for North American Land Data Assimilation System project phase 2 (NLDAS-2): 2. Validation of model-simulated streamflow, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 117, D03110, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016048, 2012.
Xu, L.: The land surface water and energy budgets over the Tibetan Plateau, available from Nature Precedings: http://precedings.nature.com/documents/5587/version/1/files/npre20115587-1.pdf, 2011.
Xue, B. L., Wang, L., Yang, K., Tian, L., Qin, J., Chen, Y., Zhao, L., Ma, Y., Koike, T., Hu, Z., and Li, X. P.: Modeling the land surface water and energy cycle of a mesoscale watershed in the central Tibetan Plateau with a distributed hydrological model, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 118, 8857–8868, 2013.
Yang, K., Qin, J., Zhao, L., Chen, Y. Y., Tang, W. J., Han, M. L., Lazhu, Chen, Z. Q., Lv, N., Ding, B. H., Wu, H., and Lin, C. G.: A multi-scale soil moisture and freeze-thaw monitoring network on the third pole, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 94,1907–1916, 2013.
Yang, K., Wu, H., Qin, J., Lin, C. G., Tang, W. J., and Chen, Y. Y.: Recent climate changes over the Tibetan Plateau and their impacts on energy and water cycle: a review, Global Planet. Change, 112, 79–91, 2014.
Yao, T. D., Thompson, L., Yang, W., Yu, W. S., Gao, Y., Guo, X. J., Yang, X. X., Duan, K. Q., Zhao, H. B., Xu, B. Q., Pu, J. C., Lu, A. X., Xiang, Y., Kattel, D. B., and Joswiak, D.: Different glacier status with atmospheric circulations in Tibetan Plateau and surroundings, Nat. Clim. Change, 2, 1–5, 2012.
Yao, Y. J., Zhao, S. H., Zhang, Y .H., Jia, K., and Liu, M.: Spatial and decadal variations in potential evapotranspiration of China based on reanalysis datasets during 1982–2010, Atmosphere, 5, 737–754, 2014.
Yao, Z., Duan, R., and Liu, Z.: Changes in precipitation and air temperature and its impacts on runoff in the Nujiang River basins, Resour. Sci., 34, 202–210, 2012 (in Chinese).
Yin, G., Hu, Z. Y., Chen, X., and Tiyip, T.: Vegetation dynamics and its response to climate change in Central Asia, J. Arid Land, 8, 375, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40333-016-0043-6, 2016.
Yu, J., Zhang, G., Yao, T., Xie, H., Zhang, H., Ke, C., and Yao, R.: Developing daily cloud-free snow composite products from MODIS Terra-Aqua and IMS for the Tibetan Plateau, IEEE T. Geosci. Remote , 54, 2171–2180, 2015.
Yue, S., Pilon, P., Phinney, B., and Cavadias, G.: The influence of autocorrelation on the ability to detect trend in hydrological series, Hydrol. Process., 16, 1807–1829, 2002.
Zhang, D., Liu, X., Zhang, Q., Liang, K., and Liu, C.: Investigation of factors affecting intea-annual variability of evapotranspiration and streamflow under different climate conditions, J. Hydrol., 543, 759–769, 2016.
Zhang, G., Xie, H., Yao, T., Liang, T., and Kang, S.: Snow cover dynamics of four lake basins over Tibetan Plateau using time series MODIS data (2001–2100), Water Resour. Res., 48, W10529, https://doi.org/10.1029/2012WR011971, 2012.
Zhang, K., Kimball, J. S., Nemani, R. R., and Running, S. W.: A continuous satellite-derived global record of land surface evapotranspiration from 1983 to 2006, Water Resour. Res., 46, W09522, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009WR008800, 2010.
Zhang, L., Su, F., Yang, D., Hao, Z., and Tong, K.: Discharge regime and simulation for the upstream of major rivers over Tibetan Plateau, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 118, 8500–8518, 2013.
Zhang, Q., Li, J., Singh, V., and Xu, C.: Copula-based spatial-temporal patterns of precipitation extremes in China, Int. J. Climatol., 33, 1140–1152, 2013.
Zhang, X., Tang, Q., Pan, M., and Tang, Y.: A long-term land surface hydrologic fluxes and states dataset for China, J. Hydrometeorol., 15, 2067–2084, 2014.
Zhang, Y., Liu, C., Tang, Y., and Yang, Y.: Trend in pan evaporation and reference and actual evapotranspiration across the Tibetan Plateau, J. Geophys. Res., 112, D12110, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006JD008161, 2007.
Zhang, Y., Peña-Arancibia, J. L., McVicar, T. R., Chiew, F. H. S., Vaze, J., Liu, C. M., Lu, X. J., Zheng, H. X., Wang, Y. P., Liu, Y. Y., Miralles, D. G., and Pan, M.: Multi-decadal trends in global terrestrial evapotranspiration and its components, Scientific Reports, 6, 19124, https://doi.org/10.1038/srep19124, 2016.
Zhou, C., Jia, S., Yan, H., and Yang, G.: Changing trend of water resources in Qinghai Province from 1956 to 2000, J. Glaciol. Geocryol., 27, 432–437, 2005 (in Chinese).
Zhou, J., Wang, L., Zhang, Y. S., Guo, Y. H., Li, X. P., and Liu, W. B.: Exploring the water storage changes in the largest lake (Selin Co) over the Tibetan Plateau during 2003–2012 from a basin-wide hydrological modeling, Water Resour. Res., 51, 8060–8086, 2015.
Zhou, S. Q., Kang, S., Chen, F., and Joswiak, D. R.: Water balance observations reveal significant subsurface water seepage from Lake Nam Co., south-central Tibetan Plateau, J. Hydrol., 491, 89–99, 2013.
Zhu, Y., Chen, J., and Chen, G.: Runoff variation and its impacting factors in the headwaters of the Yangtze River in recent 32 years, J. Yangtze River Sci. Res. Inst., 28, 1–4, 2011 (in Chinese).
Short summary
The dynamics of basin-scale water budgets over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are not well understood nowadays due to the lack of hydro-climatic observations. In this study, we investigate seasonal cycles and trends of water budget components (e.g. precipitation P, evapotranspiration ET and runoff Q) in 18 TP river basins during the period 1982–2011 through the use of multi-source datasets (e.g. in situ observations, satellite retrievals, reanalysis outputs and land surface model simulations).
The dynamics of basin-scale water budgets over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are not well understood...