Articles | Volume 19, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-913-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-913-2015
© Author(s) 2015. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
12 Feb 2015
Research article |
| 12 Feb 2015
Climate change impacts on the seasonality and generation processes of floods – projections and uncertainties for catchments with mixed snowmelt/rainfall regimes
Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Potsdam, Postdam, Germany
D. Lawrence
Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE), Oslo, Norway
M. Heistermann
Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Potsdam, Postdam, Germany
A. Bronstert
Institute of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Potsdam, Postdam, Germany
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Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Streamflow forecast sensitivity to air temperature forecast calibration for 139 Norwegian catchments T. Hegdahl et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-723-2019
- Bivariate analysis of floods in climate impact assessments M. Brunner et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.10.176
- Leveraging Coupled Hydrodynamic with Data-Driven GeoAI Models for Advancing Systemic Compound Flood Risk Evaluation in Coastal Urban Areas T. Atmaja et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11831-025-10394-6
- The Timing of Global Floods and Its Association With Climate and Topography P. Torre Zaffaroni et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022WR032968
- Browning from headwaters to coastal areas in the boreal region: Trends and drivers A. Räike et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171959
- A 7000-year record of extreme flood events reconstructed from a threshold lake in southern Norway J. Hardeng et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108659
- Investigating the spatial–temporal changes of flood events across the Yangtze River Basin, China: Identification, spatial heterogeneity, and dominant impact factors J. Yu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129503
- Current Browning of Surface Waters Will Be Further Promoted by Wetter Climate H. de Wit et al. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.estlett.6b00396
- When timing matters-considering changing temporal structures in runoff response surfaces K. Vormoor et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-1940-1
- Uncertainty sources in flood projections over contrasting hydrometeorological regimes M. Castaneda-Gonzalez et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2022.2137415
- Projected hydrologic changes over the north of the Iberian Peninsula using a Euro-CORDEX multi-model ensemble P. Yeste et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146126
- A review of snow in Britain A. Kay https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133316650617
- Climate change effects on hydrometeorological compound events over southern Norway B. Poschlod et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2020.100253
- 长江上游近千年来的洪水变化——比较气候-水文模型模拟数据与重建数据 苒. 霍 et al. https://doi.org/10.1360/N072022-0079
- Climate change impact on regional floods in the Carpathian region I. Didovets et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2019.01.002
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Streamflow forecast sensitivity to air temperature forecast calibration for 139 Norwegian catchments T. Hegdahl et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-723-2019
- Bivariate analysis of floods in climate impact assessments M. Brunner et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.10.176
- Leveraging Coupled Hydrodynamic with Data-Driven GeoAI Models for Advancing Systemic Compound Flood Risk Evaluation in Coastal Urban Areas T. Atmaja et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11831-025-10394-6
- The Timing of Global Floods and Its Association With Climate and Topography P. Torre Zaffaroni et al. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022WR032968
- Browning from headwaters to coastal areas in the boreal region: Trends and drivers A. Räike et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.171959
- A 7000-year record of extreme flood events reconstructed from a threshold lake in southern Norway J. Hardeng et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108659
- Investigating the spatial–temporal changes of flood events across the Yangtze River Basin, China: Identification, spatial heterogeneity, and dominant impact factors J. Yu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129503
- Current Browning of Surface Waters Will Be Further Promoted by Wetter Climate H. de Wit et al. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.estlett.6b00396
- When timing matters-considering changing temporal structures in runoff response surfaces K. Vormoor et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-017-1940-1
- Uncertainty sources in flood projections over contrasting hydrometeorological regimes M. Castaneda-Gonzalez et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2022.2137415
- Projected hydrologic changes over the north of the Iberian Peninsula using a Euro-CORDEX multi-model ensemble P. Yeste et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.146126
- A review of snow in Britain A. Kay https://doi.org/10.1177/0309133316650617
- Climate change effects on hydrometeorological compound events over southern Norway B. Poschlod et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2020.100253
- 长江上游近千年来的洪水变化——比较气候-水文模型模拟数据与重建数据 苒. 霍 et al. https://doi.org/10.1360/N072022-0079
- Climate change impact on regional floods in the Carpathian region I. Didovets et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2019.01.002
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 09 Nov 2026
Short summary
Projected shifts towards more dominant autumn/winter events during a future climate correspond to an increasing relevance of rainfall as a flood generating process in six Norwegian catchments. The relative role of hydrological model parameter uncertainty, compared to other uncertainty sources from our applied ensemble, is highest in those catchments showing the largest shifts in flood seasonality which indicates a lack in parameter robustness under non-stationary hydroclimatological conditions.
Projected shifts towards more dominant autumn/winter events during a future climate correspond...
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