Articles | Volume 20, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3549-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3549-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
05 Sep 2016
Research article |
| 05 Sep 2016
Action-based flood forecasting for triggering humanitarian action
Erin Coughlan de Perez
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, 2521 CV, the Netherlands
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, USA
Bart van den Hurk
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, 3731 GA, the Netherlands
Maarten K. van Aalst
Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, 2521 CV, the Netherlands
International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, USA
Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy, University College London, London, UK
Irene Amuron
Uganda Red Cross Society, Kampala, Uganda
Deus Bamanya
Uganda National Meteorological Authority, Kampala, Uganda
Tristan Hauser
Climate System Analysis Group, Department of Environmental and Geographical Science, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
Brenden Jongma
Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University Amsterdam, 1081 HV, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR), World Bank, Washington DC, USA
Ana Lopez
Atmospheric Oceanic & Planetary Physics Department, Oxford University, Oxford, OX1 3PU, UK
Simon Mason
International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, USA
Janot Mendler de Suarez
Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, 2521 CV, the Netherlands
Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
Florian Pappenberger
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, RG2 9AX, UK
Alexandra Rueth
German Red Cross, 12205 Berlin, Germany
Elisabeth Stephens
School of Archaeology, Geography and Environmental Science, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6AH, UK
Pablo Suarez
Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, 2521 CV, the Netherlands
Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy, University College London, London, UK
Jurjen Wagemaker
Floodtags, The Hague 2516 BE, the Netherlands
Ervin Zsoter
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, RG2 9AX, UK
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Short summary
Many flood disaster impacts could be avoided by preventative action; however, early action is not guaranteed. This article demonstrates the design of a new system of forecast-based financing, which automatically triggers action when a flood forecast arrives, before a potential disaster. We establish "action triggers" for northern Uganda based on a global flood forecasting system, verifying these forecasts and assessing the uncertainties inherent in setting a trigger in a data-scarce location.
Many flood disaster impacts could be avoided by preventative action; however, early action is...
