Articles | Volume 26, issue 13
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3393-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-3393-2022
Research article
 | 
05 Jul 2022
Research article |  | 05 Jul 2022

Diel streamflow cycles suggest more sensitive snowmelt-driven streamflow to climate change than land surface modeling does

Sebastian A. Krogh, Lucia Scaff, James W. Kirchner, Beatrice Gordon, Gary Sterle, and Adrian Harpold

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Cited articles

Addor, N., Newman, A. J., Mizukami, N., and Clark, M. P.: The CAMELS data set: catchment attributes and meteorology for large-sample studies, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci, 21, 5293–5313, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-5293-2017, 2017. 
Barnett, T. P., Adam, J. C., and Lettenmaier, D. P.: Potential impacts of a warming climate on water availability in snow-dominated regions, Nature, 438, 303–309, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature04141, 2005. 
Barnhart, T. B., Molotch, N. P., Livneh, B., Harpold, A. A., Knowles, J. F., and Schneider, D.: Snowmelt rate dictates streamflow, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 8006–8016, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL069690, 2016. 
Baroni, G., Facchi, A., Gandolfi, C., Ortuani, B., Horeschi, D., and van Dam, J. C.: Uncertainty in the determination of soil hydraulic parameters and its influence on the performance of two hydrological models of different complexity, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 251–270, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-14-251-2010, 2010. 
Berghuijs, W. R., Woods, R. A., and Hrachowitz, M.: A precipitation shift from snow towards rain leads to a decrease in streamflow, Nat. Clim. Change, 4, 583–586, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2246, 2014. 
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Short summary
We present a new way to detect snowmelt using daily cycles in streamflow driven by solar radiation. Results show that warmer sites have earlier and more intermittent snowmelt than colder sites, and the timing of early snowmelt events is strongly correlated with the timing of streamflow volume. A space-for-time substitution shows greater sensitivity of streamflow timing to climate change in colder rather than in warmer places, which is then contrasted with land surface simulations.