Climate change impacts on the seasonality and generation processes of floods &ndash; projections and uncertainties for catchments with mixed snowmelt/rainfall regimes

Vormoor, K.; Lawrence, D.; Heistermann, M.; Bronstert, A.

doi:10.5194/hess-19-913-2015

Articles | Volume 19, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-913-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-913-2015

© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 19, issue 2

Research article

|

12 Feb 2015

Research article |

| 12 Feb 2015

Climate change impacts on the seasonality and generation processes of floods – projections and uncertainties for catchments with mixed snowmelt/rainfall regimes

K. Vormoor, D. Lawrence, M. Heistermann, and A. Bronstert

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Total article views: 5,957 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

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Views and downloads (calculated since 13 Jun 2014)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Jun 2014	116	131	2	249
Jul 2014	46	39	2	87
Aug 2014	11	15	3	29
Sep 2014	5	31	1	37
Oct 2014	15	14	0	29
Nov 2014	21	13	0	34
Dec 2014	5	16	1	22
Jan 2015	10	17	1	28
Feb 2015	131	118	5	254
Mar 2015	36	38	1	75
Apr 2015	34	23	0	57
May 2015	14	23	1	38
Jun 2015	47	18	0	65
Jul 2015	37	22	0	59
Aug 2015	21	18	1	40
Sep 2015	18	12	7	37
Oct 2015	22	23	1	46
Nov 2015	27	21	0	48
Dec 2015	7	16	0	23
Jan 2016	40	20	0	60
Feb 2016	39	26	2	67
Mar 2016	22	14	13	49
Apr 2016	18	17	0	35
May 2016	9	14	0	23
Jun 2016	9	8	0	17
Jul 2016	14	8	2	24
Aug 2016	11	4	0	15
Sep 2016	15	6	1	22
Oct 2016	13	6	3	22
Nov 2016	10	2	7	19
Dec 2016	2	7	0	9
Jan 2017	24	4	0	28
Feb 2017	18	4	2	24
Mar 2017	29	11	2	42
Apr 2017	28	15	0	43
May 2017	26	7	0	33
Jun 2017	51	12	1	64
Jul 2017	16	5	0	21
Aug 2017	15	15	2	32
Sep 2017	15	13	0	28
Oct 2017	9	15	0	24
Nov 2017	6	8	0	14
Dec 2017	13	18	0	31
Jan 2018	11	12	0	23
Feb 2018	19	11	0	30
Mar 2018	13	15	0	28
Apr 2018	13	14	0	27
May 2018	14	16	0	30
Jun 2018	16	20	0	36
Jul 2018	14	7	1	22
Aug 2018	14	10	0	24
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Oct 2018	24	15	1	40
Nov 2018	15	17	1	33
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Jan 2019	13	13	0	26
Feb 2019	12	11	0	23
Mar 2019	9	15	0	24
Apr 2019	8	8	0	16
May 2019	10	8	0	18
Jun 2019	13	18	0	31
Jul 2019	13	14	0	27
Aug 2019	8	12	0	20
Sep 2019	8	13	0	21
Oct 2019	15	13	1	29
Nov 2019	13	10	0	23
Dec 2019	13	11	1	25
Jan 2020	19	14	2	35
Feb 2020	12	8	0	20
Mar 2020	15	14	0	29
Apr 2020	14	16	0	30
May 2020	8	10	1	19
Jun 2020	26	11	1	38
Jul 2020	26	15	7	48
Aug 2020	14	14	6	34
Sep 2020	9	8	0	17
Oct 2020	7	12	0	19
Nov 2020	10	6	0	16
Dec 2020	16	19	1	36
Jan 2021	32	18	0	50
Feb 2021	18	6	0	24
Mar 2021	32	22	0	54
Apr 2021	23	20	2	45
May 2021	10	8	0	18
Jun 2021	12	10	0	22
Jul 2021	10	10	0	20
Aug 2021	9	19	0	28
Sep 2021	21	16	0	37
Oct 2021	22	32	0	54
Nov 2021	12	26	0	38
Dec 2021	23	21	1	45
Jan 2022	23	15	1	39
Feb 2022	15	13	3	31
Mar 2022	15	18	0	33
Apr 2022	11	6	2	19
May 2022	8	10	0	18
Jun 2022	18	8	1	27
Jul 2022	37	11	1	49
Aug 2022	32	10	0	42
Sep 2022	17	9	0	26
Oct 2022	25	12	1	38
Nov 2022	20	6	0	26
Dec 2022	24	9	0	33
Jan 2023	31	18	6	55
Feb 2023	22	13	0	35
Mar 2023	41	21	15	77
Apr 2023	26	35	3	64
May 2023	11	18	1	30
Jun 2023	12	5	1	18
Jul 2023	17	4	1	22
Aug 2023	26	17	2	45
Sep 2023	61	15	2	78
Oct 2023	193	20	1	214
Nov 2023	179	8	0	187
Dec 2023	18	12	1	31
Jan 2024	19	12	0	31
Feb 2024	16	14	0	30
Mar 2024	27	28	3	58
Apr 2024	29	13	1	43
May 2024	23	24	2	49
Jun 2024	25	8	3	36
Jul 2024	16	20	0	36
Aug 2024	40	7	2	49
Sep 2024	15	8	0	23
Oct 2024	30	13	1	44
Nov 2024	33	6	2	41
Dec 2024	31	8	1	40
Jan 2025	26	31	5	62
Feb 2025	56	34	1	91
Mar 2025	36	20	1	57
Apr 2025	41	31	0	72
May 2025	55	12	0	67
Jun 2025	59	30	0	89
Jul 2025	54	25	2	81
Aug 2025	56	13	4	73
Sep 2025	53	30	2	85
Oct 2025	50	31	3	84
Nov 2025	36	28	4	68

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 13 Jun 2014)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Jun 2014	116	131	2	249
Jul 2014	46	39	2	87
Aug 2014	11	15	3	29
Sep 2014	5	31	1	37
Oct 2014	15	14	0	29
Nov 2014	21	13	0	34
Dec 2014	5	16	1	22
Jan 2015	10	17	1	28
Feb 2015	131	118	5	254
Mar 2015	36	38	1	75
Apr 2015	34	23	0	57
May 2015	14	23	1	38
Jun 2015	47	18	0	65
Jul 2015	37	22	0	59
Aug 2015	21	18	1	40
Sep 2015	18	12	7	37
Oct 2015	22	23	1	46
Nov 2015	27	21	0	48
Dec 2015	7	16	0	23
Jan 2016	40	20	0	60
Feb 2016	39	26	2	67
Mar 2016	22	14	13	49
Apr 2016	18	17	0	35
May 2016	9	14	0	23
Jun 2016	9	8	0	17
Jul 2016	14	8	2	24
Aug 2016	11	4	0	15
Sep 2016	15	6	1	22
Oct 2016	13	6	3	22
Nov 2016	10	2	7	19
Dec 2016	2	7	0	9
Jan 2017	24	4	0	28
Feb 2017	18	4	2	24
Mar 2017	29	11	2	42
Apr 2017	28	15	0	43
May 2017	26	7	0	33
Jun 2017	51	12	1	64
Jul 2017	16	5	0	21
Aug 2017	15	15	2	32
Sep 2017	15	13	0	28
Oct 2017	9	15	0	24
Nov 2017	6	8	0	14
Dec 2017	13	18	0	31
Jan 2018	11	12	0	23
Feb 2018	19	11	0	30
Mar 2018	13	15	0	28
Apr 2018	13	14	0	27
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Jun 2018	16	20	0	36
Jul 2018	14	7	1	22
Aug 2018	14	10	0	24
Sep 2018	17	13	0	30
Oct 2018	24	15	1	40
Nov 2018	15	17	1	33
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Jul 2020	26	15	7	48
Aug 2020	14	14	6	34
Sep 2020	9	8	0	17
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Nov 2020	10	6	0	16
Dec 2020	16	19	1	36
Jan 2021	32	18	0	50
Feb 2021	18	6	0	24
Mar 2021	32	22	0	54
Apr 2021	23	20	2	45
May 2021	10	8	0	18
Jun 2021	12	10	0	22
Jul 2021	10	10	0	20
Aug 2021	9	19	0	28
Sep 2021	21	16	0	37
Oct 2021	22	32	0	54
Nov 2021	12	26	0	38
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Jan 2022	23	15	1	39
Feb 2022	15	13	3	31
Mar 2022	15	18	0	33
Apr 2022	11	6	2	19
May 2022	8	10	0	18
Jun 2022	18	8	1	27
Jul 2022	37	11	1	49
Aug 2022	32	10	0	42
Sep 2022	17	9	0	26
Oct 2022	25	12	1	38
Nov 2022	20	6	0	26
Dec 2022	24	9	0	33
Jan 2023	31	18	6	55
Feb 2023	22	13	0	35
Mar 2023	41	21	15	77
Apr 2023	26	35	3	64
May 2023	11	18	1	30
Jun 2023	12	5	1	18
Jul 2023	17	4	1	22
Aug 2023	26	17	2	45
Sep 2023	61	15	2	78
Oct 2023	193	20	1	214
Nov 2023	179	8	0	187
Dec 2023	18	12	1	31
Jan 2024	19	12	0	31
Feb 2024	16	14	0	30
Mar 2024	27	28	3	58
Apr 2024	29	13	1	43
May 2024	23	24	2	49
Jun 2024	25	8	3	36
Jul 2024	16	20	0	36
Aug 2024	40	7	2	49
Sep 2024	15	8	0	23
Oct 2024	30	13	1	44
Nov 2024	33	6	2	41
Dec 2024	31	8	1	40
Jan 2025	26	31	5	62
Feb 2025	56	34	1	91
Mar 2025	36	20	1	57
Apr 2025	41	31	0	72
May 2025	55	12	0	67
Jun 2025	59	30	0	89
Jul 2025	54	25	2	81
Aug 2025	56	13	4	73
Sep 2025	53	30	2	85
Oct 2025	50	31	3	84
Nov 2025	36	28	4	68

Latest update: 26 Nov 2025

Short summary

Projected shifts towards more dominant autumn/winter events during a future climate correspond to an increasing relevance of rainfall as a flood generating process in six Norwegian catchments. The relative role of hydrological model parameter uncertainty, compared to other uncertainty sources from our applied ensemble, is highest in those catchments showing the largest shifts in flood seasonality which indicates a lack in parameter robustness under non-stationary hydroclimatological conditions.