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Hydrology and Earth System Sciences An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Short summary
Floods and droughts cause significant damages and pose risks to lives worldwide. In a climate change context this work identifies hotspots across Great Britain, i.e. places expected to be impacted by an increase in floods and droughts. By the 2080s the western coast of England and Wales and northeastern Scotland would experience more floods in winter and droughts in autumn, with a higher increase in drought hazard, showing a need to adapt water management policies in light of climate change.
HESS | Articles | Volume 22, issue 10
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 5387–5401, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5387-2018
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 5387–5401, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5387-2018

Research article 19 Oct 2018

Research article | 19 Oct 2018

Future hot-spots for hydro-hazards in Great Britain: a probabilistic assessment

Lila Collet et al.

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Cited articles

Arnell, N. W. and Gosling, S. N.: The impacts of climate change on river flood risk at the global scale, Climatic Change, 134, 387–401, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1084-5, 2016. 
ASC: UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017 Synthesis Report: priorities for the next five years, Adaptation Sub-Committee of the Committee on Climate Change, London, 2016. 
Augustin, N., Beevers, L., and Sloan, W.: Predicting river flows for future climates using an autoregressive multinomial logit model, Water Resour. Res., 44, W07403, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006WR005127, 2008. 
Bai, X., Dawson, R., Ürge-Vorsatz, D., Delgado, G., Salisu Barau, A., Dhakal, S., Dodman, D., Leonardsen, L., Masson-Delmotte, V., Roberts, D., and Schultz, S.: Six research priorities for cities and climate change, Nature, 555, 23–25, https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-018-02409-z, 2018. 
Bayliss, A. C. and Jones, R. C.: Peaks-over-threshold flood database: Summary statistics and seasonality, IH Report No. 121, 68 pp., Institute of Hydrology, Crowmarsh Gifford, UK, 1993. 
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Short summary
Floods and droughts cause significant damages and pose risks to lives worldwide. In a climate change context this work identifies hotspots across Great Britain, i.e. places expected to be impacted by an increase in floods and droughts. By the 2080s the western coast of England and Wales and northeastern Scotland would experience more floods in winter and droughts in autumn, with a higher increase in drought hazard, showing a need to adapt water management policies in light of climate change.
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