Articles | Volume 19, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-913-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-913-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Climate change impacts on the seasonality and generation processes of floods – projections and uncertainties for catchments with mixed snowmelt/rainfall regimes
Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Potsdam, Postdam, Germany
D. Lawrence
Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE), Oslo, Norway
M. Heistermann
Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Potsdam, Postdam, Germany
A. Bronstert
Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Potsdam, Postdam, Germany
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Short summary
Projected shifts towards more dominant autumn/winter events during a future climate correspond to an increasing relevance of rainfall as a flood generating process in six Norwegian catchments. The relative role of hydrological model parameter uncertainty, compared to other uncertainty sources from our applied ensemble, is highest in those catchments showing the largest shifts in flood seasonality which indicates a lack in parameter robustness under non-stationary hydroclimatological conditions.
Projected shifts towards more dominant autumn/winter events during a future climate correspond...