Articles | Volume 22, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1473-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1473-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Citizen observations contributing to flood modelling: opportunities and challenges
Thaine H. Assumpção
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Integrated Water Systems and Governance, IHE Delft, Delft, the Netherlands
Ioana Popescu
Integrated Water Systems and Governance, IHE Delft, Delft, the Netherlands
Andreja Jonoski
Integrated Water Systems and Governance, IHE Delft, Delft, the Netherlands
Dimitri P. Solomatine
Integrated Water Systems and Governance, IHE Delft, Delft, the Netherlands
Water Resources Section, Delft University of Technology, Delft, the Netherlands
Related authors
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Mostafa Saberian, Vidya Samadi, and Ioana Popescu
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 30, 371–399, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-371-2026, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-371-2026, 2026
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Recent progress in NN (neural network) accelerated improvements in the performance of catchment modeling. Yet flood modeling remains a very difficult task. Focusing on two headwater streams, we developed N-HiTS (Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting) and N-BEATS (Network-Based Expansion Analysis for Interpretable Time Series Forecasting) models and benchmarked them with LSTM (long short-term memory) to predict flooding. N-HiTS and N-BEATS outperformed LSTM for flood predictions. We demonstrated how the proposed models can be augmented with an uncertainty approach to predict flooding that is interpretable without considerable loss in accuracy.
Jitao Zhang, Dimitri Solomatine, and Zengchuan Dong
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 3739–3753, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3739-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3739-2024, 2024
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Faced with the problem of uncertainty in the field of water resources management, this paper proposes the Copula Multi-objective Robust Optimization and Probabilistic Analysis of Robustness (CM-ROPAR) approach to obtain robust water allocation schemes based on the uncertainty of drought and wet encounters and the uncertainty of inflow. We believe that this research article not only highlights the significance of the CM-ROPAR approach but also provides a new concept for uncertainty analysis.
Faisal Sardar, Muhammad Haris Ali, Ioana Popescu, Andreja Jonoski, Schalk Jan van Andel, and Claudia Bertini
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-276, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-276, 2023
Manuscript not accepted for further review
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This article analyzes surface and groundwater interactions in a small transboundary lowland catchment. The study also investigates the influence of rainfall representation in model on surface subsurface hydrological simulations. Emphasizing the significance of these interactions, the research highlighted the role of subsurface baseflow in contributing to river discharge. Despite minimal impact on streamflow, spatial variability in rainfall can cause localized fluctuations in groundwater levels.
Ana Paez-Trujilo, Jeffer Cañon, Beatriz Hernandez, Gerald Corzo, and Dimitri Solomatine
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3863–3883, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3863-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3863-2023, 2023
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This study uses a machine learning technique, the multivariate regression tree approach, to assess the hydroclimatic characteristics that govern agricultural and hydrological drought severity. The results show that the employed technique successfully identified the primary drivers of droughts and their critical thresholds. In addition, it provides relevant information to identify the areas most vulnerable to droughts and design strategies and interventions for drought management.
Betina I. Guido, Ioana Popescu, Vidya Samadi, and Biswa Bhattacharya
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2663–2681, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2663-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2663-2023, 2023
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We used an integrated model to evaluate the impacts of nature-based solutions (NBSs) on flood mitigation across the Little Pee Dee and Lumber River watershed, the Carolinas, US. This area is strongly affected by climatic disasters, which are expected to increase due to climate change and urbanization, so exploring an NBS approach is crucial for adapting to future alterations. Our research found that NBSs can have visible effects on the reduction in hurricane-driven flooding.
Mohamed Elneel Elshaikh Eltayeb Elbasheer, Gerald Augusto Corzo, Dimitri Solomatine, and Emmanouil Varouchakis
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-98, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-98, 2023
Revised manuscript not accepted
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In this research, we explored the use of machine learning (ML) to improve the S2S ensemble precipitation forecast, different approaches were used as exploratory experiments to see which approach is better addressing the improvement of the ensemble probabilistic forecast, as a conclusion of our research, we found that the concept of committee model (CM) is a promising approach that can be further studied and evaluated using a different combination of the state of the art ML techniques.
Mohamed Elneel Elshaikh Eltayeb Elbasheer, Gerald Augusto Corzo, Dimitri Solomatine, and Emmanouil Varouchakis
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2022-348, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2022-348, 2022
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
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In this research, we explored the use of machine learning (ML) to improve the ECMWF S2S ensemble precipitation forecast, different approaches were used as exploratory experiments to see which approach is better addressing the improvement of the ensemble probabilistic forecast, as a conclusion of our research, we found that the concept of committee model (CM) is a promising approach that can be further studied and evaluated using a different combination of the state of the art ML techniques.
Vitali Diaz, Ahmed A. A. Osman, Gerald A. Corzo Perez, Henny A. J. Van Lanen, Shreedhar Maskey, and Dimitri Solomatine
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2022-252, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2022-252, 2022
Preprint withdrawn
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Drought impacts on crops can be assessed in terms of crop yield (CY) variation. The hypothesis is that the spatiotemporal change of drought area is a good input to predict CY. A step-by-step approach for predicting CY is built based on two types of machine learning models. Drought area was found suitable for predicting CY. Since it is currently possible to calculate drought areas within drought monitoring systems, the prediction of drought impacts can be integrated directly into them.
Vitali Diaz, Ahmed A. A. Osman, Gerald A. Corzo Perez, Henny A. J. Van Lanen, Shreedhar Maskey, and Dimitri Solomatine
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-600, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-600, 2021
Preprint withdrawn
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Drought effects on crops are usually evaluated through crop yield (CY). The hypothesis is that the drought spatial extent is a good input to predict CY. A machine learning approach to predict crop yield is introduced. The use of drought area was found suitable. Since it is currently possible to calculate drought areas within drought monitoring systems, the direct application to predict drought effects can be integrated into them by following approaches such as the one presented or similar.
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Short summary
Citizens can contribute to science by providing data, analysing them and as such contributing to decision-making processes. For example, citizens have collected water levels from gauges, which are important when simulating/forecasting floods, where data are usually scarce. This study reviewed such contributions and concluded that integration of citizen data may not be easy due to their spatio-temporal characteristics but that citizen data still proved valuable and can be used in flood modelling.
Citizens can contribute to science by providing data, analysing them and as such contributing to...