Articles | Volume 30, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-371-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-30-371-2026
Research article
 | 
26 Jan 2026
Research article |  | 26 Jan 2026

Probabilistic hierarchical interpolation and interpretable neural network configurations for flood prediction

Mostafa Saberian, Vidya Samadi, and Ioana Popescu

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on hess-2024-261', Nima Zafarmomen, 18 Oct 2024
    • AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Vidya Samadi, 11 Feb 2025
  • RC1: 'Comment on hess-2024-261', Anonymous Referee #1, 04 Nov 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on hess-2024-261', Anonymous Referee #2, 06 Nov 2024

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (17 Dec 2024) by Yue-Ping Xu
AR by Vidya Samadi on behalf of the Authors (03 Jan 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (16 Jan 2025) by Yue-Ping Xu
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (05 Apr 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (08 Aug 2025)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (04 Sep 2025) by Yue-Ping Xu
AR by Vidya Samadi on behalf of the Authors (11 Oct 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (22 Oct 2025) by Yue-Ping Xu
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (25 Nov 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (26 Dec 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (27 Dec 2025) by Yue-Ping Xu
AR by Vidya Samadi on behalf of the Authors (28 Dec 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (07 Jan 2026) by Yue-Ping Xu
AR by Vidya Samadi on behalf of the Authors (07 Jan 2026)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Recent progress in NN (neural network) accelerated improvements in the performance of catchment modeling. Yet flood modeling remains a very difficult task. Focusing on two headwater streams, we developed N-HiTS (Neural Hierarchical Interpolation for Time Series Forecasting) and N-BEATS (Network-Based Expansion Analysis for Interpretable Time Series Forecasting) models and benchmarked them with LSTM (long short-term memory) to predict flooding. N-HiTS and N-BEATS outperformed LSTM for flood predictions. We demonstrated how the proposed models can be augmented with an uncertainty approach to predict flooding that is interpretable without considerable loss in accuracy.
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