Articles | Volume 19, issue 2
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 913–931, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-913-2015
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 913–931, 2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-913-2015
Research article
12 Feb 2015
Research article | 12 Feb 2015

Climate change impacts on the seasonality and generation processes of floods – projections and uncertainties for catchments with mixed snowmelt/rainfall regimes

K. Vormoor et al.

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Cited articles

Andréasson, J. and Bergström, S.: Hydrological change-climate change impact simulations for Sweden, AMBIO A J. Hum. Environ., 33, 228–234, https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447-33.4.228, 2004.
Arnell, N. W.: The effect of climate change on hydrological regimes in Europe: a continental perspective, Global Environ. Change, 9, 5–23, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0959-3780(98)00015-6, 1999.
Bayliss, A. C. and Jones, R. C.: Peaks-Over-Threshold Flood Database: Summary Statistics and Seasonality, Wallingford, UK, 1993.
Beldring, S., Engen-Skaugen, T., Førland, E. J., and Roald, L. A.: Climate change impacts on hydrological processes in Norway based on two methods for transferring regional climate model results to meteorological station sites, Tellus A, 60, 439–450, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2008.00306.x, 2008.
Benestad, R. E.: Association between trends in daily rainfall percentiles and the global mean temperature, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 118, 10802–10810, https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50814, 2013.
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Projected shifts towards more dominant autumn/winter events during a future climate correspond to an increasing relevance of rainfall as a flood generating process in six Norwegian catchments. The relative role of hydrological model parameter uncertainty, compared to other uncertainty sources from our applied ensemble, is highest in those catchments showing the largest shifts in flood seasonality which indicates a lack in parameter robustness under non-stationary hydroclimatological conditions.