Articles | Volume 20, issue 9
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3549–3560, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3549-2016
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3549–3560, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3549-2016

Research article 05 Sep 2016

Research article | 05 Sep 2016

Action-based flood forecasting for triggering humanitarian action

Erin Coughlan de Perez et al.

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Cited articles

Alfieri, L., Salamon, P., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., and Thielen, J.: Operational early warning systems for water-related hazards in Europe, Environ. Sci. Policy, 21, 35–49, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2012.01.008, 2012.
Alfieri, L., Burek, P., Dutra, E., Krzeminski, B., Muraro, D., Thielen, J., and Pappenberger, F.: GloFAS – global ensemble streamflow forecasting and flood early warning, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 1161–1175, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1161-2013, 2013.
Bacchini, M. and Zannoni, A.: Relations between rainfall and triggering of debris-flow: case study of Cancia (Dolomites, Northeastern Italy), Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 3, 71–79, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-3-71-2003, 2003.
Bamburry, D.: Drones: Designed for Product Delivery, Des. Manag. Rev., 26, 40–48, https://doi.org/10.1111/drev.10313, 2015.
Bozkurt, M. and Duran, S.: Effects of natural disaster trends: a case study for expanding the pre-positioning network of CARE International., Int. J. Environ. Res. Health, 9, 2863–2874, https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph9082863, 2012.
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Short summary
Many flood disaster impacts could be avoided by preventative action; however, early action is not guaranteed. This article demonstrates the design of a new system of forecast-based financing, which automatically triggers action when a flood forecast arrives, before a potential disaster. We establish "action triggers" for northern Uganda based on a global flood forecasting system, verifying these forecasts and assessing the uncertainties inherent in setting a trigger in a data-scarce location.