Articles | Volume 22, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5387-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-5387-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
19 Oct 2018
Research article |
| 19 Oct 2018
| 19 Oct 2018
Future hot-spots for hydro-hazards in Great Britain: a probabilistic assessment
Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh Campus, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, UK
now at: Irstea, 1 rue Pierre Gilles de Gennes, 92 160 Antony, France
Shaun Harrigan
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Road,
Reading, RG2 9AX, UK
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, OX10 8BB, UK
Christel Prudhomme
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Shinfield Road,
Reading, RG2 9AX, UK
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, OX10 8BB, UK
Loughborough University, Epinal Way, Loughborough, LE11 3TU, UK
Giuseppe Formetta
Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, OX10 8BB, UK
Lindsay Beevers
Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh Campus, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, UK
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- Soil moisture−atmosphere feedbacks have triggered the shifts from drought to pluvial conditions since 1980 Y. Qing et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00922-2
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- Advanced Uncertainty Quantification for Flood Inundation Modelling G. Aitken et al. 10.3390/w16091309
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- A global hydrology research agenda fit for the 2030s R. Wilby 10.2166/nh.2019.100
49 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The influence of climate model uncertainty on fluvial flood hazard estimation L. Beevers et al. 10.1007/s11069-020-04282-4
- Past and Projected Weather Pattern Persistence with Associated Multi-Hazards in the British Isles P. De Luca et al. 10.3390/atmos10100577
- Concurrent wet and dry hydrological extremes at the global scale P. De Luca et al. 10.5194/esd-11-251-2020
- Spatio-temporal analysis of compound hydro-hazard extremes across the UK A. Visser-Quinn et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2019.05.019
- Dynamical systems theory sheds new light on compound climate extremes in Europe and Eastern North America P. De Luca et al. 10.1002/qj.3757
- Have trends changed over time? A study of UK peak flow data and sensitivity to observation period A. Griffin et al. 10.5194/nhess-19-2157-2019
- Climate Change Impact on the Magnitude and Timing of Hydrological Extremes Across Great Britain R. Lane & A. Kay 10.3389/frwa.2021.684982
- Editorial to the Special Issue: Impacts of Compound Hydrological Hazards or Extremes L. Beevers et al. 10.3390/geosciences10120496
- Ensemble flood predictions for River Thames under climate change Y. Fan 10.1360/nso/20230027
- Run-of-river hydropower in the UK and Ireland: the case for abstraction licences based on future flows R. Dallison & S. Patil 10.1088/2634-4505/ad064c
- River Flashiness in Great Britain: A Spatio-Temporal Analysis B. Olin & L. Beevers 10.3390/atmos15091025
- Impacts of climate change on future water availability for hydropower and public water supply in Wales, UK R. Dallison et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100866
- National-scale analysis of future river flow and soil moisture droughts: potential changes in drought characteristics A. Rudd et al. 10.1007/s10584-019-02528-0
- A multi-objective ensemble approach to hydrological modelling in the UK: an application to historic drought reconstruction K. Smith et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3247-2019
- Are We Doing ‘Systems’ Research? An Assessment of Methods for Climate Change Adaptation to Hydrohazards in a Complex World M. Bedinger et al. 10.3390/su11041163
- Impact of climate change on hydropower potential in the UK and Ireland R. Dallison & S. Patil 10.1016/j.renene.2023.03.021
- Spatiotemporal pattern of successive hydro-hazards and the influence of low-frequency variability modes over Canada M. RahimiMovaghar et al. 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.131057
- Climate change effects on indicators of high and low river flow across Great Britain A. Kay et al. 10.1016/j.advwatres.2021.103909
- Resilience in Complex Catchment Systems L. Beevers et al. 10.3390/w13040541
- Lessons from the 2018 drought for management of local water supplies in upland areas: A tracer‐based assessment J. Fennell et al. 10.1002/hyp.13867
- The enhanced future Flows and Groundwater dataset: development and evaluation of nationally consistent hydrological projections based on UKCP18 J. Hannaford et al. 10.5194/essd-15-2391-2023
- Partitioning model uncertainty in multi-model ensemble river flow projections G. Aitken et al. 10.1007/s10584-023-03621-1
- A quality-control framework for sub-daily flow and level data for hydrological modelling in Great Britain F. Fileni et al. 10.2166/nh.2023.045
- The Impact of Climate Change on Hydroecological Response in Chalk Streams A. Visser et al. 10.3390/w11030596
- Divergent future drought projections in UK river flows and groundwater levels S. Parry et al. 10.5194/hess-28-417-2024
- Predicting Lemna growth based on climate change and eutrophication in temperate freshwater drainage ditches J. Feller et al. 10.1007/s10750-024-05477-7
- Droughts and floods in a changing climate and implications for multi-hazard urban planning: A review M. Pizzorni et al. 10.1016/j.cacint.2024.100169
- A hazard-agnostic model for unpacking systemic impacts in urban systems L. Beevers et al. 10.1080/10286608.2022.2083112
- Hydrologic risk from consecutive dry and wet extremes at the global scale M. Rashid & T. Wahl 10.1088/2515-7620/ac77de
- Climate change impacts on peak river flows: Combining national-scale hydrological modelling and probabilistic projections A. Kay et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100263
- Water restrictions under climate change: a Rhône–Mediterranean perspective combining bottom-up and top-down approaches E. Sauquet et al. 10.5194/hess-23-3683-2019
- Lagged Compound Occurrence of Droughts and Pluvials Globally Over the Past Seven Decades X. He & J. Sheffield 10.1029/2020GL087924
- Soil moisture−atmosphere feedbacks have triggered the shifts from drought to pluvial conditions since 1980 Y. Qing et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00922-2
- A Screening Procedure for Identifying Drought Hot-Spots in a Changing Climate A. Galletti et al. 10.3390/w15091731
- EURO-CORDEX: A Multi-Model Ensemble Fit for Assessing Future Hydrological Change? G. Aitken et al. 10.3389/frwa.2022.804146
- Identifying hotspots of hydro-hazards under global change: A worldwide review L. Beevers et al. 10.3389/frwa.2022.879536
- Climate change impacts on flood peaks in Britain for a range of global mean surface temperature changes A. Rudd et al. 10.1111/jfr3.12863
- Advanced Uncertainty Quantification for Flood Inundation Modelling G. Aitken et al. 10.3390/w16091309
- Research on the risk of drought disasters in the middle reaches of the Yellow River coupled with ecosystem entity P. Wang et al. 10.2166/wcc.2024.422
- A large-sample investigation into uncertain climate change impacts on high flows across Great Britain R. Lane et al. 10.5194/hess-26-5535-2022
- Detectable Increase in Global Land Areas Susceptible to Precipitation Reversals Under the RCP8.5 Scenario L. Cheng & Z. Liu 10.1029/2022EF002948
- Investigating meteorological wet and dry transitions in the Dutch Meuse River basin S. Hariharan Sudha et al. 10.3389/frwa.2024.1394563
- Spatio-temporal clustering of extreme floods in Great Britain G. Formetta et al. 10.1080/02626667.2024.2367167
- Grid-based simulation of river flows in Northern Ireland: Model performance and future flow changes A. Kay et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2021.100967
- Mapping future water scarcity in a water abundant nation: Near-term projections for Scotland A. Visser-Quinn et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2021.100302
- Widespread flooding dynamics under climate change: characterising floods using grid-based hydrological modelling and regional climate projections A. Griffin et al. 10.5194/hess-28-2635-2024
- Modelling the impact of future climate change on streamflow and water quality in Wales, UK R. Dallison et al. 10.1080/02626667.2022.2044045
- Multi‐Level Monte Carlo Models for Flood Inundation Uncertainty Quantification G. Aitken et al. 10.1029/2022WR032599
- A global hydrology research agenda fit for the 2030s R. Wilby 10.2166/nh.2019.100
Latest update: 14 Dec 2024
Short summary
Floods and droughts cause significant damages and pose risks to lives worldwide. In a climate change context this work identifies hotspots across Great Britain, i.e. places expected to be impacted by an increase in floods and droughts. By the 2080s the western coast of England and Wales and northeastern Scotland would experience more floods in winter and droughts in autumn, with a higher increase in drought hazard, showing a need to adapt water management policies in light of climate change.
Floods and droughts cause significant damages and pose risks to lives worldwide. In a climate...
