Articles | Volume 25, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-273-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-273-2021
Research article
 | 
18 Jan 2021
Research article |  | 18 Jan 2021

Identifying robust bias adjustment methods for European extreme precipitation in a multi-model pseudo-reality setting

Torben Schmith, Peter Thejll, Peter Berg, Fredrik Boberg, Ole Bøssing Christensen, Bo Christiansen, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Marianne Sloth Madsen, and Christian Steger

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Cited articles

Aalbers, E. E., Lenderink, G., van  Meijgaard, E., and van den Hurk, B. J. J. M.: Local-scale changes in mean and heavy precipitation in Western Europe, climate change or internal variability?, Clim. Dynam., 50, 4745–4766, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3901-9, 2018. 
Arakawa, A.: The Cumulus Parameterization Problem: Past, Present, and Future, J. Climate, 17, 2493–2525, 2004. 
Berg, P., Feldmann, H., and Panitz, H.-J.: Bias correction of high resolution regional climate model data, J. Hydrol., 448–449, 80–92, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.04.026, 2012. 
Berg, P., Christensen, O. B., Klehmet, K., Lenderink, G., Olsson, J., Teichmann, C., and Yang, W.: Summertime precipitation extremes in a EURO-CORDEX 0.11 ensemble at an hourly resolution, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 957–971, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-957-2019, 2019. 
Boberg, F. and Christensen, J. H.: Overestimation of Mediterranean summer temperature projections due to model deficiencies, Nat. Clim. Change, 2, 433–436, https://doi.org/10.1038/NCLIMATE1454, 2012. 
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Short summary
European extreme precipitation is expected to change in the future; this is based on climate model projections. But, since climate models have errors, projections are uncertain. We study this uncertainty in the projections by comparing results from an ensemble of 19 climate models. Results can be used to give improved estimates of future extreme precipitation for Europe.
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